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DOGS THAT BARK

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Jul 13, 1999
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outright
Kerr 10/1 e/w w/o Sorenstam @ Skybet 1st 5
almost embarrassed to put this chalk up but such huge disparity between a handful of players on this tour she could finish in all probability in top 6 and make some change and been hitting top 5 66% of time this year so this is one I fugure odds are greater of her cashing win than failing out of place.

and M.Y. Kim 8.25 to place top 5 @ Cbet

72 hole
C Kung -110 over Pramasudah
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Juli Inkster to win 16/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
Inkster broke a run of four top-10 finishes in her last outing, but there is every indication that there will a return to her previous form this week when she tees it up at the Marriott Seaview Resort. In nineteen previous starts in this event, she has won the title twice and finished in the top-4 ten times! And just to show that this is not ancient history for this veteran player, she has finished in the top-4 seven times in the last eight years. So with Victor Chandler taking Annika out of the equation and paying six places, she only needs to finish in the top-six for a payout. History is definitely on our side with this play.

Paula Creamer to win 20/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
By contrast, Creamer has played in this event only once and on that occasion, as an amateur, she held the lead with Cristie Kerr heading into the final round, was still tied with Kerr with one hole to play, but lost out to her opponent's birdie on the last hole. A very impressive performance at that stage of her career and now that she has turned professional and has a win under her belt and now ranks 4th on the Money List, she certainly looks good value at 20/1 to go one better this year and she may not even need that with the 'w/o Sorenstam' market.

Jeong Jang to win 66/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Will keep Sorenstam in the market with this play as these odds are much too big. Bet365 have priced her at half these odds in this market. Here is a player who finished 2nd in her last outing two weeks ago, has top-10 finishes in three of her last six events and in nine of 29 starts last year. She also finished in the top-10 two years ago on this course, so there is definitely value in these odds.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Liselotte Neumann to beat Sophie Gustafson -111 @ NordicBet
Both players with a mixed course history, this is a play on the golfer in the better form. They have played in eight common events in 2005 and Gustafson has finished ahead of her compatriot only once.

Cristie Kerr to beat Juli Inkster -138 @ SkyBet
Maybe a hedge play on the Inkster outright bet, but still a recognition that as consistent as Inkster has been, she is not currently in the same classic as Kerr, who has finished ahead of her in eight out of their last ten common events. And her course is not too bad either: she is the defending champion.

Jeong Jang to beat Jimin Kang -120 @ Centrebet and SuperOdds [3pts]
Opposing last week's maiden Tour winner as she competes on this course for the first time and has finished ahead of Jang only three times out of their last ten common events. Looking for another top-10 finish form Jang this week.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +12.00pts

Inkster 1st
Creamer 61st
Jang 5th

Inkster win the 'w/o Sorenstam' market certainly saved a disappointing week elsewhere! Just a pity that I didn't opt for the shorter odds on Jang in either the 'w/o Sorenstam' market or at a book that paid five places.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +2.43pts

Neumann/Gustafson WON by 1
Kerr/Inkster LOST by 9
Jang/Kang WON by 1

They even out over the course of the season and this case in just one week. Two single-shot losses on the Champions Tour were cancelled out by two single-shot wins in this event. Quite happy to lose the Kerr bet - she finished 11th - as Inkster was a winning outright play.

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 7-28; -3.62pts
Matchups: 25-8; +47.52pts
 
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