Subay 400 matchups

[Tucker88]

Been looking hard into this for about four hours now.
what i like so far. will wait until sunday morning before playing
like to look at happy hour speeds and last minute changes.

Really like the first four.

Sterling -115 over Kenny Wallace
Robby Gordon -125 over Skinner
Rusty even over Benson
T Labonte even over Andretti

Stewart -140 over J Gordon
hate to lay that big number though.

Mark Martin +170 over Benson.

to win:

Rusty 12-1
Stewart 7-1
Marlin 8-1
B Labonte 7-1


Really want to hear your thoughts on this. We started the year off with a bang at Daytona. Let keep it all the way through Atl in November

 

[djv]

Tucker88 I am going to be careful with there qualifing efforts. I know this seems nut's. But I think a few guys held back a little. With the one engine rule some may have save a little. I Don't know if you saw qualifing. However the weather played some tricks on those numbers also. The sun out real bright and warm for 8/10 cars then clouds for next 15 cars and back and fourth. Guys doing the brodcast were saying some guys could slip by 1/2 second in timeing due to that. So between weather and maybe some guys holding back a little. At race time we may find them as fast or faster then front 8 spots. I do like your S Marlin and B Labonte to win picks. And you Marlin over K Wallace pick. That R Gordon over Skinner has me looking close at that to.
Best of Luck.

 

[Tucker88]

Happy hour speeds

Happy hour speeds

#43 John Andretti Dodge Cheerios 150.983 24.249 Leader
2 #31 Robby Gordon Chevrolet Cingular Wireless 150.927 24.257 -0.009
3 #18 Bobby Labonte Pontiac Interstate Batteries 150.884 24.264 -0.016
4 #6 Mark Martin Ford Pfizer/Viagra 150.740 24.288 -0.039
5 #2 Rusty Wallace Ford Miller Lite 150.548 24.319 -0.070
6 #22 Ward Burton Dodge Caterpillar 150.393 24.343 -0.095
7 #12 Ryan Newman* Ford ALLTEL 150.251 24.367 -0.118
8 #24 Jeff Gordon Chevrolet DuPont 150.024 24.403 -0.155
9 #30 Jeff Green Chevrolet America Online 150.000 24.408 -0.159
10 #25 Jerry Nadeau Chevrolet UAW/Delphi 149.994 24.409 -0.160
11 #20 Tony Stewart Pontiac Home Depot 149.871 24.429 -0.180
12 #29 Kevin Harvick Chevrolet GM Goodwrench 149.815 24.437 -0.189
13 #9 Bill Elliott Dodge Dodge Dealers/UAW 149.779 24.444 -0.195
14 #48 Jimmie Johnson* Chevrolet Lowe's 149.680 24.459 -0.211
15 #21 Elliott Sadler Ford Motorcraft 149.613 24.471 -0.222
16 #99 Jeff Burton Ford CITGO Racing 149.576 24.476 -0.228
17 #5 Terry Labonte Chevrolet Kellogg's 149.565 24.479 -0.230
18 #1 Kenny Wallace Chevrolet Pennzoil 149.436 24.500 -0.251
19 #40 Sterling Marlin Dodge Coors Light 149.326 24.517 -0.269
20 #8 Dale Earnhardt Jr. Chevrolet Budweiser 149.248 24.531 -0.282
21 #55 Bobby Hamilton Chevrolet Schneider Electric 149.132 24.549 -0.301
22 #17 Matt Kenseth Ford DeWalt Power Tools 149.102 24.555 -0.306
23 #23 Hut Stricklin Dodge Hills Bros Coffee 148.968 24.576 -0.328
24 #19 Jeremy Mayfield Dodge Dodge Dealers/UAW 148.968 24.576 -0.328
25 #36 Ken Schrader Pontiac M&M's 148.932 24.583 -0.334
26 #77 Dave Blaney Ford Jasper Engines & Transmissions 148.666 24.627 -0.378
27 #88 Dale Jarrett Ford UPS 148.570 24.642 -0.394
28 #10 Johnny Benson Pontiac Valvoline 148.563 24.643 -0.395
29 #41 Jimmy Spencer Dodge Target 148.539 24.648 -0.399
30 #44 Buckshot Jones Dodge Georgia Pacific 148.490 24.656 -0.407
31 #15 Michael Waltrip Chevrolet NAPA Auto Parts 148.455 24.662 -0.413
32 #97 Kurt Busch Ford Rubbermaid 148.389 24.673 -0.424
33 #33 Mike Wallace Chevrolet TBA 148.233 24.698 -0.450
34 #26 Joe Nemechek Ford Kmart School Spirit 148.190 24.705 -0.457
35 #32 Ricky Craven Ford Tide 148.130 24.715 -0.467
36 #11 Brett Bodine Ford DuraLube 148.065 24.726 -0.478
37 #7 Casey Atwood Dodge Sirius Satellite Radio 147.832 24.766 -0.517
38 #4 Mike Skinner Chevrolet Kodak 147.350 24.847 -0.598
39 #66 Todd Bodine Ford Kmart 147.272 24.860 -0.611
40 #28 Ricky Rudd Ford Havoline 147.095 24.889 -0.641
41 #45 Kyle Petty Dodge Sprint 146.917 24.920 -0.671
42 #14 Stacy Compton Pontiac Conseco 146.220 25.038 -0.790
43 #90 Rick Mast Ford Duke's Mayonnaise/ Sauer's 145.695 25.128 -0.880

 

[hoyt]

I think the 55 car will be fast tomorrow.
I have not seen him in any matchups yet but am looking.
I really think Rusty is going to win the race.
I expect a poor showing from the 24, not just because of his qualifying but I dont think he is comfortable with his car.
I will probably take Harvick -110 over Jr.
Jr does nto like Rockingham and has been feeling bad.
be back later

Tucker,
what book do you use?

 

[crookycymru]

Hi,

I am a gambler from the UK. I work for William Hills over here, and make a profit through gambling. Anyway here are some match ups a bookmaker has over here:

R.CRAVEN V J.BENSON

D,JARRETT V S.MARLIN

J.NADEAU V K.BISCH

R.WALLACE V B.HAMILTON

K.WALLACE V B.LABONTE

J.SPENCER V R.GORDON

M.MARTIN V W.BURTON

T.STEWART V J.GORDON

C.ATWOOD V J.MAYFIELD

J.JOHNSON V R.NEWMAN

J.BURTON V M.SKINNER

M.KENSETH V BUCKSHOT JONES

M.WALTRIP V B.ELLIOTT

R.RUDD V DALE EARNHARDT JR

K.HARVICK V J.NEMECHEK


Is there anything that stand out...if so post your replies. Also check out my picks weekly on the OFF THE WALL section.

Look forwrd to reading your replies!!!!!

 

[4bubba]

I spend quite a bit of time in the Las Vegas Casinos and one thing I have noticed about NASCAR matchups; every single place has different combinations of matchups.
I have seen Sterling Marlin matched up with at least 6 different opponents at various places.
It seems it may be best to concentrate on a few drivers and find the right matchup you want.

 

[crookycymru]

So does anything stand out from the match-ups I posted above??

 

[Tucker88]

Hey redcoat if you dont know much about this NASCAR
be careful anythings possible.
from the matchups you've listed i like:

R Wallace over Hamilton
B Labonte over K Wallace
R Gordon over Spencer
Neuman over J. Johnson
Kenseth over Bucksot Jones

Good Luck whatever you do!
Tell the Queen Hi for me if you see her around.

 

[Tucker88]

hoyt - I use a book not sponsored by Jack, I set it up three years
ago and they've been good so stuck with it.

Bubba- do you know of any offshores that offer that +&- matchups you were talking about, that might be a better way to
go.

This has been a good track for hamilton along with martinsville.
i cant get a matchup with him though. got him as a 20-1 to win the race. i'll put a $10 bill on that just for the hell of it.

still coming back to these matchups:

Sterling -115 over Kenny Wallace
Robby Gordon -125 over Skinner
Rusty even over Benson

Martin+170 over Benson

What do you guys see out of The wonderboy tomorrow.
qualified 33 but was 8 racest in happy hour.
believed he screwed himself. what i mean is that he was trying to play it safe with the one engine and maybe he was not willing
to show what he had under the hood. the weather didnot help and he ended up in the back.

Dont get me wrong there is nothing i would like to see mor than the #24 in the wall, but its not gonna happen.
He too good. give him 150 laps and he is in the top 10.
I dont have a favorable matchup and if I dont find one I wont play it. but i can guarantee it not often you can get Jeff as an
underdog and maybe can take advantage of it.

 

[4bubba]

As I mentioned in the other thread, "1 engine--must read", there is a factor that I felt is VERY important from the article. Drivers and teams are not able to spend as much time with the car as in previous years in the practice and qualifying rounds.
When you get a situation that is really different from previous years in any sport, THERE COULD BE A LOT OF MONEY TO BE MADE. The books use stats and facts from other years to set their lines and matchups. They have to. They cant fly by the seat of their pants and come up with a strange line. Corporations demand the lines are set according to facts, and as we all know, all sports books are part of a corporation. This is to our advantage, and it could be a tremendous one.

I am going to write a little more about this in the "one engine--must read" thread.

 

[Tucker88]

just thinkin' about something want to know what ya think.

there is a lot of talk that Kenny Wallace's ride is about up,
Steve Park is progressing and maybe in the car as soon as Atlanta.

How will Wallace react?

Win the damn race, prove he can drive and maybe find a fultime job?

Feel the pressure to prove himself, push the car and break it or
something to that effect?

I dont know. really like the matchup of Sterlin Marlin over K Wallace but may back down from it.

 

[1837]

Going out of limb and take: Stacy Compton -115 over Rick mast
Good luck!

 

[1837]

Mark Martin -115 over harvick!

 

[1837]

I'm done:

Gordon -110 over stewart
Jarret -120 over stewart

4 match ups no more!

 

[4bubba]

Good calls 1837

I guess I will throw my hat in the ring also:

Sterling marlin -4 (-110) over Ryan Newman

 

[T-Bone]

i played gordon -155 over jr
i also like craven over rudd but i left it alone

 

[ryson]

Here are mine for today



Mark Martin +135 vs. Johnny Benson
Jeff Gordon +135 vs Dale Jarret -

Johnny Benson 2-1
Ricky Rudd 5-2
Rusty Wallace 7-2
Sterling Marlin 3-1
Ward Burton 9-5

forgot to add-------
Bobby Labonte 5-2
Dale Jarrett 9-5
Jeff Burton 7-2
Jeff Gordon 2-1
Tony Stewart 3-1

GLTA

 

[1837]

Ok! One more!

Rusty Wallace -140 over j.Burton

Ryson, where do you get your line? They are nice $$$

4 bubba, your match ups with the spread are very interesting, wish i could bet on that!

 

[ryson]

1837,

It is an offshore, but not one that Jack has on the site so if you want to get my email from him and shoot me a message I will let you know, but since you are the moderator of this group and you say it is OK to post it I will.

 

[1837]

recap: 0-5 Boy i suck... Ghee... I will let Nascar to others like i did last year and concentrate on the real season for me the F1! Now i 'll go hiding myself under a rock