Sun 10/15 ~ gonna dabble w/some picks today!

LordofBalls

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hi guys, hope all are healthy and in the mood for some quality fball today (not sure if we'll see any but I'll be lookin!)
hit a nice middle yday w/Wash ML and Ducks +4.5 so it's gonna be a "collect week" ~ yay!
actually have some fairly strong vibes on some of today's games... hope it's not just indigestion from the mexican food I had last night! :p

PAR:
Ravens ML
Bears ML
Cleve +11.5
TBay ML
-------------
111 to win 1430


SIDES:
Ravens ML
in progress I know (18-3)... line jumped t0 5.5 last night and sho nuff should've gone w/the big move.. put em in a parlay last night

Bears +3/ML
I see this gm as a toss-up, I've got both Cousins and Fields on 1 fantasy team and have to decide each wk who to play (and I'm wrong half the time!)
neither team's pass defense is worth a damn, I expect a shootout but scares me that total is only 43.5.. so I'll go w/home dog
Total UP to 44.5 now.. mebbe it will be a shootout!

Cleve +11.5 (2pt buy parlays)
SF looked awesome last Sun night vs a fraudulent Cowboys squad, there aren't many Off lines that can handle Micah Parsons, but if you can (SF did!) then the rest of their team seemed unable to do much of ANYthing right.. certainly couldn't cover anyone, or tackle worth a damn.. McCaffrey is GREAT again! Purdy is efficient and accurate.. lots of weapons I know.. I know I know.. so they'll dominate every gm from here on out right? not so fast my friends...
Cleve's Defense is impressive (to this point) and physical.. west coast tm traveling east for an early gm (historical stats say go against)..
The Dawg Pound will be howling! Home dog getting DD w/a no-name backup QB.. think Cleve will try to turn it into a slobberknocker!!

Pats +3/ML
listening to some of the sports radio out here in LA (Cowherd) "maybe it was Brady all the time and not Belichick.. blah blah blah"... Belichick built those teams finding Off line talent so Tommy never got touched (but when he did the refs usually called a penalty), and probably the best Defensive scheme coach in the last 30 years in the league if not all time.. and last wk, they were embarrassed. Now they go play the Raaaiiiderrrsss in Vegas.. Davante Adams is great, and Jakobi Meyers has turned into a better WR than I thought he'd ever be.. but it won't be enough cuz Mac Jones won't have the screwup plays that Jordan Love did last wk (turnovers) and Pats will keep Mad Maxx Crosby from screwing up the backfield... all Pats.. all day.

TBay +3/ML
coming off bye wk.. Baker better @ home than road.. Evans returns and Baker looks for him a LOT.. Lions manhandled the Packers a few wks ago.. but I think that division rivalry outweighed that Goff is usually worse on road... think that'll show up today, Home Doggy Buccaneers to da bank!

Rams ML/ OV 47.5
Stafford has been slinging it.. and little Cooper Kupp is bick! Puka Nuka's pretty dang good too, and Kyren Williams is a tough RB.. Rams will score!
but.. even w/Aaron Donald, their pass defense usually screws up pretty regularly lol.. and they don't get sacks like you'd think they would.. so OVER it is..
Rams may blow em out, but I feel safer w/ML

TEASER 13pt
Bills -2
Pats +16
Bengals +10.5
Bears OV 31.5


others I kinda like.. Texans +14 / Dolps -1 / Sea +15.5 / Rams +6...

tomorrow night.. Chargers gm OVER (more so than Chahjahz ML).. I am a Chargers fan for decades.. it ain't easy.


GL to US!!


LOB
 

T OFF

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Good luck LoB

Dude. I owe you by far one of the biggest apologies ever given to an individual I can’t thank you enough for posting the totals Chase system in MLB but I busted out mid May and have not bet one baseball game since All summer but I would check in from time to time and it seems like the system is still a moneymaker again I’m sorry pal :smilies8
 

LordofBalls

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glad you were able to benefit from it T.. glad season's over cuz it's a little too much on an everyday basis..

adding...

Colts +4
if memory serves... Colts ALLways give Jags a hard time don't they? at Jacksonville.?

Sea/Cinn OV 45.5
Sea fresh off a bye.. maybe Burrow's healthy again (was last wk!).. Sea protects QB better than Rams, Geno will get some too.would love to see an upset but not gonna bet on that today

HALFTIME UPDATE!

WELL IT TURNS OUT, I REMEMBERED THE COLTS/JAGS SCENARIO EXACTLY.... BACKWARDS!
JAGUARS ARE THE ONES THAT ALWAYS BEAT THE COLTS DOWN THERE (even bk when Jags were bad)... oops!
Glad to say I only used Colts in a single parlay for 30 bucks... smh
 
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LordofBalls

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well that didn't turn out like I wanted yday.. but I guess I wasn't alone, doesn't make me feel better about it tho lol..

got the teaser.. got a few others.. Bears could've been up in their gm but Fields disappeared, then got hurt!
totally pissed about Patriots finish (Raiders are not good, but have a solid pass rush w/madd maxx)
anything but the fggn safety and I do okay in that gm.. and then ended up playing some Giants ML live and I tink we all know that could've gone better..

onward!

MNF ~
I've been a Rams fan since I was a lil kid in early 60s w/Gabriel, Jack Snow, Dick Bass, Fearsome Foursome, listening on the radio.. and I added Chargers to that list when I went to college in SD in late 70s w/Fouts, Jefferson, Winslow, Joiner incredible passing game and some of the all-time great rivalries and BS losses to the Raaaiderrrz got me hooked on em! They've had teams that shoulda coulda won it all, and I will always believe they had the best team in the NFL but lost AFC Championship in Cinn weather that was made for igloos that day NOT a fball game.. and missed a few kicks that would've sent some great teams to the big game when Rivers was QB.. I've been thru the ringer believe me lol

Now today, Chargers face an overrated Cowboys team w/a ONE very good pass rusher (which SF was able to nullify) and ONE very good WR (CeeDee) which SF was also able to nullify.. and ONE very good RB (Pollard), also nullified.. SF dominated them every which way you looked at that game..

1) Cowboys have won 3 games vs crappy teams.. Giants/Jets/Pats (tho Jets are improving)
2) an inspired Cardinals team played a 3-0 egp-driven Cowboys team and clobbered em back down to earth, so.. we thought they'd respond @ SF..
instead, they got their ass handed to em all gm long in every phase of the game.. now they go face Chargers w/
3) Dak is NOT an accurate long thrower anymore..
4) McCarthy has NOT been creative at all in using what is truly an exceptional talent (Pollard), and faces former OC who's had a week to get even more creative.. Advantage Chargers
5) top RB Ekeler returns..
6) Herbert has an incredible arm, and I hopes he uses his legs too (just run away from contact!) can't let that guy get hurt! no qb sneaks!

PLAYS:
6.5 TEASER.... Chargers +7.5 / OV 43.5.. 325/350
PAR) Chargers ML / OV 48.5 (buy)/ 1 open.. 75/415

GL to US!
 

LordofBalls

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tough being a chargers fan sometimes..

dominate the 3rd qtr.. move the ball up n down the field..
fail to protect/rush the throw when u get down to the 'green zone..
stupid penalties that keep Dallas drives alive..
then the OL breaks down in the most crucial situation.. maddening!

they manage to lose by a TD or less almost all the time..
2-3.. 12 gms to go!

wheeeee! :smilies20
 
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