I have played a different angle this year on the bowl games, and I have been very successful. Usually the rule of thumb that I use is lean towards the dogs. I have changed my thinking and have gone 8-2 since. I have tried to somewhat ignore the line and look at it from a public team vs. a non public team stand point. The two games that i have lost with this view are.
wash st. +6.5, I thought Ok. was definately the public team.
fla. st. as the dawg, Honestly I thought fla. st. was the public team, but I am from N. Florida so I bet with my heart instead of my head.
wins with this theory were:
boise st.
purdue
fresno st.
maryland
mich.
auburn
Air force
Minnesota
If you look at the opponents of these teams they seem to have a bigger name, or come from a better conference, hence the public swing towards that team.
If I feel that both teams are "public teams" then I pass, I also pass when I feel neither are "public teams".
Using this theory I would bet Ohio St. I also feel that Iowa would be the play tonight using this theory.
Any thoughts???? Iowa +5
wash st. +6.5, I thought Ok. was definately the public team.
fla. st. as the dawg, Honestly I thought fla. st. was the public team, but I am from N. Florida so I bet with my heart instead of my head.
wins with this theory were:
boise st.
purdue
fresno st.
maryland
mich.
auburn
Air force
Minnesota
If you look at the opponents of these teams they seem to have a bigger name, or come from a better conference, hence the public swing towards that team.
If I feel that both teams are "public teams" then I pass, I also pass when I feel neither are "public teams".
Using this theory I would bet Ohio St. I also feel that Iowa would be the play tonight using this theory.
Any thoughts???? Iowa +5
