YTD 15-8 +2.31 units
Seattle +130
I'm not going so far as to say the wrong team is favored here, but this line should really be closer to a pick, if not -110 both ways. Cleveland is not hitting for power or average against RHP and unfortunately we don't exactly get a stud on the mound for Seattle in Erik Swanson but this is more of a fade on Cleveland anyway. Cody Anderson is straight garbage and we get Tom Hallion behind the plate today who doesn't have the largest of strike zones. Anderson will have to throw the ball across the plate and that's a bad deal against an offense who hits for decent average and has a team OPS of .791. Seattle may have to outscore Cleveland in a high scoring affair, but I like our chances and will take the 30 cents.
Milwaukee -150
This is one of those cases where we get the better bats and the better pitcher and get to lay less than 2-1 on the home team. I won't win 100% of these, but we are going to win a lot of them. Davies goes for MIL and his stats aren't HOF worthy, but they are respectable especially when you consider his last three outings were against LAD, STL, COL. Not the easiest of competition and the Mets might not be the easiest of competition either, but they sure aren't the 27 Yankees boasting a BA of .238 and an OPS under .700. The Mets start Jason Vargas who likely isn't in your fantasy team and has a 1-1 record in 7 starts with a WHIP over 1.7.
San Diego +120
I threw up in my mouth just a little bit when I actually typed out that I would back the Padres today, but if you watched the last two games you know they deserve better than a couple 1 run losses. Margevicius is throwing the ball well and it's been against decent competition. Kenta Maeda, not so much. He's relied on Dodger bats to bail him out of trouble this year winning three of his five starts while posting a 4+ ERA. The Dodgers are the better bats and I hate going against that, but I've found good pithing usually beats good hitting and we get much the better pitcher today at 20 cent upside. Do it.
SF/CIN UNDER 8 -105
I tend not to post many totals as it just seems when I'm on the wrong side I am WAY on the wrong side. In this one, I jus don't see where the runs come from. The worst of the two starters boasts a WHIP of 1.06 and neither team hits the ball near the top half of the league. Perhaps the bullpens kill me here, but I just don't see this being more than a 3-1 type of game.
Cubs -130
I feel like I have said this before, but the Cards are just not good against LHP and Quintana is pretty solid. The Cubs on the other hand have a .812 OPS against RHP and Wainwright is no slouch but he has been touched up against teams like the Mets of 8 hits in 3 innings and the Nats for 6 hits in 6 innings. I think the Cubs bats are better than both of those teams, for sure.
Seattle +130 1 units to win 1.3 units
MIL -150 1 unit to win .66 units
SD +120 1 unit to win 1.2 units
SF/CIN OVER 8 1 unit to win .95 units
Cubs -130 1 unit to win .76 units
Good luck all. Several other games barely missed the cut, had weather issues or the price was too high so if you'd like my take on other games please ask as I did look at the entire card today.
Edit to clean up typos
Seattle +130
I'm not going so far as to say the wrong team is favored here, but this line should really be closer to a pick, if not -110 both ways. Cleveland is not hitting for power or average against RHP and unfortunately we don't exactly get a stud on the mound for Seattle in Erik Swanson but this is more of a fade on Cleveland anyway. Cody Anderson is straight garbage and we get Tom Hallion behind the plate today who doesn't have the largest of strike zones. Anderson will have to throw the ball across the plate and that's a bad deal against an offense who hits for decent average and has a team OPS of .791. Seattle may have to outscore Cleveland in a high scoring affair, but I like our chances and will take the 30 cents.
Milwaukee -150
This is one of those cases where we get the better bats and the better pitcher and get to lay less than 2-1 on the home team. I won't win 100% of these, but we are going to win a lot of them. Davies goes for MIL and his stats aren't HOF worthy, but they are respectable especially when you consider his last three outings were against LAD, STL, COL. Not the easiest of competition and the Mets might not be the easiest of competition either, but they sure aren't the 27 Yankees boasting a BA of .238 and an OPS under .700. The Mets start Jason Vargas who likely isn't in your fantasy team and has a 1-1 record in 7 starts with a WHIP over 1.7.
San Diego +120
I threw up in my mouth just a little bit when I actually typed out that I would back the Padres today, but if you watched the last two games you know they deserve better than a couple 1 run losses. Margevicius is throwing the ball well and it's been against decent competition. Kenta Maeda, not so much. He's relied on Dodger bats to bail him out of trouble this year winning three of his five starts while posting a 4+ ERA. The Dodgers are the better bats and I hate going against that, but I've found good pithing usually beats good hitting and we get much the better pitcher today at 20 cent upside. Do it.
SF/CIN UNDER 8 -105
I tend not to post many totals as it just seems when I'm on the wrong side I am WAY on the wrong side. In this one, I jus don't see where the runs come from. The worst of the two starters boasts a WHIP of 1.06 and neither team hits the ball near the top half of the league. Perhaps the bullpens kill me here, but I just don't see this being more than a 3-1 type of game.
Cubs -130
I feel like I have said this before, but the Cards are just not good against LHP and Quintana is pretty solid. The Cubs on the other hand have a .812 OPS against RHP and Wainwright is no slouch but he has been touched up against teams like the Mets of 8 hits in 3 innings and the Nats for 6 hits in 6 innings. I think the Cubs bats are better than both of those teams, for sure.
Seattle +130 1 units to win 1.3 units
MIL -150 1 unit to win .66 units
SD +120 1 unit to win 1.2 units
SF/CIN OVER 8 1 unit to win .95 units
Cubs -130 1 unit to win .76 units
Good luck all. Several other games barely missed the cut, had weather issues or the price was too high so if you'd like my take on other games please ask as I did look at the entire card today.
Edit to clean up typos
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