Large chalk vs first half lines
Large chalk vs first half lines
RAZ,
I have been in your shoes before. I tracked most of the 2000-2001 NCAA season and this is what I found.
I looked at lines of 15 points or more. In 142 games with a large amount of chalk, favorites and dogs finished even at 71-71. BUT large favorites on the first half line were 83-54 with 5 pushes for a 60.58%. Now, a majority of the games that covered the first half also covered the game line, but 22 favorites covered the first half line but lost the game line vs 9 favorites that did not cover the first half line but came back to cover the game spread.
I have found that if I like a large favorite, play them on the first half line. If I like the dog, play them on the game line.
Track it for a while this season and I think you will find the same results.
