Does anyone know what the stats are for the home team covering in the second round against the wild card?
Thanks in advance and GLTA
Thanks in advance and GLTA
Stats
- Thread starter Dreyfus
- Start date
tmwarning wrote this use it for what it is worth with other capping factors:
how well do the teams that earn a first round bye do with the extra time to prepare (albeit for multiple opponents since their foe will not be determined until the outcome of the Wild Card round are known)?
Well, overall the home sides playing off an extra week?s rest are 25-17 (60%) over the past decade of playoff action in the second round of the post-season. So, a case can be made that the extra time is a benefit. Then again, the teams with a bye are presumably among the best the NFL has to offer!
Another area of interest is teams that pull off an upset in the Wild Card round. How do sides that win outright as underdogs fare in the next game? It?s not pretty, as the upstart dogs have gone 4-10 (29%) in the second round. Most likely that first triumph feels like enough to make the season a success, and then the team lying in wait off the bye will be unlikely to overlook a squad that just knocked a favorite out in the prior week!
What about the team off a big win (10+ point margin) in the wild card round? Again, it?s a tough team to back from a historical perspective, as these ?runaway winners? have usually got their comeuppance the next week from the teams on the next rung up the ladder! Against the line the teams off double-digit wild card victories are just 7-15 (32%).
and also here is last couple of years breakdowns of 2nd rd games:
2001-2002 season
Wk Home Away Date Spread O/U H Score A Score H RY A RY H PY A PY SU ATS
19 Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles 01/19/2002 -3 31.5 19 33 111 87 73 249 L L
19 New England Patriots Oakland Raiders 01/19/2002 -3 39.5 16 13 68 77 297 153 W T
19 Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens 01/20/2002 -6 32 27 10 154 22 143 128 W W
19 St. Louis Rams Green Bay Packers 01/20/2002 -10.5 54.5 45 17 91 118 201 265 W W
2000-2001 season
Wk Home Away Date Spread O/U H Score A Score H RY A RY H PY A PY SU ATS
19 Minnesota Vikings New Orleans Saints 01/06/2001 -8.5 50 34 16 127 69 302 286 W W
19 Oakland Raiders Miami Dolphins 01/06/2001 -8.5 42 27 0 140 40 127 164 W W
19 New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles 01/07/2001 -4.5 34 20 10 112 46 125 140 W W
19 Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens 01/07/2001 -5.5 34 10 24 126 49 191 85 L L
1999-2000 season
Wk Home Away Date Spread O/U H Score A Score H RY A RY H PY A PY SU ATS
19 Jacksonville Jaguars Miami Dolphins 01/15/2000 -8 40 62 7 257 23 263 110 W W
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Washington Redskins 01/15/2000 -4.5 39.5 14 13 44 46 142 111 W L
19 Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans 01/16/2000 -5.5 46.5 16 19 78 197 227 112 L L
19 St. Louis Rams Minnesota Vikings 01/16/2000 -7 52 49 37 31 87 374 388 W W
how well do the teams that earn a first round bye do with the extra time to prepare (albeit for multiple opponents since their foe will not be determined until the outcome of the Wild Card round are known)?
Well, overall the home sides playing off an extra week?s rest are 25-17 (60%) over the past decade of playoff action in the second round of the post-season. So, a case can be made that the extra time is a benefit. Then again, the teams with a bye are presumably among the best the NFL has to offer!
Another area of interest is teams that pull off an upset in the Wild Card round. How do sides that win outright as underdogs fare in the next game? It?s not pretty, as the upstart dogs have gone 4-10 (29%) in the second round. Most likely that first triumph feels like enough to make the season a success, and then the team lying in wait off the bye will be unlikely to overlook a squad that just knocked a favorite out in the prior week!
What about the team off a big win (10+ point margin) in the wild card round? Again, it?s a tough team to back from a historical perspective, as these ?runaway winners? have usually got their comeuppance the next week from the teams on the next rung up the ladder! Against the line the teams off double-digit wild card victories are just 7-15 (32%).
and also here is last couple of years breakdowns of 2nd rd games:
2001-2002 season
Wk Home Away Date Spread O/U H Score A Score H RY A RY H PY A PY SU ATS
19 Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles 01/19/2002 -3 31.5 19 33 111 87 73 249 L L
19 New England Patriots Oakland Raiders 01/19/2002 -3 39.5 16 13 68 77 297 153 W T
19 Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens 01/20/2002 -6 32 27 10 154 22 143 128 W W
19 St. Louis Rams Green Bay Packers 01/20/2002 -10.5 54.5 45 17 91 118 201 265 W W
2000-2001 season
Wk Home Away Date Spread O/U H Score A Score H RY A RY H PY A PY SU ATS
19 Minnesota Vikings New Orleans Saints 01/06/2001 -8.5 50 34 16 127 69 302 286 W W
19 Oakland Raiders Miami Dolphins 01/06/2001 -8.5 42 27 0 140 40 127 164 W W
19 New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles 01/07/2001 -4.5 34 20 10 112 46 125 140 W W
19 Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens 01/07/2001 -5.5 34 10 24 126 49 191 85 L L
1999-2000 season
Wk Home Away Date Spread O/U H Score A Score H RY A RY H PY A PY SU ATS
19 Jacksonville Jaguars Miami Dolphins 01/15/2000 -8 40 62 7 257 23 263 110 W W
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Washington Redskins 01/15/2000 -4.5 39.5 14 13 44 46 142 111 W L
19 Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans 01/16/2000 -5.5 46.5 16 19 78 197 227 112 L L
19 St. Louis Rams Minnesota Vikings 01/16/2000 -7 52 49 37 31 87 374 388 W W
