yesterday's betting jones goes 9-6, probably lucky seeing as the plays were based 75% on power ratings and 25% on intuition. did feel good enough about nc state and miss st to put additional half unit plays on the money lines. overall record now 64-51-2. today's plays result of much more analysis; you've been forewarned:
notre dame -9: nova gets a little too much respect here imo coming off rout of mediocre providence. wildcats only "road" games thus far were in philly vs temple (4 pt win) and penn (1 pt loss). both those teams substantially inferior to irish but best that nova has faced on weak early slate. villanova also very sloppy with the ball averaging 20 to/gm, 31 vs lowly vmi. nothing they've done so far really prepares them to play the irish in south bend, not the easiest of travel locations.
irish meanwhile, coming off december road hell where the showed very credibly - rout of depaul, narrow wins @ mia o and canisius, narrow losses @ indiana and alabama. all that and exams and xmas too. after 12/30 rout of colgate, irish are 6-0 s/u, 3-0 ats @ home. this conference home game very big for irish, who played next three conference games on the road.
fordham +6-: guess the betting public just can't lay off the temple name as no way owls should be this big a road favorite in conference. temple has lost six in a row s/u and ats - five as home favorites - and now are 6 point conf road favorites? bottom line is owl opponents aoppear to have figured out that temple is a one man show, and accordingly greer is being targeted out front. the result is reflected in temple's season shooting stats - .378% fg, 29% 3 pt. also, temple d just ain't the same as in year's past, allowing 76 ppg, 42.4% fg, 37% 3 pt on the road. fordham has lost three straight, but two of those three on the road. rams actually 3-1 @ home with only loss to manhattan. fordham also looks to be better rebounding team. i am aware that cheney has never lost to fordham in 12 tries, but then again, penn's win over temple a week ago was just their second in 21 games vs cheney. how the mighty have fallen.
as always, good luck today in whatever you play.
notre dame -9: nova gets a little too much respect here imo coming off rout of mediocre providence. wildcats only "road" games thus far were in philly vs temple (4 pt win) and penn (1 pt loss). both those teams substantially inferior to irish but best that nova has faced on weak early slate. villanova also very sloppy with the ball averaging 20 to/gm, 31 vs lowly vmi. nothing they've done so far really prepares them to play the irish in south bend, not the easiest of travel locations.
irish meanwhile, coming off december road hell where the showed very credibly - rout of depaul, narrow wins @ mia o and canisius, narrow losses @ indiana and alabama. all that and exams and xmas too. after 12/30 rout of colgate, irish are 6-0 s/u, 3-0 ats @ home. this conference home game very big for irish, who played next three conference games on the road.
fordham +6-: guess the betting public just can't lay off the temple name as no way owls should be this big a road favorite in conference. temple has lost six in a row s/u and ats - five as home favorites - and now are 6 point conf road favorites? bottom line is owl opponents aoppear to have figured out that temple is a one man show, and accordingly greer is being targeted out front. the result is reflected in temple's season shooting stats - .378% fg, 29% 3 pt. also, temple d just ain't the same as in year's past, allowing 76 ppg, 42.4% fg, 37% 3 pt on the road. fordham has lost three straight, but two of those three on the road. rams actually 3-1 @ home with only loss to manhattan. fordham also looks to be better rebounding team. i am aware that cheney has never lost to fordham in 12 tries, but then again, penn's win over temple a week ago was just their second in 21 games vs cheney. how the mighty have fallen.
as always, good luck today in whatever you play.
