Sharp Moves - Week 8

Senor Capper

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copy & paste



We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that are a lot sharper than others. Check out some of the best and brightest plays that are on the board in Week 8!


(Rotation #219) Miami +6.5 - This line has drifted just a bit consistently on Miami all week long, and we think that there is a good reason for that. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in division play this year, and they might be in for another shocker in this one if the Dolphins can get over this three-game losing streak.

Opening Line: Miami +7
Current Line: Miami +6.5
Public Betting Percentage: 62% on New England







(Rotation #217) Buffalo +11 - QB Thad Lewis has a pair of covers so far this year as the emergency starter for the Bills, and most are just making the assumption that all of that stops here. New Orleans is coming off of that heartbreaking loss to the Patriots two weeks ago, and it had its bye week to think about it. Don't get caught up in the fact that the Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last five seasons coming off of a bye. This is a lot of points.

Opening Line: Buffalo +12
Current Line: Buffalo +11
Public Betting Percentage: 66% on New Orleans







(Rotation #228) Arizona -2.5 - The Cardinals are laying points for the very first time this season, and the public thinks that that is absurd. However, there's a reason that the line isn't moving in this game at all, and that's because the sharp money is coming in against the Falcons. Arizona was one of the sharpest teams at the start of the year on the Super Bowl odds, and this play is consistent with that thought.

Opening Line: Arizona -2.5
Current Line: Arizona -2.5
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Atlanta






(Rotation #230) Minnesota +9.5 - Last week, the Vikings were incredibly sharp against the Giants on Monday Night Football, and this week, they are once again incredibly sharp on Sunday Night Football. The Packers are one of the most overrated teams in the league, and there is no way that QB Christian Ponder can play as badly as QB Josh Freeman did last week.

Opening Line: Minnesota +11
Current Line: Minnesota +9.5
Public Betting Percentages: 72% on Green Bay






(Rotation #232) St. Louis +11.5 - All week long, this line has been holding relatively firm right around that 10.5-11.5 range, and for good reason. Yes, the Rams no longer have QB Sam Bradford, and they are going to be relying on a suspect QB Kellen Clemens, but we still aren't sure that the Seahawks should be laying double digits on the road. Remember that road double digit favorites are covering just 39% of the time since 1998.

Opening Line: St. Louis +11.5
Current Line: St. Louis +11.5
Public Betting Percentages: 74% on Seattle
 

WildBillPicks7

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(Rotation #219) Miami +6.5 - This line has drifted just a bit consistently on Miami all week long, and we think that there is a good reason for that. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in division play this year, and they might be in for another shocker in this one if the Dolphins can get over this three-game losing streak.

Opening Line: Miami +7
Current Line: Miami +6.5
Public Betting Percentage: 62% on New England

My opening Vegas number had NE -4, hence 62% on NE, line jumped to -6 1/2 after Wk 7 was over with. Where are you getting your opening lines from Senor?

Also had Seattle -6 1/2 opening line.

Thanks!

:0003
 

Senor Capper

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These are Vegas Insider lines

So I thought. Let me check where I pulled this article from.

I'm on my iPhone & can't read clearly lol



Here ya go......

edit link:admin
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line!
Forum Member
May 4, 2005
25,176
456
83
Atlantic City, NJ
These are Vegas Insider lines

So I thought. Let me check where I pulled this article from.

I'm on my iPhone & can't read clearly lol



Here ya go......

edit link:admin

Ok Senor, no problem, I got ya!!

I always see, opening lines differ from posts to post from tip sheets, etc., best Opening numbers I find come from Hilton and Scores n odds page, those lines adjust from the opening numbers before the wk is over and update again Sunday evening when all NFL games are done, then update again on Monday or Tuesday, when the MNF is over with again.

Thanks for the post and reply back. GL this weekend!!

:0074
 
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