3-4 on sunday, including a tough double play loss with denver, the first of the season. overall record now 66-50, 5-1 on double plays. not usually one to bang the gong after a good night or pout through a pissy post-mortem after a bad one, but tonight i thought i'd go back over how i turned a winning day into a losing one, as the trap i fell into is a common one that snares many a distracted sports investor. it almost always ambushes you when you're in the midst of a pretty good winning streak, and awash in the smugness that weaker minds sometimes let cloud judgment. in a venture where little things can rob you of your margin of success, it pays to make some effort to take note of your failures as well as your successes.
i had a solid 3-1 day capped out when i finished up this morning, and then decided to take a look at the lines from the san juan shootout. both games handicapped out to be no-plays by the numbers i use, but i thought i had identified intangibles outside the lines that would provide an edge enough to play. so i did, and did to the tune of a double play and a single, laying out three units on two holiday tourney games, where teams are playing three games in a row in some exotic location. now this ain't my first rodeo, and i knew full well that these games are generally wildly unpredictable games, but i let overconfidence outweigh the lessons already paid for in the past. in retrospect. it's clear now better judgment would have been to limit action to a regular play on denver. i'm miffed because it wasn't clear to me this morning.
that's how i turned a winning day into a losing one. lets all try to take note in our collective effort to stop paying for the same mistake more than once. with that lesson filed away, i've looked at tomorrows lines and am chomping at the bit over what has potential for two double plays tomorrow night. and yes, given today's experience i've already put them through a reality check. back tomorrow if all goes well.
glta
