Southern Farms Bureau Classic

Ian

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Highly unoriginal selection of Henninger just in case it ends after 3 rounds! 66/1 Vic Chandler and Sporting Odds
Second choice of Tommy Byrum - has good course form and has been playing better of late - would have finished much higher at the weekend if it was not for a bad couple of holes on Sunday 100/1 Sporting Odds
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Got any outrights on Kraft anywhere.Was going to take flyer on him e/w @ Sportingbet
in quest to hit a big one this year and while they have lined 57 players they have omitted him
frown.gif
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Appears Oly may not have outrights on State Farm so will opt for E/W bet @ Sportingbet
Tway @ 40/1

Note: Since Sportingbet was so nice to put Kraft on slate 50/1
rolleyes.gif
I felt obligated to take small stake but at quoted odds do not deem it as an official play.

Fransfering from Tour Champ. thread
72 hole Cook -110 over Daly
 

Stanley

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Preview & outright plays:

The PGA Tour season starts as it ends with two events. One for the top-30 players on Tour and one for the rest. A player would have to finish in the top-5 in this event to earn as much money as the last-placed player in the Tour Championship! But it has always been a difficult history for this event since its founding in 1968. Originally, it was played opposite the MasterCard?Colonial. The event then spent 25 years opposite The?Masters before moving to a mid-summer position opposite the British?Open. It moved to its end-of-season position in 1999 and to lose just 30 players to a important competition is an improvement, I suppose.

Apart from the issue of the top-125 positions on the Money List which will be decided this week, other positions are almost as important. A top-40 spot will gain entry to the Masters next year, while an improbable jump into the top-30 will guarantee entry into the other majors next year. They face a Jack Nicklaus-designed course that is atypically tight. The course is not long, but with water and narrow tree-lined fairways greeting the players, it is little surprise that Fred Funk has played so well at Annandale. The greens are small and Bentgrass, but it accuracy off the tee that will determine the winner this week.

The three selections are Kirk Triplett, Chris Riley and Skip Kendall. All three have great course form. Triplett has never won this event, but was 2nd by a shot to Willie Wood in 1996 and in four visits to Annandale he has never shot a single round over-par and has never finished outside the top-15. He did miss the cut last week despite a valiant attempt on his last nine holes to claw back into the tournament, but having had two fine events in October, he looks to be a leading contender this week.

Chris Riley can gain entry to his first Masters with a good performance this week and all the indications are that he should. He finished 6th last year with every round in the 60s and has been in great form since finishing 2nd in the International - an event that he should have won - with top-15 finishes in six of his last eight events. In this form he warrants the short price.

Like Triplett, Skip Kendall is a selection who has been a runner-up in this event and that was only last year when he lost in a playoff to Steve Lowery holed a 40-foot putt from off the green. He is the only selection to have played in all four events in October - like so many of the field - but he finished in the top-25 on each occasion and secured a season-high finish of 6th in the NCR Classic. It was his only top-10 of the year and has erased all worries of falling out of the top-125 on the Money List. Playing the best golf of the year and on a course which is set up for his accuracy, he should play well.

Outright plays:

Kirk Triplett to win 20/1 e.w. @?BetInternet or Heathorns
Chris Riley to win 20/1 e.w. @?Sportingbet
Skip Kendall to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet or Victor Chandler
 

Stanley

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72-hole plays:

Loren Roberts to beat Billy Andrade -120 @ Intertops
Quite a collapse of form from Andrade. He recorded three top-5 finishes from the Buick Classic to the PGA Championship but has since missed four of his last five cuts, including his last three. Roberts bounced back from a poor run to finish 17th last week and though he hasn't played this course, it should suit his game

Jeff Maggert to beat Briny Baird -110 @ Camelot
Maggert has yet to play this course, but like Roberts, he should have the ideal game for Annandale. Coming off a 6th place finish last week he should be looking for another strong performance and he should beat Baird who has failed to finish in the top-30 in his last six events

Kirk Triplett to beat John Daly -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
Strongest play of the week because this is not a course for Daly. In four previous visits he has a best finish of 36th and after struggling, as expected, last week, he should find things much easier at Annandale. Easy side with the outright pick

Carlos Franco to beat Carl Paulson -111 @ Simon Bold
For all that Franco is inaccurate off the tee, he has maintained a number good finishes in the last few months. Can't see him winning this event, but a top-30 spot is expected. Not so for Paulson who is really feeling the pressure of the top-125. Since the cancellation of the Tampa Bay Classic, he has played in every event (seven) and his finishes have gradually worsened. He fell seven places to 117th on the Money List last week and is an easy player to oppose

Bob Tway to beat Brian Henninger -111 @ Simon Bold
Henninger has won this event on two occasions (1994 & 1999) and on both occasions they were rain-shortened events. Now his two-year exemption from winning the 1999 event is about to expire and he is going to lose his Tour Card unless he wins this week. Can't see that happening from a player who has missed the cut on 18 of 28 starts this season and nor will he beat a player who has made the cut in his last ten events and finished 20th on this course last year

Skip Kendall to beat Brett Quigley -111 @ Ladbrokes
No worries about next year's Tour Card for Quigley, but more worrying will be the effect of playing in the high winds at Capitol Hill last weekend in the Buy.com Tour Championship. It will not have done his swing any favors and with the course set up to reward accuracy not length off the tee, it is no surprise that he has struggled here in recent years. Easy side with the outright pick

Loren Roberts to beat Brett Quigley -110 @ Victor Chandler
No course form, but a decent performance last week from Roberts and he looks set for a top-30 finish. Should be enough to beat Quigley on this course
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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No 1st rounders
72 holes Cook/Daly is scratch as Daly did not start.
Funk/Henry 4 up
Riley/Howell 3 up
Kraft/Sposa 3 down.
Outrights Tway 2 out.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Ronnie Neither Daly nor Kaye teed off.

Not much out there on 2nd rounders but got a couple I'm going to play @ 5dimes

Maggert +102 over Edwards
Baird +110 over Henry
 

Stanley

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Mid-point update:

Two plays are decided at the cut and both are winners. Roberts beat Andrade by three shots and Tway beat Henninger by eight. Not such good news with the other plays as they are all losing: Maggert/Baird 5 down; Franco/Paulson 5 down; Kendall/Quigley 3 down; Roberts/Quigley 4 down. None of the outrights are in winning positions either - Triplett 10th, Riley 19th, Kendall 41st - so the weekend can only see an improvement!
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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at the cut todays matches 0-1-1
Maggert/Edwards loss by 4
Baird/Henry push
all 72 holes alive at cut
Funk/Henry 2 up
Riley/Howell 1 up
Kraft/Sposa 5 down
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Not much out there today but did find some 3balls 2Sportingbet that looked enticing.Will conclude 3balls for year with one final combo for 1 unit considering only 3
matches.

Stake 20
Possible Win 225.62
Tournament: Triplett v Choi v Burns
Selection: Triplett
Bet type: 3 Ball Bet
Odds: 1/1

Tournament: Tway v W Wood v JJ Henry
Selection: Tway
Bet type: 3 Ball Bet
Odds: 11/8

Tournament: Funk v Magee v Slocum
Selection: Funk
Bet type: 3 Ball Bet
Odds: 11/8
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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3rd rd recap Matches 0-1
Tway is beaten by Quig by 2
3ball combo Funk was lone winner
pending 72 holes are sliding
Funk/Henry 1 up
Riley/Howell 3 down
Kraft/Sposa 10 down

Outright of Tway slipped to 16th
Does not look to bright in this tourny and will probably take my lumps and pass on 4th round.
 

Ian

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Just goes to show how frustrating betting can be - first week I don't back Beckman in the last month - he wins + Quigley holds on to a place finish this week
frown.gif
then again - 18th Green Valley of Sin - (sorry Stan)
You win some - You lose some
 
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