KSYAS....
there are many different aspects involved with sports betting.
the vast majority of my plays are based on numbers and trends.
but other angles i look at is human nature....afterall, we are betting on human beings and we try to get a feel for how a team will play on any given day. all the points u brought out in your reply to my plays are valid. i know, u know and everyone knows that on paper myd. and wright st. should win and cover. im banking that the myd. and wright st. players know this as well and im fairly certain that they do. im not a college graduate with a degree in psychology, but i think its common knowledge that their is a definite possibilty of let-down today from myd. and wright st. as u mentioned they beat these teams on their floor and myd. has beaten wake 4-straight by alot each time. im banking on myd. and wright st. taking these opponents lightly today. wake just got buried at home against duke., myd. just beat duke....dont u think, maybe just a little in the back of the myd. players minds....theyve got to be saying to themeselves...we can just show up and pound wake today.
well teams that just show-up....usually lose or dont cover.
another angle
motivation....def. should be on the sides of wake and loy-chi.
teams that lose at home....especially quality teams....see ucla yeterday....play with alot of determination/revenge in rematch game.
another angle...
public money...inviting line....
i see many, many more cappers touting myd. and wright st. today...lines look to low....or to easy....see rutgers yesterday...i played s.hall and lost...everyone was all over rutgers because the line was so low....the game couldve fell either way....but rutgers got the cover....same could be said for miss. st. yesterday...saw lots of cappers on miss. st...line stayed low...ole miss got the cover...i believe if u play into these fishy lines, especially if u see tons of people on the other side you will cash your ticket atleast 60% of time.
again there is many ways to handicap a game....keep in mind that if it was easy as looking at stats,like the stats you pointed out....we could win every play we make. for example..e.ky. yesterday....they were at tenn.martin...e.ky. was 0-13 on road and had 12 of 13 losses by 10+ pts....tenn.-martin should win easily on paper,right? well tenn-martin was losing whole game and won by 4....everyone uses their own methods...these are just a few that i look at...i feel strongly enough about these 2-plays to make them top plays.
gluck with ure plays...
