SHARP MOVES - WEEK 10

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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(Rotation #259) Tennessee +10 ? Not only is this a sharp spot because of the quantity of points which the Titans are getting, but it is sharp due to the circumstances surrounding the game as well. Tennessee is clearly in its best shape at the quarterback position now that QB Zach Mettenberger is getting his chance to shine, and the team is coming off of a bye week, which means that the rookie has had two full weeks of first-team reps after getting virtually no first-team reps prior to three weeks ago in his career. On top of that, the Ravens have played nine games in nine weeks already, and they are coming off of their most physical battle of the year against the Steelers last Sunday night. Tennessee could legitimately sneak up on the Ravens, who have to be looking forward to their bye week next week.

Opening Line: Tennessee +10.5
Current Line: Tennessee +10
Public Betting Percentage: 67% on Baltimore









(Rotation #262) New York +4.5 ? Bad teams tend to be sharp all the time, and the Jets are once again sharp in this game. The spot though, is a pretty good one, as this is the first time that the Steelers have had to go on the road in a month after three straight home games. The Jets have at least looked like they are fighting hard at times this year, and it wasn't for a lack of effort that they were beaten by the Chiefs last weekend. They had their opportunities to get in front of the number, but consistently electing to go for touchdowns instead of field goals didn't help the cause any. We don't exactly have much confidence right now in what New York is doing, but this line just feels awfully, awfully low. Some lines just look sharper than others. This is one of them.

Opening Line: New York +4.5
Current Line: New York +4
Public Betting Percentage: 77% on Pittsburgh








(Rotation #267) St. Louis +7 ? The Rams are only mildly sharp this week, and we would understand any trepidation about playing them, knowing that they are coming off of a tremendously emotional win last week in which they held the 49ers on the goal line with virtually no time left in the game. Arizona is starting to get a little public for our tastes. It was a good run for the Cardinals, but that run is going to come to a halt at some point. The pass rush for St. Louis is finally starting to pick it up, and that could be a bad sign for the rest of the teams in the NFC West, including the Cards. Could the seemingly lowly Rams really clinch at least a .500 record in the toughest division in the league? Don't discount the possibility.

Opening Line: St. Louis +7 (-120)
Current Line: St. Louis +7 (-115)
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Arizona
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
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"the bunker"






(Rotation #259) Tennessee +10 ? Not only is this a sharp spot because of the quantity of points which the Titans are getting, but it is sharp due to the circumstances surrounding the game as well. Tennessee is clearly in its best shape at the quarterback position now that QB Zach Mettenberger is getting his chance to shine, and the team is coming off of a bye week, which means that the rookie has had two full weeks of first-team reps after getting virtually no first-team reps prior to three weeks ago in his career. On top of that, the Ravens have played nine games in nine weeks already, and they are coming off of their most physical battle of the year against the Steelers last Sunday night. Tennessee could legitimately sneak up on the Ravens, who have to be looking forward to their bye week next week.

Opening Line: Tennessee +10.5
Current Line: Tennessee +10
Public Betting Percentage: 67% on Baltimore









(Rotation #262) New York +4.5 ? Bad teams tend to be sharp all the time, and the Jets are once again sharp in this game. The spot though, is a pretty good one, as this is the first time that the Steelers have had to go on the road in a month after three straight home games. The Jets have at least looked like they are fighting hard at times this year, and it wasn't for a lack of effort that they were beaten by the Chiefs last weekend. They had their opportunities to get in front of the number, but consistently electing to go for touchdowns instead of field goals didn't help the cause any. We don't exactly have much confidence right now in what New York is doing, but this line just feels awfully, awfully low. Some lines just look sharper than others. This is one of them.
Opening Line: New York +4.5
Current Line: New York +4
Public Betting Percentage: 77% on Pittsburgh








(Rotation #267) St. Louis +7 ? The Rams are only mildly sharp this week, and we would understand any trepidation about playing them, knowing that they are coming off of a tremendously emotional win last week in which they held the 49ers on the goal line with virtually no time left in the game. Arizona is starting to get a little public for our tastes. It was a good run for the Cardinals, but that run is going to come to a halt at some point. The pass rush for St. Louis is finally starting to pick it up, and that could be a bad sign for the rest of the teams in the NFC West, including the Cards. Could the seemingly lowly Rams really clinch at least a .500 record in the toughest division in the league? Don't discount the possibility.

Opening Line: St. Louis +7 (-120)
Current Line: St. Louis +7 (-115)
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Arizona

if there ever was a classic trap,this is it....everybody back on the steelers....home games are huge in the nfl....I`m really curious to see whether gags` boys continue on their tear or have trouble finding that g-spot on the road after what seems like a lifetime of home cooking.....

if geno smith plays,he`s probably worth almost a td to the steelers...if vick starts,the jets might just give em a fit....

excellent post....
 

Scrapman

Rollingdembones
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Jan 6, 2013
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Rams are in bouncy mode lose huge to 49ers at Home before Sehawks Game then upsetvthem as home dog win by 2 points go on road as 7 point pup @ Chiefs get an ass whipping burial 34-7

then after that Vanilla Play 2nd roadi as 10 point pup go toe to toe on defense vs 49ers a low scoring win 13 -10 now you really think on 3rd stright roadie withb no reast they can cover @ cardinals???

Like to meet these sharps buddy i think they need a lil sharpening LOL

Cardinals win by 14 or more!
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line!
Forum Member
May 4, 2005
25,176
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Atlantic City, NJ
Rams are in bouncy mode lose huge to 49ers at Home before Sehawks Game then upsetvthem as home dog win by 2 points go on road as 7 point pup @ Chiefs get an ass whipping burial 34-7

then after that Vanilla Play 2nd roadi as 10 point pup go toe to toe on defense vs 49ers a low scoring win 13 -10 now you really think on 3rd stright roadie withb no reast they can cover @ cardinals???

Like to meet these sharps buddy i think they need a lil sharpening LOL

Cardinals win by 14 or more!

Scrappy, love your posts when I can make sense of them, same with your you-tube spots, but something that I watch often especially with a line drop such as in the Zona line from -7 to -6 1/2, it's not the public money moving the line, because 70% are on Zona. Dallas factor, teams that played Dallas this year are 0-8 SU, that includes Washington losing last weekend. Zona has been on some tough games the past 4 weeks just as STL has. With the huge contract Palmer just got, you think he'll be any different playing on Sunday vs a young, scrappy, no pun intended, bunch like the Wams? Zona showed a lil to me vs the Eagles, Eagles gave them that game with the long one to Brown, and Denver iced Zona pretty good @ Mile High! Rams are not that bad and KC caught them off the right spot after the Sea-chicken home win. That line smells underdog to me.

Steelers the same thing away from home after playing 3 straight at home and winning all three? That Houston stinker on MNF was the kickoff to the 3 game win streak, but now this gives the Steelrs some confidence and their running game is the key to getting to open up the passing game, so vs the Jets front 7? They couldn't stop a pass from falling into Kelce's arms or on the other TE's arms laying on his back now face the Steelers with the big WRs and the lil scatterbug Wrs? Steelers could write their score on that game. If anything, again, Jets are a big public betting public following team, the Steelers are no slouch, but the Sharps if there is such a entity are thinking the trend of playing the 3 straight at home will bite the Steelers. But when a team gets into this kind of groove and are beating teams easily, even at home, what kind of momentum are they going to take on the road with no quirks in the system or change in game plans? Steelers should roll over the green looking Jets!

GL!! Any given Sunday! ;)
 
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