Sharp Moves - Week 12

Senor Capper

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(Rotation #258) Minnesota +9.5 ? After watching the Packers put up back to back 50 burgers, it's going to be tough for anyone to want to get in their way. However, both of those games were played at home, and it should be a given at this point that QB Aaron Rodgers and the Pack are much more comfortable at Lambeau Field than elsewhere. The Vikes have shown some grit at times, and they had a chance to beat the Bears last week. Rodgers has thrown all three of his picks on the road this year, and if he makes a mistake or two in this one, this game could end up resulting in a big upset that could change the whole outlook in the NFC North.

Opening Line: Minnesota +10
Current Line: Minnesota +9.5
Public Betting Percentage: 71% on Green Bay






(Rotation #265) Tampa Bay +5.5 ? The Buccaneers aren't the sharpest team of the week by any stretch of the imagination, but they are certainly trending in that general direction. Tampa Bay has plenty of motivation to go on the road and win this game. Two seasons ago, Head Coach Lovie Smith was dismissed from the Bears when they were a heck of a lot better than they are right now. Last season, QB Josh McCown was the better of the two quarterbacks for our money between he and QB Jay Cutler. You might think that the best two receivers on the field are WR Alshon Jeffrey and WR Brandon Marshall, but the fact of the matter is that WR Mike Evans is tearing apart defenses at the moment. Look for both he and RB Charles Sims to have big days for the Buccaneers in what could be a huge upset to help push Head Coach Marc Trestman out the door quicker in the Windy City.

Opening Line: Tampa Bay +5.5
Current Line: Tampa Bay +5.5
Public Betting Percentage: 63% on Chicago







(Rotation #276) New York +3 ? The Giants have been terrible this season, and the fact of the matter is that they are back in the same boat they were in last year when they got off to their horrid start to the season. The best they can settle for at this point is a spoiler's role. We all saw QB Eli Manning throw five interceptions last week, but there's a heck of a stat that goes along with that. The Giants are 12-5 SU and 13-3-1 ATS in games following a game where Manning throws at least three interceptions. Dallas could be in some trouble if it once again goes through another late-season collapse like we?ve seen so many times in recent years.

Opening Line: New York +3
Current Line: New York +3
Public Betting Percentage: 73% on Dallas
 
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