I usually avoid playing the totals unless I decide to follow a hot capper, but cannot resist today:
Arizona/Butler over 137 10 units max:
This one is a no-brainer to me. . . many want to play the under due to the fact that the previous matchup in December had a final score of 72-60. . . does anybody think this is the same Arizona team??? Not even close! Defense may have been a key for Butler in their conference, but you have to beat Arizona by outscoring them (which scares me if Kansas gets to the Elite Eight and plays Zona). . . simple as that. Also, not sure if anybody saw the Arizona game on Friday, but when Eastern Illinois tried to slow the game tempo down, Lute Olson used a full court defense. . . I see no reason why this won't happen again. Take a look at the numbers and they indicate this game gets into the 140's, probably the 150's. I will stay away from taking a side on this game as I believe it could go either way (obviously I feel that Arizona wins, but the spread is pretty accurate in my opinion).
Temple/Florida over 138 5 units:
Temple has gone over in all of their games for the past month (maybe two!). Also, Florida and Temple have gone over the total in nearly all of their road games! This play is just as strong as the Arizona over, but I'll only play half the units because I have decided to take a side for this game as well.
Florida -3 5 units:
This is probably a sucker bet, but I like it. . . Florida has been covering the spread the past few months. . . I'll roll the dice and take my chances!
I may have some other plays later in the day. . .
Arizona/Butler over 137 10 units max:
This one is a no-brainer to me. . . many want to play the under due to the fact that the previous matchup in December had a final score of 72-60. . . does anybody think this is the same Arizona team??? Not even close! Defense may have been a key for Butler in their conference, but you have to beat Arizona by outscoring them (which scares me if Kansas gets to the Elite Eight and plays Zona). . . simple as that. Also, not sure if anybody saw the Arizona game on Friday, but when Eastern Illinois tried to slow the game tempo down, Lute Olson used a full court defense. . . I see no reason why this won't happen again. Take a look at the numbers and they indicate this game gets into the 140's, probably the 150's. I will stay away from taking a side on this game as I believe it could go either way (obviously I feel that Arizona wins, but the spread is pretty accurate in my opinion).
Temple/Florida over 138 5 units:
Temple has gone over in all of their games for the past month (maybe two!). Also, Florida and Temple have gone over the total in nearly all of their road games! This play is just as strong as the Arizona over, but I'll only play half the units because I have decided to take a side for this game as well.
Florida -3 5 units:
This is probably a sucker bet, but I like it. . . Florida has been covering the spread the past few months. . . I'll roll the dice and take my chances!
I may have some other plays later in the day. . .
