Sony Open Hawaii

[Ian]

Not entirely sure what to make of this - Ben Crane - a young graduate from the Buy.com tour is playing this week and his odds vary from 20/1 at Stan James to 50/1 William Hill to 200/1 Bet365 , don't know who has got it wrong but it is very bizarre to say the least.
Camelot were 250 and now offer 200

 

[Ian]

A strange trend has been in evidence for the last few years - the last 5 had missed the cut on their last appearance here, in fact the last 3 had missed their previous 2 and one all 3, yet with the exception of Stankowski all had shown a level of form previously
Faxon - c/c/2
Azinger - c/c/9
Sluman - c/c/8
Huston - c/65/7/3
Stankowski - c/c/c
The player who best fits the above model is Len Mattiace c/c/2 - best priced 125/1 at Sporting Odds, Parnevik missed the cut last year but finished 3rd the year before - 40/1 again at Sporting Odds.
Other players worthy of a second look are - Beckman, Baird ,Chad Campbell, and Pat Bates

 

[tartancords]

B Gay

B Gay

on Stanley's stats (2nd putss, 7th Accurancy and 10th last year) 100/1 with simon bold is just too high a price for Brian Gay who is undoubtedly a better player than that price implies.

at 25/1 the place 1/4 odds first 4 its a value bet

 

[Clive]

Appleby at 40/1 with Heathorns and Ladbrokes for me. Until last year had a first class record here and won in Aus over the winter.
Despite Lehman's lack of current form, I still like the 25/1 with the Tote...he is the definitive Hawaii Open specialist.
Can't understand why Maruyama is as big as 80/1 with Hills.

 

[rio]

Sony Open

Sony Open

I think you've got to consider Sluman, whose been in the shake up the last few years. 66/1 SportingOdds.

If the back can hold out in these fierce winds I'm keen on Dudley Hart at around the same price.

Putting punting to one side for a second here's hoping Luke Donald has a good tournament and goes on to have a great year.

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays

Outright plays

Jim Furyk 16/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler or Heathorns (0.5 units) (15/1 @ Olympic)
Would normally look to avoid players to competed in such strong winds in the previous week - it can be very disruptive to the swing - but Jolly Jim just can't miss an event in Hawaii. In fact, he's even buying a house there. A solid display last week to finish 4th and with an excellent record in this part of the world, he is an obvious contender for any short-list.

Tom Lehman 24/1 e.w. [win & show] @ Olympic (0.5 units)
Now to players who didn't suffer the buffering of the Trade Winds last week. Lehman has a great record on this course: 6th in 1997 and even better once it was tightened up ... 6th and 2nd in the last two years. On these grainy Bermuda greens, good course form is vital and he is the 2nd of three selections who share that characteristic.

Stuart Appleby 40/1 e.w. [win & show] @ Olympic or Heathorns (0.5 units)
Fresh and coming off a victory in the prestigious Australian Open, albeit six weeks ago, Appleby is another who should contend again this week. Finishes of 16th, 2nd and 37th in the last three years are enough evidence that he can cope with the winds and greens in Honolulu.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Outrights to place only @ Oly
Dimarco 4/1 @ Sluman 12.5/1

Based this weeks selections on emphasis of players historys of shooting low#'s This tourney has ave around -15 to take home the cheese. Winning score after 99 when changed to par 70 has ave -16. Love leads field with Tourneys of -15 or better last year.
He ,Sergio,Furyk among others were on short list but 4/1 is cut off on my place wagers which left Dimarco just slipping in.
Sluman was in top five of this field tourneys @ -15 or better. His dismal showing last week was initially a turnoff but reviewing last year tourny prior to finishing 10th at Sony he was cut with rounds of 78-73. In addition his break even odds in 2001 for place bets was 7.2 and he getting a hefty 12.5 so good value there.
Agree with all that Appleby value looks good and may put some on him,but never reaching the top 4 in 26 pga events last year was a concern.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
plays are 1 unit each

 

[Stanley]

72-hole plays

72-hole plays

Kenny Perry to beat Robert Allenby -111 @ Ladbrokes (0.5 units)
Perry topped the greens in regulation stats last week and finished just one shot out of the playoff. Don't expect him to repeat such a performance this week, but he should be able to beat Allenby who must be very frustrated by his very poor putting last week (ranked last).

Joel Edwards to beat Brian Gay -120 @ Camelot (0.5 units)
The Texan showed he could play in wind last week - Edwards was in contention until the last day. He surpassed many people's expectations and could carry that forward to a decent showing this week. Opposing Gay who, while he did finish 10th last year, had missed the two previous cuts here and finished the 2001 season poorly.

David Frost to beat Rory Sabbatini +105 @ Camelot (1.5 units)
2001 was a much better season for the South African and on this short course, he looks much more suited to this venue. Sabbatini is not suited to the new narrow course and has missed the cut on two of three occasions. He may have a 'hot' week - he finished in the top-5 three times last year - but he blows more cold than not - he did not have another top-20 finish

Jim Furyk to beat Charles Howell -135 @ Camelot (0.5 units)
A great deal is expected of Howell for the new season and with that there is much pressure on him before a ball has been struck, it will be no surprise if he has a quiet week. Not expecting the same from outright selection, Furyk

Loren Roberts to beat J.J. Henry -120 @ Victor Chandler (0.5 units)
One of the Tour's best putters against one of its worst and on these Bermuda greens, that is a crucial difference. It can be seen in the players' course form as well: two top-10 finishes in the three years since the course changes for Roberts; 66th last year for Henry

 

[ormond80]

LET'S BEGIN ON A WINNING NOTE: SONY OPEN 72 HOLE MATCHUP

FAXON -140 OVER J. DURANT

HAPPY GAMING.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Adding Furyk To place only 4.5/1 @ Oly

Odds have increased from 3.5 to 4.5 since early am.I'll bite.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 holes
Lickliter +110 over Hoch@ Oly
Gonna oppose Hoch again over here

K Perry -115 over Howell @ Bet365
K surprised me last week will give him a try with Howell being 1st timer here.

Appleby -110 over Maruyama @ Cascade
Climbing on the Appleby band wagon.

Sluman -105 over Allenby @ Cascade
Parny -110 over Allenby @ $plays

Ditto Stan's take plus can't see pace of play in this group being to his liking.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding @ Royal (formerly Betworld) 72 holes
Furyk -112 over K Perry

 

[boris]

Lehman 25/1 Tattsbet btw

 

[boozee11]

head to head matches

head to head matches

local book giving us these head to head matches...quick reply appreciated----all -110
toms v garcia.....dl III v dimarco...furyk v pernivek...lehman v ch III...appleby v hoch,,,perry v faxon...couples v sluman

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

If I had to choose 3 would take Furyk-Lehman and Appleby IMHO.

 

[Stanley]

Yes, Furyk over Parnevik would be on my list as well

 

[Sports Junkie]

Followed some leads from you guys and came up with a couple of my own as well for 72 holes.

Lehman (-135) over Hoch

Durant (+100) over Quigley

Furyk (-120) over Perry and Furyk (-145) over Howell as well.


Again, great info found here and good luck to everyone this weekend.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Anyone know health status of Love? Considering him vs Sergio 1st rd.Sergio turned 21 yesterday and may be playing with 1st hangover

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Adding Dimarco +110 over Garcia 72 Holes @ Camelot
Might be an all week binge.

On a side note I'm bout at my wits end having to scroll down 3 or 4 times trying to make one post.Anyone figure away around this yet?

 

[Ian]

Live scoring

Live scoring

PGA tour site not working - anyone got another link?