SHARP PLAYS WEEK 6

Senor Capper

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Minnesota -2 ? Earlier this week, the Lions were actually favored in this game, and we thought right away that that was wrong. Detroit is likely without RB Reggie Bush and WR Calvin Johnson in this game, and that takes away a big chunk of what it does offensively. The Vikings haven't really played a lot of games like this yet this year where they were really expected to be able to compete and win, yet they have a shot to win this game and get to .500 through six of their 16 games on the docket. That said, almost 60 percent of the bets are coming in on Detroit. You know that there's something up when nearly 60 percent of the bets are on a home underdog, yet the line continues to move in the wrong direction.

Opening Line: Minnesota +2
Current Line: Minnesota -2
Public Betting Percentage: 56% on Detroit






Miami +3 ? The Dolphins are off of their bye week, and they are also coming off of their best game of the season when they beat up the Raiders in London (more on Oakland in a second). They're as healthy as they have been since Week 1 of the campaign, as they are expecting back as many as four defensive starters who have either been injured or on suspension. The Packers come in full of themselves after beating up the Vikes last Thursday, and though it's a good thing for Green Bay to have this game on a long week, it's a longer week for Miami. Most believe that QB Aaron Rodgers and the gang will abuse the Dolphins like they did Minnesota, but this game is on the road, not at home, and this is QB Ryan Tannehill at quarterback, not QB Christian Ponder.

Opening Line: Miami +3
Current Line: Miami +3
Public Betting Percentage: 74% on Green Bay







Oakland +7.5 ? The Raiders have a new coach, they've had an extra week to prepare for this one off of their bye week, and they are playing a divisional game at home. San Diego is the only perfect ATS team this year, and something has to give from that perspective at some point. Running the ball would seem to be easy against Oakland, but the Chargers are on their fourth center and their fourth running back of the season already. We might look foolish for this one, just as we did last week when the Jets were sharp against these same Chargers, but the Raiders have a much better scenario in front of them, and they are significantly sharper than the Jets ever were.

Opening Line: Oakland +8.5
Current Line: Oakland +7.5
Public Betting Percentage: 78% on San Diego
 

yanno

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I'm sorry, Senor, and maybe I'm reading this wrong, but Detroit is not a home underdog, it is in Minny and the line moved in the Vikes' direction.

BTW, I always read and enjoy your posts!




Minnesota -2 . That said, almost 60 percent of the bets are coming in on Detroit. You know that there's something up when nearly 60 percent of the bets are on a home underdog, yet the line continues to move in the wrong direction.

Opening Line: Minnesota +2
Current Line: Minnesota -2
Public Betting Percentage: 56% on Detroit
 

BEACHBOY

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SENOR I sure miss reading your post I like the way you put things I always laugh a lot when reading your post . I believe you were a driver of some kind? I hope with your capping for $ you getting super rich from one driver to another hope you don't driver anymore all the best to senor!!!
 

Skipper

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Can't wait to get back to Vegas. Have to hit that hole in the wall Mexican joint again. Thanks again for the hospitality:0008
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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SENOR I sure miss reading your post I like the way you put things I always laugh a lot when reading your post . I believe you were a driver of some kind? I hope with your capping for $ you getting super rich from one driver to another hope you don't driver anymore all the best to senor!!!

Nope. I fly. Was at Airlines for a while.



good luck :toast:
 

jesscolb

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Pros getting destroyed today and the "stupid" public winning.........The demise of the Pats and Brady were greatly exaggerated by the media.........Give me Brady over Orton every time and well Geno is Geno:mj07:
 
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