Situational Against the Dolphins

[pistol495]

Need some help here. Does anybody have any stats going AGAINST teams who have given up single digits in 3 straight games? This seems like a prime spot for Dallas to put a load up on the Dolphins and simply dont see MIA keeping up. Could be a better TT play rather than lay the points but I would love to see some stats.

Thanks,
Pistol

 

[MasterTX]

Let me take a look in my database...give me about 15 min

 

[MasterTX]

Since 1988-89 season:

Situation has come up 37 times

Team with the strong D for L3 weeks has been at home for 4th game 20 times and on the road 17 times.

At Home:
Avg Off Pts 20.0
Avg Def Pts 16.5
6-14 ATS Overall
As DOG 1-1 ATS
As FAV 5-13
11 Unders
9 Overs

On Road:
Avg Off Pts 15.6
Avg Def Pts 17.4
7-10 ATS Overall
As DOG 2-5 ATS
As FAV 5-5 ATS
11 Unders
5 Overs
1 Push

 

[MasterTX]

Obviously the sample size is not large enough to draw any strong conclusions, but the UNDER 44 looks enticing.

The average Vegas O/U for these games historically is 37.2
The average Total Points scored in these games is 34.9

Also, not sure if you meant Team Total by TT, but for Road Teams, the TT going Under is 13-4. You should be able to get Mia Under 18.5.

I am on the Cowboys this week, so hoping for Miami to get stymied. (Originally thought I was on Mia, but had to check my post). :toast:

 

[Old School]

Boys and Under...

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=time><TD colSpan=7>4:15 PM EST</TD></TR><TR class="team odd"><TD style="TEXT-TRANSFORM: uppercase" class=name>105 MIAMI DOLPHINS</TD><TD class=line>44</TD><TD class=line>44 / 44.5</TD><TD id=ajaxUpdating-65141-105-Current class="currentline ">44</TD><TD id=ajaxUpdating-65141-105-Line class="line ">+240</TD><TD id=ajaxUpdating-65141-105-HalftimeLine class="halftime "></TD><TD id=ajaxUpdating-65141-105 class="score "></TD></TR><TR class="team even"><TD style="TEXT-TRANSFORM: uppercase" class=name>106 DALLAS COWBOYS</TD><TD class=line>-9 +14</TD><TD class=line>-7 -02 / -7 / -7 -05</TD><TD id=ajaxUpdating-65141-106-Current class="currentline ">-7 </TD><TD id=ajaxUpdating-65141-106-Line class="line ">-280</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




lines from SIA sponsoring book..

Bush has propelled the Fish of late...Boys will certainly have an eye out for the swing pass.Hard to imagine him busting up inside on Turkey Day in the stadium that Thor built.




16:15 Miami at Dallas

• Price
• Price

• Miami +7.0 -105
• Dallas -7.0 -115

Moneyline

• Miami +250
• Dallas -310

Over/Under

• Over +44.5 -110
• Under +44.5 -110

First Half

• Miami +4.5 -110
• Dallas -4.5 -110

First Half Moneyline

• Miami Closed
• Dallas Closed

First Half Over/Under

• Over +22.0 -110
• Under +22.0 -110

Team Total

• Dallas Over +26.0 -118
• Dallas Under +26.0 -118

• Miami Over +19.0 -118
• Miami Under +19.0 -118

Race to 10 Points

• Miami +150
• Dallas -192

First Team To Score

• Miami +135
• Dallas -182

First Score of Game

• Touchdown -175
• Field Goal +135
• Any Team Safety +4000

First Scoring Play

• Miami Touchdown +290
• Miami Field Goal +375
• Dallas Touchdown +130

• Dallas Field Goal +333
• Any Team Safety +4000

Alternate Spread

• Miami +3.0 +152
• Dallas -3.0 -244

• Miami +3.5 +136
• Dallas -3.5 -208

• Miami +4.0 +125
• Dallas -4.0 -192

• Miami +4.5 +120
• Dallas -4.5 -169

• Miami +5.0 +115
• Dallas -5.0 -161

• Miami +5.5 +110
• Dallas -5.5 -149

• Miami +6.0 +104
• Dallas -6.0 -139

• Miami +6.5 -101
• Dallas -6.5 -128

• Miami +7.5 -118
• Dallas -7.5 -110

• Miami +8.0 -128
• Dallas -8.0 -104

• Miami +8.5 -137
• Dallas -8.5 +101

• Miami +9.0 -147
• Dallas -9.0 +105

• Miami +9.5 -154
• Dallas -9.5 +110

 

[pistol495]

Obviously the sample size is not large enough to draw any strong conclusions, but the UNDER 44 looks enticing.

The average Vegas O/U for these games historically is 37.2
The average Total Points scored in these games is 34.9

Also, not sure if you meant Team Total by TT, but for Road Teams, the TT going Under is 13-4. You should be able to get Mia Under 18.5.

I am on the Cowboys this week, so hoping for Miami to get stymied. (Originally thought I was on Mia, but had to check my post). :toast:

Thanks Master,

I was thinking based upon their D performance the last 3 weeks it would be extremely difficult fopr MIA to keep DAL down this week. Looks like when these teams go on the road as a dog they are miserable (2-5). Makes me like DAL. I was thinking DAL TT but the stats say otherwise (27ish, right?).
Ironically the strong D gives up 17 regardless of venue. Interesting.

 

[pistol495]

One more thing. Does strong D equate with a team who gave up less than 10 pts in three straight. I would think there's a difference. Thanks for all your help

 

[MasterTX]

By "strong D" I meant the team that gave up less than 10 in 3 straight.

 

[pistol495]

Just don't get the warm and fuzzy on Dallas after seeing those stats. Perhaps under is the call as you suggested. Thanks for your help man!