SMOKES WK-2 ARENA FOOTBALL SYSTEM PICKS!

[SMOKE JENSEN]

I have this spread sheet formula/system that I developed for the AFL last year. It hit 58.4%. Hope it wasn't a fluke. I will sart my bankroll with $5,000. My unit size will be 4% of the bankroll starting with wk 4. That's when it really took off last year after 3wks of stats were in. Until then I will wager only 2% during wks 2-3. Hope it works. Here goes!


Starting bankroll: $5,ooo
wk-2 unit size 2%: $100


Plays:

G. RAPIDS +7
COLUMBUS +10-(bought the hook)
CHICAGO-7


K. CITY is a play too. But I think I can get better than 8pts. Money seems to be moving toward ORLANDO. I'll wait and watch.





SMOKE

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

K. CITY+8

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

The Austin/Arizona line just came out. Austin is a play.

Austin+1.5

 

[kegray1]

Love the Chi(-7) play.
They had issues stopping the pass rush last week,but I think they overcome that problem this week.
NY showed me nothing last week.
Aaron Garcia had a so so game and was on his ass more times than David Carr on any given Sunday.

Good Luck in your other plays.
Also leaning towards Austin. Gonna see how the Chi game is going.
Also like the UNDER 99 in the Chi/NY game.

 

[kegray1]

Dallas Desperado's(+1) over Utah.

Utah QB Joe Germaine will not be able to keep up with Clint and Co.
Too much offense from Dallas for Utah to handle.

Dallas BIG for me.

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

The point variance from my systems line and the vegas line wasn't the required 7 pts for a play. Won 2 loss 3 first week out wasn't too bad.Considering only one weeks stats to go on. With a couple more weeks stats the system will get better and the number of plays per week will drop. By the way kegray1. Vegas is a play Monday for the system. I' thinking about laying off it. Like I said. Only one weeks stats to go on. After 3 weeks stats I don't do no thinking barring injury. I just play what it says. What do you think about Vegas? Good luck to you.



SMOKE

 

[kegray1]

3-1 yesterday.
Chi failed me,but the under hit by 1 point and Austin rolled.
Austin looks like the best team that I have seen ths far.

I thought Vegas looked awful early vs. Austin,but made a nice run at them in the 3rdQ. Mistakes hurt them in the 2ndQ in Austin.

SJ played flat out awful last week to a Utah team that I have questions about.
Let's see how Utah plays tonite.

I think Vegas is the play here. SJ returns just about everyone form a team that could score so maybe last week was a fluke or Utah is better than I thought.
Lets see.

 

[kegray1]

4-1 start to the season thus far.

I feel the play in the SJ/LV game is the OVER 98.

Last meeting was a SJ 85-75 victory.
LV defense was so vs. Dallas in week one giving up 64 points.
SJ didn't fair much better in losing to Utah.
I think this will be around 90 at the end of the 3rd.

 

[Flipper13]

how did smokes do?

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

Mine with one weeks stats went W-2 l-3.

The system went W-3 L-3. But I did not pull the trigger on Vegas Monday:banghead: On to next week!!


SMOKE

 

[kegray1]

I have won 2 Overs by a single point each tus far.
6-1 start for me.

Seems that defense is more highly stressed this season.
Looking at some unders next week.