Sides Taken:
Auburn -7
Penn St -13'
Ole Miss +24
UNC +7
UAB +25
After a bad week of lines moving against me (though none of them hurt me), this is more like it with only the AU line moving against me on the 3 early picks and waiting paying off on UNC and UAB. I normally end up on 10-12 games each week, but this week, it looks to be lower. Still watching and waiting for better lines on the following (the number in parentheses is my buy number):
UConn (+3', but the line is moving the wrong way)
Northwestern (still working on this one)
Buffalo (+8)
E Carolina (-8')
Purdue (+3', see UConn)
Ohio State (-16')
Ark St (+2)
Lastly, I am shopping for the best money line for Bama to upset UGA this week. As I only post bets against the spread here, that won't show up as a pick, and I seriously doubt that we'll see Bama +7 again (that got hammered immediately on Sunday). My buy number is even less likely at +7'. My thinking is something like this: UGA is the better offensive team so if they win, I suspect that it will be the result of several big plays that put them so far ahead that Bama's decent but not great O gets overwhelmed. On the other hand, Bama is the better defensive team, so I think that there is a real chance that they add, directly or indirectly, double digit points to the Tide score. If that is the case, and assuming that they can run the ball, Bama should win outright. Based on this line of reasoning, I can't see Bama losing AND covering, so I see no value in Bama + points (especially less than 7').
All picks are weighted equally and all sides taken at a single, SBR A+ rated book.
Stuck Picks: 9-2
Stuck Picks 2: 10-2
Auburn -7
Penn St -13'
Ole Miss +24
UNC +7
UAB +25
After a bad week of lines moving against me (though none of them hurt me), this is more like it with only the AU line moving against me on the 3 early picks and waiting paying off on UNC and UAB. I normally end up on 10-12 games each week, but this week, it looks to be lower. Still watching and waiting for better lines on the following (the number in parentheses is my buy number):
UConn (+3', but the line is moving the wrong way)
Northwestern (still working on this one)
Buffalo (+8)
E Carolina (-8')
Purdue (+3', see UConn)
Ohio State (-16')
Ark St (+2)
Lastly, I am shopping for the best money line for Bama to upset UGA this week. As I only post bets against the spread here, that won't show up as a pick, and I seriously doubt that we'll see Bama +7 again (that got hammered immediately on Sunday). My buy number is even less likely at +7'. My thinking is something like this: UGA is the better offensive team so if they win, I suspect that it will be the result of several big plays that put them so far ahead that Bama's decent but not great O gets overwhelmed. On the other hand, Bama is the better defensive team, so I think that there is a real chance that they add, directly or indirectly, double digit points to the Tide score. If that is the case, and assuming that they can run the ball, Bama should win outright. Based on this line of reasoning, I can't see Bama losing AND covering, so I see no value in Bama + points (especially less than 7').
All picks are weighted equally and all sides taken at a single, SBR A+ rated book.
Stuck Picks: 9-2
Stuck Picks 2: 10-2
