here it is lions - 2.5 is correct but make no bones about Packers unjuries are many WR DOUBS is out Saftey did not P personal LB limted in prcatice LB Cooper OUT DL Clark OUT CB is OUT
so i handicap the spread lions are +15 ppg packers +6.5 = lions +8.5 add spread in Lions are now +12.5 Packers +9 spread is of 6 points yes if pacers were 8.5 point dog they would go up +15 lions would drop to +6.5 15-6.5 = 8.5
my ats charts show packers geaded south from +22 ats to +8 ats lions no cover bears are -5.5 and lions 5 weeks ago in the rain in gb won 24-14
Packers almsot lost to bears as chalk -6 20-19 and they wer rested Lions won by 3 but were in system fade winning 2 games in row huge only gave uo 12 points
in other words lions are negative packers headed there!!!
Detroit has garnered all kinds of attention for its running game this season, and backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs have the Lions ranked fourth in rushing yards per game and third in EPA per rush.
Still, I’m anticipating Jared Goff having to air it out early and often to keep pace with the Packers and compensate for the shorthanded Detroit defense. Plus, the success of the ground game only makes it easier for Goff to attack vertically.
The Packers aren’t a nasty pass rush to go up against, either.
Green Bay ranks 28th in pass-rush win rate and 23rd in PFF pass-rush grade, and the Packers have the sixth-lowest blitz rate (18.8%) while allowing the second-highest dropback success rate to opposing QBs.
Goff has thrown for a career-high 8.8 yards per attempt, a 71.8 completion percentage, and the ninth-year QB has also averaged 255.7 passing yards per home game compared to 241.3 per on the highway.
Finally, Packers top cornerback Jaire Alexander (knee) has missed three of the past four games with a partially torn PCL, and I’m expecting him to have trouble keeping up Thursday. If he even plays at all...
Speaking of LaPorta, the second-year tight end has garnered 18 targets across the past three games, but he’s only turned the looks into nine receptions for 91 yards. Still, three have gone for touchdowns, and Green Bay hasn’t been tough on the position.
The Packers have allowed seven TEs to go for 40 or more receiving yards this season, including allowing 248 yards on 21 receptions the past three weeks. Green Bay has also surrendered the sixth-highest yards per target (8.61) and second-highest catch percentage (81.8%) to the position
so i handicap the spread lions are +15 ppg packers +6.5 = lions +8.5 add spread in Lions are now +12.5 Packers +9 spread is of 6 points yes if pacers were 8.5 point dog they would go up +15 lions would drop to +6.5 15-6.5 = 8.5
my ats charts show packers geaded south from +22 ats to +8 ats lions no cover bears are -5.5 and lions 5 weeks ago in the rain in gb won 24-14
Packers almsot lost to bears as chalk -6 20-19 and they wer rested Lions won by 3 but were in system fade winning 2 games in row huge only gave uo 12 points
in other words lions are negative packers headed there!!!
Detroit has garnered all kinds of attention for its running game this season, and backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs have the Lions ranked fourth in rushing yards per game and third in EPA per rush.
Still, I’m anticipating Jared Goff having to air it out early and often to keep pace with the Packers and compensate for the shorthanded Detroit defense. Plus, the success of the ground game only makes it easier for Goff to attack vertically.
The Packers aren’t a nasty pass rush to go up against, either.
Green Bay ranks 28th in pass-rush win rate and 23rd in PFF pass-rush grade, and the Packers have the sixth-lowest blitz rate (18.8%) while allowing the second-highest dropback success rate to opposing QBs.
Goff has thrown for a career-high 8.8 yards per attempt, a 71.8 completion percentage, and the ninth-year QB has also averaged 255.7 passing yards per home game compared to 241.3 per on the highway.
Finally, Packers top cornerback Jaire Alexander (knee) has missed three of the past four games with a partially torn PCL, and I’m expecting him to have trouble keeping up Thursday. If he even plays at all...
Speaking of LaPorta, the second-year tight end has garnered 18 targets across the past three games, but he’s only turned the looks into nine receptions for 91 yards. Still, three have gone for touchdowns, and Green Bay hasn’t been tough on the position.
The Packers have allowed seven TEs to go for 40 or more receiving yards this season, including allowing 248 yards on 21 receptions the past three weeks. Green Bay has also surrendered the sixth-highest yards per target (8.61) and second-highest catch percentage (81.8%) to the position
