some new lows

selkirk

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Jul 16, 1999
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will make a list of new lows, some of the stocks I watch on a daily basis hit new lows, especially in the morning, when you wonder if something happened to the company...

(note the times have done these lists they have done good, except for the last time, there was some small gains, but they were wiped out and then by even a sharper downturn, starting last monday. will update that one to..)

1. RCI.b (cnd) RCI (US) $1 div 2.86% pe 19
Roger Com, is the number one wireless and cable company in Canada, they also have media assets and the blue jays. though this is a play on cable and wirless.

they are a cash flow machine, raising their dividend on an annual basis, and paying down large amount of debt.
disadvantage: more competitors in the wirless will appear, so profit margins probably do not grow, still they are the clear leaders.

new low: traded as low as 30.26, thought it was good value at 34.
closed 34.96 should trade in a range of 28-46. would look at slowly buying around 30-32.cnd.

2. AGU Agrium high 116.15 36 pe 6.18 .28yield

there was a time, like 8-12 months ago that the market would give AGU, POT and Mossaic a 12-15 forward multiple on earnings, people had to eat and there was a food and grain shortage.

now the economy is so bad no one has to eat. was always worried over a 10X multiple on the stock, remember in the late 90s when no one cared about the stock when it was trading at a 7X.
maybe this is one of those times, however this stock is the biggest retailer in the US fertilizer market, and US farmers will still be plantning as much as last year.... there is rumour people have to eat.

low : it hit $36, yes and the company earnings should stay flat or grow,
have traded around AGU, have bought some, this is a very volatile stock, so have stops in place or build a position slowly.

FTS Fortis 4.39% $1 div 15.41 PE
is a utility in Canada, and is extremely well run...and if you heat your home in Newfoundland or BC, natural gas probably guess who gets paid.
very well run company and a utility bought buy many long term investors, not to exiting.

low : hit 21.30, closed 22.80.
note bought some at 22, and have 22, and 24 dollar puts on the stock oct. my avg. cost will be 22.20 if put to me.
this is a good long term stock that will yield me over 4% yield, and will increase their dividend over time.... not the most exciting stock (hopefully). one do not mind owning.

thanks
selkirk
 

selkirk

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Forum Member
Jul 16, 1999
2,147
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0
Canada
tck.b tck teck

TCK.b 21.20 high 52.90 low 18.22
tck 18.57 high 53.80 low 16.52

teck is the largest mining company in Canada since Inco and Falconbridge have been taken over. Teck which is family controlled by multiple voting shares, (the one thing do not like about the company, though the family has done a good job, and hires smart management to run the company.)

Teck is involved in gold, moly, zinc, nickel, coal, copper, copper, copper, oil.

mentioned before how tck.b was bouncing off of 34, it did this three times, and went over $40cdn. very quickly. often gains of 20-30% could be had if bought at around 34 cdn. and waiting a few weeks, okay 1.5 months....

anyways that worked 3 times, the fourth it is called take a loss when it broke 32 cdn. or how to lose 10-15% quickly.

earlier this week (Monday) it hit 52 week low of 18.22 cdn. 16.52 US. , was surprised it correct this much but shows you how much these base metal companies can fall on a correction.
ie. RIO.

talked to someone on Tuesday and we talked about how low it could go, I offered $15, he said what about zero. that just shows the negative feelings towards the base metal sector.

TCK.b trade at 5.78 PE (though it is probably closer to 10), also at the low it was trading at book. has cash on hand and yields 5.78%.

also they are closing the Fording cdn. coal deal, which will add to earinings in the first year.

should state I am underwater currently 15%, and have a small position....there is no need to rush in.....though I did buy some more at 20 cdn.

a play on base metals, if copper moves up and other base metals, if they drop 50%, then you will not want to own this name.

near the high people were making bullish and wrong claims now no one wants it..... this is on the list a well run mining company.

this is one compnay, want to build a position slowly and set stops.

thanks
selkirk
 
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