(Rotation #457) San Diego +5.5 ? You just get the feeling that the Chargers are going to win this game just to spite square bettors. The Bolts have a history of playing well on the East Coast, and they are going to be up against it here in Baltimore against the Ravens, who are coming off of the biggest win of the season in New Orleans on Monday Night Football. QB Philip Rivers hasn't played well, and about the only thing that is keeping this team going is its running game and its defense. That defense came up with the play of the season last week when it managed to get an interception on the goal line to preserve a win against the St. Louis Rams. This could be another close one, and sharp bettors know it.
Opening Line: San Diego +5.5
Current Line: San Diego +5.5
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Baltimore
(Rotation #462) Tampa Bay +3.5 ? It feels like teams like the Bucs are sharp every week, especially when they are at home and are getting just a few points against playoff teams. This week, matters are made worse for Tampa Bay because it is in the NFC South playing against an AFC North team. The NFC South is just 1-10-1 this year in these intra-conference games, but the good news is that Tampa Bay has the one win, and the Bengals are responsible for the one tie. The Bengals could get caught looking ahead in this game; they have a ton of big games in the last month of the season, and this is supposed to be the de facto "bye week" of the bunch.
Opening Line: Tampa Bay +4
Current Line: Tampa Bay +3.5
Public Betting Percentage: 78% on Cincinnati
(Rotation #476) New York +6 ? The Jets are playing at home on Monday Night Football this week, and they get a Miami team which is coming off of a heartbreaking loss on the road to the Denver Broncos. The question in our mind is whether the Fins are going to get off of the mat and get up for the Jets, who probably have the worst team in the NFL. We know that quarterback play isn't going to help out New York all that much; the team is switching back to QB Geno Smith in favor of QB Michael Vick, and Smith has already proven to us that he isn't a starting quarterback. That said, for the most part, if the Jets don't get their doors blown off in the first half, they tend to stick around in games. This could be another one of those outings against a Miami team which just isn't built to blow people away.
Opening Line: New York +6
Current Line: New York +6
Public Betting Percentage: 72% on Miami
