Smitty's Wimbledon

Smitty

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Day 3

tiafoe/struff (sorry, zz)/dimitrov/shapovalov (+138) 5 units

rybakina in straight sets/vekic/shapovalov/dimitrov (+110) 4 units

harris (+120) 4 units
 

Smitty

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Day 2 finally complete. Updated record:

6-9 +13.7 units

That was a nice day 2. More of that, please.
 
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kickserv

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6-9 +13.7 units


Will Ferrell Elf GIF by filmeditor
 

Smitty

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Day 4

hurkacz/fils first set over 10.5 games (+110) 10 units

safiullin (-115) 4.6 units

pouille (+160) 2 units

halys (+180) 4 units

safiullin/pouille/halys each +1.5 sets (+343) 2 units
 

Smitty

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day 3 1-2 (-1.1 units)

day 4 well, shit, that was a hell of a day 4. 5-0 (+29.5) of course, for the purpose of the parlay, pouille was voided. i shoulda had the balls to parlay all 3 of them to win. oh well. so that parlay was +206 instead of +342.

overall - 12-11 (+42.1 units). and to think after my start to day one i was ready to quit posting my bets.
 
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Smitty

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Day 5

shnaider (+120) 4 units
shnaider 1st set (+110) 4 units

andreescu +1.5 games/keys/vekic (+231) 4 units

shnaider to win a set/keys/vekic (+159) 4 units

keys/vekic/dimitrov/agut (+239) 4 units

struff (+145) 4 units

struff +1.5 sets/shapovalov +1.5 sets/dimitrov (+234) 5 units

and let's do this for shits and giggles... struff/dimitrov/shnaider/keys/vekic (+1191) 1 unit
 

Smitty

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just need struff and agut to get off to good starts tomorrow, and it will be another nice day.

day 6

safiullin (+110) 1 unit

perricard (aka GMP) (-135) 13.5 to win 10

halys (+350) 1 unit

popyrin to win 1 set (-115) 2.3 units
popyrin to win 2 sets (+260) 1 unit
popyrin (+550) 1 unit

GMP + gonzalez/vasselin (+113) 4 units
 

Smitty

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So close...he almost had it:mad:
up 2 sets... oh well, i'll say that's a good bet on a player who was +350. just couldn't quite seal the deal.

safiullin was also up 2-1.

GMP took care of business though. hopefully i can close out that parlay tomorrow in a winning fashion.

we can now close the book on day 5...

3-5 (+2.4)

overall

15-16 (+44.5 units) not bad, after a brutal day one.
 

Smitty

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Day 7

starting to run low on opportunities. probably forcing these a bit.

i really like keys to take care of business, but i'm not laying -250. gotta find some parlays.

i don't like this at all, but here's what i had to do to get to + money...

sinner -1.5 sets/dimitrov +2.5 sets/alcaraz/keys (+117) 10 units
sinner in straight sets/alcaraz/keys (+155) 6 units
dimitrov to win 2 sets/keys (+120) 5 units

dimitrov (+110) 4 units
dimitrov +1.5 games (-115) 6.9 units

dimitrov +1.5 games/keys (+157) 4 units

navarro (+270) 4 units

my multi-day parlays never win, but i gotta do this...

keys/MGP (+167) 6 units

and, looking at monday kick, any thoughts on rune vs asshole dipshit? that old turd looks so vulnerable, but something about rune that i just don't trust on this stage. i think he's going to be WAY too hyped up, trying to make his mark.
 

kickserv

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and, looking at monday kick, any thoughts on rune vs asshole dipshit?

Anytime you bet against asshole dipshit it is a win, even if it isn't.

There, hope that helps.


And FWIW I'd take Rune at the sweet odds if he was fresh, but Rune has been on court quite a bit and I think he's a bit tired, so I'd stay away from any wagers on that match.
 

Smitty

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Day 7

i really like keys to take care of business
well, that was a bad bet that damn near paid off. luckily for me, the bets i placed on DK are voided. unluckily, BetMGM graded them as a loss because the first set had been concluded. the bad news is that BetMGM had a better line on Keys, so that's where I placed most of the bets. but thes Keys part of these wagers were voided:

sinner -1.5 sets/dimitrov +2.5 sets/alcaraz/keys (+117) 10 units LOSS
sinner in straight sets/alcaraz/keys (+155) 6 units LOSS
dimitrov to win 2 sets/keys (+120) 5 units LOSS

dimitrov (+110) 4 units VOIDED
dimitrov +1.5 games (-115) 6.9 units VOIDED

dimitrov +1.5 games/keys (+157) 4 units VOIDED

keys/MGP (+167) 6 units LOSS
so that puts me at 0-4 (-27 units) for day 7 with Navarro pending.

Day 6 final 2-5 (+4.3)

Updated record through Day 6: 17-21 (+48.8 units)
 

kickserv

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well, that was a bad bet that damn near paid off. luckily for me, the bets i placed on DK are voided. unluckily, BetMGM graded them as a loss because the first set had been concluded. the bad news is that BetMGM had a better line on Keys, so that's where I placed most of the bets. but thes Keys part of these wagers were voided:
That was lots of writing for one chick tennis match....just sayin'
 

Smitty

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Day 7
1-4 (-16.2 units)

Overall
18-25 (+32.6 units)

Day 8
I'll take another shot with GMP, but for a lot less than previously. And really don't like much on the ladies' side.

GMP (-105) 4.2 units

Rybakina/Svitolina/Collins (+180) 5 units
 

Smitty

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That was lots of writing for one chick tennis match....just sayin'
ha. that was so brutal to watch. keys played SOOOO poorly. i was laughing my ass off when the announcer (MJ Fernandez?) was talking about what a great match it was. This was late in the 2nd, when there was just one unforced error after another. I was yelling at the TV loudly enough that my GF came in from the deck and asked if I was having a heart attack. I told her if that shit keeps up, I probably will.
 
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Smitty

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Day 8 0-2 (-9.2)

Overall 18-27 (+23.4) eating into the profit. only good decision i made today....

1720487628347.png

as expected, rune just wasn't up to the task. i still thought asshole dipshit looked very, very vulnerable. just not convinced de minaur is the guy, but at +255 i'm almost definitely going to bet on him. he's also +1100 to win in straight sets.
 
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