Siebel Classic

Stanley

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Outright plays (2 units unless stated):

Hale Irwin to win 9/2 @ Stan James
Much weaker field than last week so no 7/1 on offer again, but he is still selected at anything in excess of 3/1. Has won three times in his last five starts, including the Senior Skins, and has finished 2nd and no more than a single shot out of the lead in the other two events. Won the inaugural event last year by five shots. Don't see any reason why he shouldn't win this.

Dana Quigley to win 25/1 e.w. @ Surrey
Would have liked to back Doyle this week @ 12/1 (Centrebet), but with Irwin as a win-only selection, looking for two higher-priced players to complete this week's portfolio. Quigley is widely available at half this price, but presumably Surrey have based it upon his 41st place finish last year. But he was in the middle of an indifferent run of form last year, whereas this year he has four top-5 finishes from seven starts and close to top-5 finishes in two of the other three events. Will take this disparity in price with pleasure.

Doug Tewell to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Didn't play last year, but has won already this year and stands top of the driving accuracy stats and 2nd in the greens in regulation stats to Tom Kite who isn't playing this week. Both these stats will be important on this tougher-than-usual course and he looks over-priced at 33/1.
 

Clive

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Will agree on Quigley at 25/1, and add Fuzzy Zoeller and Danny Edwards, both at 100/1

Stats certainly against Stockton, DTB, think only two players 60+ have won in last two years; good luck though, he has looked good so far this season.
 

Stanley

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Matchups plays (2 units unless stated):

Hale Irwin to beat Bruce Fleisher -165 @ Five Dimes
Irwin has beaten Fleisher in every event this season bar the season-opening MasterCard Championship in Hawaii and finished 14 shots ahead of him on this course last year. Short odds, but will bite for a small play.

Allen Doyle to beat Gary McCord -138 @ Five Dimes
Doyle had never finished worse than 3rd at Newport Beach and followed suit by finishing 2nd last week. On this course, he finished 2nd last year and looks good to achieve something close to that again this week. McCord could only finish 15th last year when coming off a top-3 finish and his finishing positions in the the last three weeks read 2nd, 6th, 18th. Can't see the trend extending to 54th this week, but it's definitely moving in the wrong direction.

Doug Tewell to beat Bob Gilder -118 @ Five Dimes [6 units]
Took this matchup last week and won. Even more confident this week. From seven starts this season, Gilder has just two top-10 finishes and has finished outside the top-30 in three events. Not very good for the 2001 Rookie of the Year. If that were not enough reason to oppose Gilder, he shot 77-77-74 to finish 56th last year and it was not as though he was out of form at the time - his worst finish of the year to date had been 13th and he had won Verizon Classic.
 

Clive

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Was informed that Quigley was available at 50 with Stan James.

On enquiry that was indeed the price! To their credit they laid a fairly lumpy bet too. Strange....perhaps they know something we don't. It is a quite extraordinary price. If he wins Stan, I'll be claiming the bigger price!!
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Clive After reviewing I have to agree with you especially @ a meager 40/1. I must have had a brain fart:)

However will give him a shot at beating Jacobs @ + 105 5dimes.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The above is for 72 holes.
1st rd play
While Tewell has went to -150 for 72 holes he stills is @ -118 for 1st rd vs Gilder so will play him in the 1st rd @ 5dimes
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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Tewell played decent in 1st rd but Gilder played better.Drat!
will try a 2nd rounder
Wargo -105 over North
Hate to bet on a leader but since he played well yesterday and was only one of 3 (Quig and Purtzer)to bust 70 in pro am have to think this weather is not as hard on him as most.

Anyone know if Nelson started?
 

Stanley

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Tewell didn't start - I've had my 54-hole bet at Five Dimes already refunded :) - and I'm also pretty certain Nelson didn't start either - there are 78 players on the leaderboard so his place must have been taken by someone else.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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too late to play these due to early(weather)start but could not get in to post em earlier as Jacks site was down.They were logged elsewhere in early am which Stan can confirm.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Post earlier

2nd rd results
Wargo slips by North for one shot win.

72 holes
Stockton leading Jacobs by 2

3rd rd plays @ 5 Dimes
Sigel -118 over Wargo
Fuzzy -115 over Archer

Sigel appears to be one of few swinging well in these conditions and Wargo should have frost bite playing in short sleeve shirt past 2 days.
Archer appeared to hurt hand on 16th yesterday and at 62 these conditions have to be wearing him down.
 

Stanley

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Final update:

Matchups: 1-1-0; -0.76 units

Irwin/Fleisher WON by 1
Doyle/McCord LOST by 3
Tewell/Gilder VOID (Tewell did not start)

Outrights: 1-1; +29.25 units

Irwin 5th
Quigley 1st

Had Irwin's game not collapsed on the back nine yesterday - it was cold and windy though - he would have tested Quigley's suspect nerves coming down the stretch. Will gladly take a loss on Irwin to win the event with Quigley taking the honors. :D Irwin did have a great final round though to catch and overtake Fleisher :)

Cheers Anders :toast: Pity I didn't follow Clive's lead and lay some more at the 50/1 available ...

Senior Tour ytd
Matchups: 7-4; +4.77 units
Outrights: 7-13; +50.25 units
 

bettingmad

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Nice call again... been watching these senior tour posts with more interest.... going to have to sling some form together and keep an eye on you guys... just hope I am not too late and the bookies aren't so fed up of losing money to you that they stop quoting on it!
 

Clive

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A bit of a nerve jangling evening, to say the least!!
Landed my biggest ever golf win on Quigley, and the Zoeller return will come in pretty handy too!
Down to work for next week...
 
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