Sharp Moves Week 15 &other Mumbo Jumbo

[Senor Capper]

(Rotation #308) Tampa Bay +5 - Most don't realize that Tampa Bay has been one of the best teams in the league over the course of the last five weeks. The Buccaneers are eager to prove they can take on one of the best teams in the league in this stretch, and they have the Niners here for the taking. It's natural for San Fran to lay an egg after winning last week against the Seahawks. It's tough to come down off of that massive high, and the sharp bettors agree with that sentiment.

Opening Line: Tampa Bay +5.5
Current Line: Tampa Bay +5
Public Betting Percentage: 72% on San Francisco





(Rotation #317) Houston +5.5 - It's just a play that doesn't make any sense in the world. The oddsmakers don't hang numbers nearly as high on Houston as they would with some of the other bad teams in the league, so why? The Texans, for one, have lost seven consecutive games by seven points or fewer, so making them more than a touchdown underdog seems a bit crazy. Teams with interim coaches due to coaches being fired have covered five games in a row. Indy has little to play for after already clinching the AFC South, knowing that it really can't do better than the fourth seed in the conference at this point. It would be fitting if Houston ended its longest losing streak in franchise history against the Colts, a team which it has never beaten on the road.

Opening Line: Houston +6
Current Line: Houston +5.5
Public Betting Percentage: 75% on Indianapolis







(Rotation #319) Buffalo -2 - It's not often we talk about favorites here on the sharp plays, but the Bills are definitely sharp. Why? Because Jacksonville makes a bunch of sense? almost too much sense. The Bills are coming off of two straight losses where they have turned the ball over a ton, and they really look like they have packed it in for the season. Jacksonville is flying high, and it is coming off of a win that had to feel like the Super Bowl against Houston. On top of that, the Jags have won four out of five, have played solid ball every week since their bye, and seem to have their acts together, and they had a long week of preparation for this one. Still, someone sees something in the Bills, because this line flat out isn't moving, and it's on a number where Jacksonville should be seeing a lot of action.

Opening Line: Buffalo -2
Current Line: Buffalo -2
Public Betting Percentage: 66% on Jacksonville





(Rotation #332) Pittsburgh +2.5 - We hate this play because Pittsburgh is literally always a public play. But in this case, the case for the playoff-bound Bengals is stronger than the case for the general public play known as the Steelers. Most figure that Pittsburgh has given up on the season, and that very well could be the case. Last season though, the Bengals spoiled the Steelers' season on their home field. Sharps are thinking that it might be time to repay the favor.

Opening Line: Pittsburgh +3
Current Line: Pittsburgh +2.5
Public Betting Percentage: 68% on Cincinnati

 

[Senor Capper]

Hot bets and moving odds

Hot bets and moving odds




The old saying that you can?t lose your starting spot because of an injury is being tested as we head into Week at the quarterback position.

In Washington, Robert Griffin III has been shut down for the rest of the season after he came back from last year?s ugly knee injury. He won?t admit it, but It?s pretty clear he?s lost a step or two because of the injury and has been a sitting duck behind a rotten offensive line all season. Now, second-year pro Kirk Cousins gets his shot. In turn, Washington moved from a 6-point underdog to a 7-point pup this week at Atlanta.

In Chicago, word has it that Jay Cutler has been cleared to practice and will likely start over Josh McCown if he?s healthy enough to play Sunday at Cleveland. That?s despite the fact that McCown has posted significantly better numbers this season than Chicago?s ?franchise quarterback.? For now, all bettors and Bookmakers can do is wait for Chicago?s QB confirmation to set a line for the game.

Same thing with the Packers heading to Dallas. If Aaron Rodgers returns from his broken collarbone, you might see the Packers as 3-point underdogs on the road, but if he isn?t cleared, Dallas may be favored by at least a touchdown.




Other odds on the move


After a short hiatus, bettors are back in love with the Denver Broncos and in turn, the over. Denver was bumped from the top of our Super Bowl futures board by Seattle last week, but firmly regained the favorite spot this week at +236. That?s what happens after Peyton Manning throws four TDs in sub-zero conditions. This week bettors are expecting Denver to be in another shootout with the Chargers on Thursday Night Football. The total opened at 54 for this one but is already up to 57.5. About 69 percent of SportsInteraction.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_4851b_701&aid=" target="_blank">Sports Interaction?s handle sides with the Broncos.

Kansas City is another team bettors are buying into this week. The Chiefs snapped a three-game skid by hammering Washington in Week 14 and opened as 3.5-point favorites on the road for this Sunday?s game in Oakland. Kansas City is now up to -4.5 and almost 96 percent of our bets are coming in on the Chiefs.



This week?s most popular bets

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers may have saved some face this season with four wins in their last five games, but most bettors don?t give them much of a shot this week when they host San Francisco. The 49ers, who have won three straight, are seeing 93 percent of our action.

Meanwhile, almost 95 percent of our bettors are looking for the Seattle Seahawks to bounce back from last week?s loss to the 49ers. The Seahawks visit the Giants as 6.5-point favorites on Sunday.

And finally, with Adrian Peterson limping, nobody wants any part of the Minnesota Vikings this week. About 94 percent of our action is coming in on Nick Foles and the visiting Philadelphia Eagles.

 

[Senor Capper]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches

NFL's biggest betting mismatches

Week 15



Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (+7, 41.5)

Seahawks? early rise vs. East Coast

The Seahawks internal clocks won?t know what hit them when they take the field at MetLife Stadium Sunday. Seattle and New York are scheduled to kick off at 1 p.m. ET, which is 10 a.m. ET back home in the Emerald City. The Seahawks have been able to overcome the time difference this season, going 3-1 SU and ATS in 1 p.m. ET starts but are just 4-4 SU and ATS in those early games over the past two seasons, which says a lot for a team that is 20-9 ATS during that span.

Not only does Seattle need a couple cups of coffee Sunday morning but it will also have to bundle up. Temperatures in East Rutherford are expected to dip below freezing and snow is in Sunday?s forecast. The Seahawks may be used to the rain and warmer winters on the West Coast but didn?t fare well in their last foray in the snow, losing 35-24 to Chicago in the divisional round of the NFC playoffs in 2011.



Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (Pick, 45)

Bears? fourth-quarter scoring vs. Browns? fourth-quarter collapses

Jay Cutler. Josh McCown. It may not matter who?s under center for the Bears with the way the Browns are buckling in the final frame. Cleveland has failed miserably at closing out games, as evidenced by its letdown loss to New England last Sunday. Granted, the Browns were burned by a terrible pass interference call but there?s no denying the 35 total points allowed in the fourth quarter over their last three games ? an average of 11.7 points over the last 15 minutes.

Chicago isn?t slamming the door with defense either, but is managing to offset that with a strong sprint to the finish line on offense. The Bears are fourth in the league in fourth-quarter scoring, averaging eight points in the final frame this season. Chicago didn?t let up on Dallas Monday, tacking on another 10 points in the fourth. Da Bears are also fourth in time of possession percentage in the final 15 minutes, holding on to the pigskin 54.20 percent of the quarter. Cleveland?s 44.91 percent is fourth lowest in the NFL.




Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5, 41.5)

Bengals? QB Andy Dalton vs. Steelers? stigma and primetime jitters

If Andy Dalton is going to get his team back to the playoffs, where they could be a very dangerous Super Bowl sleeper, he?s going to have to overcome two things that have plagued is short career in Cincinnati: the Steelers defense and the primetime spot light.

According to Yahoo!Sports, Dalton has been well below his bar versus Pittsburgh. His 53 percent completions and 67.8 passer rating in five games against the Steelers fall short of his career tallies of 60.8 percent and 85.1. Add to that a 2-3 SU record in primetime games ? Cincinnati is 3-11 SU all-time on Sunday Night Football ? and Dalton could be walking into a perfect storm in Pittsburgh Sunday night.



Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions (-6, 48)

Ravens? LB Elvis Dumervil vs. Lions? turnover troubles

This mismatch could swing to either side, depending on the ankle of Dumervil, who sat out last week?s thriller against Minnesota. Baltimore?s pass rush has been toothless without their newest addition to the linebacking corps. It failed to record a single sack against the Vikings, allowing Matt Cassel to throw for 265 yards and two TDs Sunday, and has just three sacks total in the past three games. Dumervil, who leads the team with 9.5 sacks, is questionable but holding out hope for a return in Week 15.

Without their top sack master, the Ravens may not be able to get to Lions QB Matt Stafford. Stafford has been at the center of Detroit?s three-game losing skid, throwing six interceptions during that skid. He had a clean sheet in last Sunday?s snow ball with the Eagles, but only threw the ball 25 times ? his fewest attempts all season ? and didn?t face any pass rush in that blizzard. If Dumervil is ready to go, that pressure could force more mistakes from Stafford.

 

[Senor Capper]

Over plays on the pro football card Week 14 went 11 of the 16 games exceeding the total.

The games went Over by an average of 8.9 points. It was easily the highest-scoring week of the season as there were 85 touchdowns on Sunday (an average 6.1 TDs per games).

Last week?s four non-conference game produced a 3-1 winning tally for Over players, moving the season-to-date record to a mind-blowing 44-14 O/U in these games, including 23-4 O/U the last seven weeks.



This week?s 'Over' achievers would be:

Arizona at Tennessee
Chicago at Cleveland
N.Y. Jets at Carolina
Baltimore at Detroit (Monday night) game.

 

[Senor Capper]

Football lines that make you go hmmm...

Football lines that make you go hmmm...





Albert Einstein was no big NFL bettor, but his definition of insanity was doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. By that logic, Einstein is getting down on the Indianapolis Colts -6 against the Houston Texans while the gettin? is good in Week 15.

Sportsbooks continue to give credit to the Texans week after week, despite not wining since Week 2 of the schedule and losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars last Thursday. That primetime spanking cost Houston head coach Gary Kubiak his job, leaving defensive coordinator Wade Phillips at the wheel in the final week of the season.

Houston was a 3-point road favorite in Jacksonville last week, and outside of a valiant effort against the Patriots in Week 13, hasn?t done anything to warrant the respect books continue to give the Texans. They are just 3-10 ATS and are likely looking ahead to the NFL Draft, where a No. 1 overall pick would hand them the QB of their choice.

But for now, Houston rides out the final games of 2013 with Case Keenum as the team?s elected starter and Matt Schaub backing him up. The biggest issue is that Keenum was Kubiak?s guy. The two worked very closely when Schaub went down with a leg injury and the young QB could be rattled without his corner man.

The Colts clinched the AFC South despite losing to Cincinnati Sunday but head coach Chuck Pagano says he won?t rest his players. He?s not happy with their current form ? splitting wins and losses in their last six ? and told reporters they have plenty to work on before the postseason begins.




New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams (+5.5, 46.5)

The difference in the Saints? play at home and away is about as glaring as the difference between Tara Reid circa 1999 American Pie and Tara Reid circa 2013 Sharknado: Smoky-voiced blonde bombshell vs. Dog-chewed leather slipper.

However, books have taken this home/away split a little too far in Week 15, setting New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite in St. Louis.

Football bettors have watched Drew Brees and New Orleans stall on the road in outdoor venues like Seattle, New York, Chicago and Tampa Bay but won?t be battling the elements inside the Edward Jones Dome Sunday.

The Rams defense was keeping the team competitive but has cracked the last two games, allowing 53 points in losses to San Francisco and Arizona. St. Louis? dreaded pass rush had just one sack on slow-motion QB Carson Palmer this weekend. Brees has been sacked just 26 times all season.
_________________________

 

[Senor Capper]

NFL injury report

NFL injury report


Four injuries undervalued by oddsmakers


Week 15 of the NFL schedule looks to be a competitive one, with teams competing to improve their playoff seeding and others struggling to stay alive in the postseason race.


Here are four undervalued injuries that could have a big impact on each team?s respective game this Sunday:

Ricky Jean-Francois, DE, Indianapolis Colts (Out, foot)

The Indianapolis Colts are giving up an average of 372.1 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in yards allowed. Their defense has struggled since the bye week, allowing an average of 31 points per game. Jean-Francois is a big part of the run stop unit but has been sidelined with a foot sprain since Week 13. Indianapolis is thin on the defensive line and was bullied for 155 rushing yards in a loss to Cincinnati last Sunday.

The Colts are 5.5-point home favorites against the Texans. The total is 45.5.




John Cyprien, SS, Jacksonville Jaguars (Questionable, thigh)

Cyprien has two forced fumbles and one INT, with 89 combined tackles and one sack in his rookie campaign. The Jaguars host the Bills, who are a surprising fifth in total rushing yards with 1,737 yards on the year. The Bills have over 12 rushing touchdowns and lead the league with five rushes of 40 or more yards. Cyprien has been one of the lone bright spots for the Jaguars stop unit and his ability to sniff out the run could be missed Sunday.

The Jaguars are 2-point favorites against the Bills at home, with the total at 43.5.




Aqib Talib, CB, New England Patriots (Questionable, hip)

The Patriots have been plagued by the injury bug all season. They have three cornerbacks questionable for Sunday with Talib (hip), Marquice Cole (shin) and Alfonzo Dennard (knee) nursing injuries. The Patriots are ranked 23rd overall giving up 372.3 total yards per game. Talib is the staple of that secondary with four interceptions but has lost a step since hurting his hip, which showed against Browns WR Josh Gordon ? seven catches, 151 yards, one touchdown ? last Sunday.

The Patriots are 1-point favorites against Miami on the road. The total is 45.5




Tavon Austin, WR, St. Louis Rams (Questionable, ankle)

Austin has 40 receptions for over 418 yards in his rookie season, averaging 10.5 yards a catch. He also has 280 yards in punt returns. Austin missed practice again Thursday and is a big question mark in the final weeks of the schedule. The Rams face the Saints high-powered attack that is complemented with the sixth-ranked defense in total yards allowed. With Austin, St. Louis could fall behind the pace if New Orleans pulls ahead.

The Rams are 6.5-point home underdogs against New Orleans. The total is 47.
_________________________

 

[Senor Capper]

GIVING PROPS............

GIVING PROPS............




Most passing yards

Tom Brady (New England Patriots) vs. Ryan Tannehill (Miami Dolphins)

Tom Brady was held to only 116 passing yards in the first meeting between these two teams this season, and while we can expect him to improve on that number here, I'm not convinced that he'll outgun Ryan Tannehill.

The Dolphins second-year quarterback has thrown for at least 200 yards in six consecutive games, and the majority of his best performances have come at home this season - most recently racking up 310 passing yards against the Panthers in Week 12.

The Patriots defense has regressed lately, allowing well north of 12 yards per pass play over their last three games. This isn't an ideal matchup for them to 'get right'.

Take: Tannehill



Alex Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Matt McGloin (Oakland Raiders)


The Chiefs offense has been rolling along lately, but I won't be surprised if they face some resistance in the Black Hole on Sunday afternoon.

Kansas City scored a whopping 45 points in last week's win over the Redskins, but QB Alex Smith threw for only 137 yards. This is still a run-first team, and that gameplan isn't likely to change against a Raiders defense that has allowed 4.4 yards per rush over its last three games.

Raiders QB Matt McGloin has thrown for 260, 255, and 245 yards in his last three games. As strong as the Chiefs 'D' has been for most of the season, it has struggled recently, allowing 14.4 yards per pass play over the last three games.

Take: McGloin




Most rushing yards

Frank Gore (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Bobby Rainey (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Frank Gore is coming off one of his best performances of the season, rushing for 110 yards on 17 carries last Sunday against Seattle. Given the fact that he had topped out at 48 rushing yards over his previous three games, I'm not expecting a repeat effort here.

Note that Gore has been held to 71 yards or less on the ground in the 49ers last four road contests.

Bucs RB Bobby Rainey has been a dominant force at home, gaining 290 yards on 52 carries over his last two games in Tampa. The 49ers defense will obviously pose a significant challenge, but I believe Rainey will be up to the task.

Take: Rainey




Most pass receptions

Doug Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks) vs. Hakeem Nicks (New York Giants)


I simply feel that Hakeem Nicks will be given more opportunities than Doug Baldwin on Sunday, and can't ignore the plus-money return being offered.

Baldwin had only four pass targets and three catches in last Sunday's game in San Francisco. He's had more than five catches in a game on only two occasions this season. This week, I'm expecting the Seahawks to show a stronger commitment to the run.

Nicks burst back onto the scene for the Giants last Sunday, catching five passes for 135 yards. He's been fairly consistent this year, hauling in at least four catches in eight of the 12 games he's appeared in.

Take: Nicks

 

[The Boys]

Good read Senor. Best of luck this weekend. :SIB

 

[Cricket]

Tanks for sharing....:toast::toast::toast::0074:0008

 

[Hooks]

Thanks Lan, good info and I personally want to wish you and the family Happy Holidays ! Perhaps we can hook up soon. Love ya man.

 

[cash]

very grateful for these. Mucho gratias

 

[heleanth]

Really interesting stuff! Thank you.

 

[hammer1]

Wow !!!!!

Wow !!!!!

Reads Like Ernie Hemingway?..Thanks??

 

[stockwell45]

Very nice write ups. Gonna tag along on your plays today, good luck!

 

[Senor Capper]

MY PLAYS AREN'T POSTED IN TH THREAD

MY PLAYS AREN'T POSTED IN TH THREAD

these aren't my write-ups either

Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves



It's hard to believe, but we are in Week 15 of the NFL season. A couple of quarterback changes have nabbed headlines this week and have predictably had a major impact on lines.




Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons - Open: -4.5, Move: -7


Things couldn't have gone much worse for these two NFC teams. The Washington Redskins have turned to backup QB Kirk Cousins and sharp bettors backed the home fave as soon as lines were opened.

"Less than an hour after we opened our NFL lines, we got sharp bet on Atlanta so moved to -5.5," Perry tells Covers. "Monday afternoon, we got another wiseguy play on the Falcons so moved to -6. On Tuesday, another sharp play on Atlanta -6, caused us to move to current number of 7. Can see why the sharpies like Atlanta, as the Redskins are an absolute mess right now and the Mike Shanahan relationship with RGIII is something out of a bad soap opera."



Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns - Open: -2, Move: +1


The Bears are another team with some changes under center in Week 15. Despite playing incredibly well, Josh McCown will be holding the clipboard as Jay Cutler returns to run Marc Trestman's offense.

"On Wednesday, we got sharp play on Chicago +2 so moved to Browns -1," Perry says. "Then on Thursday, when it was announced that Cutler would start, the line moved two points to Bears -1. Seventy-nine percent of cash is backing Chicago."



New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins - Open: +3, Move: +1


While the Patriots can clinch the AFC East crown with a victory in Miami, there still remains questions about just how good they actually are. Add to that the fact that TE Rob Gronkowski is out for the rest of the season and sharps have come in to back the home Dolphins.

"They (Patriots) have won a couple of close, controversial games, and now are without Gronk," Perry said. "On Wednesday afternoon, we got sharp play on the Fins +3, so moved to Pats -2. Thursday another sharp play game on Miami, so moved to current number of NE -1. Sixty percent of cash is on the Patriots."

 

[Senor Capper]

Betting Tidbits for Week 15 of NFL football


We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Sunday's NFL action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- Seattle's ballhawking defense will be licking its chops Sunday. The Seahawks are tied for second in the league with 28 takeaways, while their opponent - the New York Giants - lead the league with 34 turnovers.

- The Chicago Bears have troubles traveling to Cleveland. They've lost their last four visits at the Browns.

- In his last four games, Browns WR Josh Gordon has registered a mind-boggling 774 yards receiving.

- The Indianapolis Colts will look to keep the tradition of beating the Houston Texans at home. The Colts have are 11-0 all time against the Texans.

- Wade Phillips tipped Case Keenum to start versus Indy despite being pulled against the Jags. Keenum threw for a career-high 350 yards and three TDs versus the Colts in the previous meeting.

- The Jacksonville Jaguars have won three-straight games and have stopped turning the ball over. The Jags were minus-7 in the turnover department during their 0-8 start but are plus-five over the last five games.

- Courtesy of @ATSstats - When the Buffalo Bills played as a road fave in the month of December, they are 8-2 SU since 1996. Buffalo is -2.5 at Jacksonville Sunday.

- The Patriots have won seven straight against the Dolphins, but just seven of their last 13 meetings in South Beach under Belichick's watch.

- Dolphins RB Lamar Miller has struggled all season long, but had one of his best games in the first meeting with New England. jiller rushed for 89 yards on 18 carries in the 27-17 loss.

- Sunday's matchup between the Eagles and Vikings features two of the most talented backs in the NFL in Adrian Peterson and LeSean McCoy. Peterson (who is questionable) rushed for only 13 yards before exiting the game versus the Ravens last week, while McCoy rumbled in the snow for 217 in the 34-20 win over the Lions.

- Kirk Cousins will start at QB for the Redskins. The second-year pro is 12-of-25 for 107 yards and two picks in two appearances this season.

- Falcons QB Matt Ryan should look to TE Tony Gonzalez Sunday. Gonzalez had 13 catches for 123 yards and TD in last years meeting with the Redskins.

- The 49ers have cashed in for bettors while on the road this season. The Niners are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games (5-1 ATS on the road this season). San Fran is a 5-point road fave at Tampa Bay Sunday.

- Bucs linebacker Lavonte David is the only player in the league with at least 100 tackles, five interceptions and five sacks.

- The Oakland Raiders have the best rushing attack in the AFC with 134.4 yards per game.

- The Raiders host the Chiefs Sunday, where the Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings. Sunday's total is currently 41.5.

- Carolina's defense is tough. But at home is on another level. The Panthers have allowed just five touchdowns in six home games this season.

- Such stats do not bode well for the poor New York Jets and QB Geno Smith. Smith has thrown for a combined 230 yards and five interceptions in his last two road games.

- Since Oct 1., Packers RB Eddie Lacy ranks third in the NFL with 836 rushing yards.

- The Cowboys are 11-4 in the last 15 matchups with the Green Bay Packers and are 6.5-point faves at home Sunday.

- New Orleans averages just 18.8 points on the road compared to 32.9 at home. Saints are 6.5-point faves at St. Louis Sunday.

- The Rams offense has been feeble of late, scoring just 23 points during a two-game losing skid.

- The Arizona Cardinals are tied for the best ATS record in the NFL at 9-4. They are tied with fellow NFC West teams Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers.

- The Titans are looking to avoid their first five-game home losing streak since 1996, when the franchise was still based in Houston.

- Bengals QB Andy Dalton has a QB rating of just 67.8 in five games versus the Steelers.

- The Steelers are 3-1 ATS against AFC North teams this season. They are 1.5-point home dogs against Cincy Sunday night.

 

[Aceman123]

Over plays on the pro football card Week 14 went 11 of the 16 games exceeding the total.

The games went Over by an average of 8.9 points. It was easily the highest-scoring week of the season as there were 85 touchdowns on Sunday (an average 6.1 TDs per games).

Last week?s four non-conference game produced a 3-1 winning tally for Over players, moving the season-to-date record to a mind-blowing 44-14 O/U in these games, including 23-4 O/U the last seven weeks.



This week?s 'Over' achievers would be:

Arizona at Tennessee
Chicago at Cleveland
N.Y. Jets at Carolina
Baltimore at Detroit (Monday night) game.

Great stuff here SC. First 3 games all over by an average 21 points with Balti/Det to come :0074

That now makes it 26-4 over last 30 games.

Worth riding along with this some more.


Thanks again for dropping this gem on us. Muchas gracias :0008

 

[Cappin Kirk]

Great stuff here SC. First 3 games all over by an average 21 points with Balti/Det to come :0074

That now makes it 26-4 over last 30 games.

Worth riding along with this some more.


Thanks again for dropping this gem on us. Muchas gracias :0008

Does anyone have the non-conference O/U records from the past few seasons? I may have time to look it up later tonight, but thought someone may already have the data. :0008

 

[ldabdou]

Where the action is!

Where the action is!

Sharp money on Lions and Over Monday night

Two teams battling for a playoff spot in their respective conference tangle on Monday Night Football, when the Detroit Lions host the Baltimore Ravens. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with Carbonsports about the action coming in on this primetime matchup:

Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions ? Open: -6, Move: -6.5

Bettors kept money balanced on this opening line of Detroit -6 for most of the week, however, sharp action jumped on the Lions Sunday afternoon and tacked on a half point to the spread. Wiseguys continued to bet the home side and moved the price from -6.5 (-110) to -6.5 (-115) Monday morning.

Despite that sharp action, books feel comfortable with the handle the way it is. According to Stewart, 55 percent of the action is on Baltimore.

?While sharp action bet us Lions, we've seen plenty of support for the Ravens in this game,? Stewart. ?We were booking two-way action at -6. If anything, we've seen a bit more money coming in on the Ravens than the Lions, and we're fine with that because we want to go into tonight's game needing the Lions.?

The total for Monday?s game also saw serious sharp involvement, jumping from an opener of 48.5 to 50 points. That number has continued to climb with the public loving to bet these standalone primetime games Over the total.

?So far 60 percent of the money is on the Over and by being aggressive with this total and going from 48.5 to 50.5, we've seen some Under money and that's exactly what we needed,? says Stewart. ?The only problem is that we're in jeopardy of being middle at a key numbers of 49 and 50.?

 

[Senor Capper]

s


they won with PIT & BUF but lost with TB & HOU