sunday service plays 6/15/08

the duke

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

ncaa hoops 58% (161-120)
nba 57% (153-115)
wnba 50% (6-6-1)
mlb +1803 (playing 1 unit on every game, 100.00 per game) +18.03 units
ncaa foots 71% (27-11) bowl games (10-4) 71%
nhl 58% (51-37)

EARLY RELEASE MLB FOR SUNDAY
BALTIMORE-132
CHICAGO WHITE SOX-142
BOSTON-146
TEXAS+150 (game 1)
MINNESOTA+130
 

the duke

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Cubs at TORONTO (-120) Karl Garrett

Afternoon baseball action from Canada today, and I will take the Blue Jays to take today's rubber game against the Cubs.

Chicago is just 15-17 away from the Friendly Confines this season, and starter Ted Lilly has been a bog part of the Cubs struggles on the road this year, as his 2-3 mark with an over 5 ERA shows.

Toronto starter Jesse Litsch is 3-0 at home this season with a 2.97 ERA, and the G-Man will side with Litsch and his Jays to hand the Cubs another road setback.

Take Toronto in this one.

3♦ TORONTO



N.Y. Yankees (-125) at HOUSTON Bobby Maxwell

Two teams going in opposite directions in this matchup as the Yankees have won eight of their last 11 while the Astros have dropped eight of 11.

And the one consistency this season for New York has been starter Chien-Ming Wang (7-2, 4.30 ERA). Wang is 4-0 on the road with a 2.38 ERA and on Tuesday he held the A?s to one run on seven hits in 3-1 road win.

The Yankees have won his last four starts and with Wang on the hill the Yankees are on runs of 20-6 on the road, 51-18 with him listed as a favorite, 40-15 overall and 8-1 when he toes the rubber on Sundays.

Houston has Roy Oswalt (5-6, 5.06) on the mound today and he has really struggled this season. The Astros have won just once in his last five starts and he is 1-5 as an underdog.

If you haven?t noticed, the Yankees are back over .500 and they?ve taken the first two games of this series. They are playing some good baseball, including getting some very good starting pitching.

Let?s play the Yankees in this one as Wang gets the job done for them again.

3♦ N.Y. YANKEES


Boston at LAKERS (-7) Sports Gambling Hotline

Tough to make a case for the OVER in tonight's game, as 3 of the first 4 in this series have played UNDER the total.

ER in 6 of their last 8 playoff games, and they have also held LOW in 7 of their last 8 games when installed as the underdog.

Los Angeles is on an 8-1 playoff run UNDER the posted price, and 8 of their last 9 games played at the Staples Center have also stayed BELOW the posted price.

The linesmakers have dropped the total on this game by a few points, but we still think we are staring at another in the NBA Finals tonight.

Play on the LOW.

4♦ UNDER


James Patrick

Red Sox vs. Redlegs 1:15 p.m. est.

Bosox have surpassed the total in 5 of 6 Sunday games and the Reds are Over in 6 of 7 Sunday affairs, while today?s starter Bailey is Over at a 4-1-1 rate at home. Our Sunday Major League Baseball complimentary selection is #911 Boston ? Cincinnati Over the Total. The Big Man has the best pair of Major League games on a pay after you profit format for $15. Be there when James Patrick releases these plays as your wealth depends on it . As part of a pair of winners in Sunday Major League Baseball action, Big Game James Patrick is releasing his Grand Slam Play of the Week in Major League Baseball action for $15 on a pay after you profit format. Get on the diamond for the opening pitch of this game as the Big Man is salivating. Huddle Up now at the Diamond Club. If you enjoy the high flying action of NBA Play-off Basketball then check out Sunday?s action at jamespatricksports.com as the Big Man has the selection on a pay after you profit format for $15. When you need that Big Win think about the Big Man at James Patrick Sports and get on the bus with the Big Man and win. Good Luck! Happy Father?s Day!



Marc Lawrence

Play On: Chicago White Sox w/Contreras vs. Cook

Note: The Pale Hose host the Rockies in the rubber match of this three game weekend set at Comiskey Park when Jose Contreras takes on Aaron Cook. Contreras has been especially sharp at home of late, winnng each of his last four starts while compiling a 1.64 ERA. On the flip side, Cook is just 6-14 in his team starts in June and 2-7 away on Sundays in his MLB career. Stay at home with Contreras and the White Sox here today.

If you enjoyed the Celtics' stirring comeback win over the Lakers Thursday night you'll really like the Game Five Super Play on tap Sunday night. Learn both of the 100% perfect winning angles inside the game from Marc while you watch and win again tonight.


LT Profits

Oakland Athletics @ San Francisco Giants u8.5 (-120)
Sun Jun 15 '08 4:05p

The Oakland Athletics and San Francisco Giants combined to score six runs on Friday and four runs yesterday, and we feel that another low scoring game is in store today.

The Giants have scored just one run in their series, and we don?t expect the San Francisco offense to suddenly have a revival today. Oakland southpaw starter Dana Eveland has been very Under-friendly this season, with nine of his 13 starts staying below the total and another pushing. The highly regarded youngster has a nice 3.76 ERA overall and he has allowed three earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts.

Now Kevin Correia is making his first start since April for the Giants, but this is not exactly a powerhouse Oakland lineup that he is making his return against. The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 Athletics road games, and while a lot of that has to do with some fine young pitching, another piece of the Under puzzle has been a weak lineup that is hitting just .235 vs. right-handed pitchers over the last 10 games.

Finally, the Under is 7-2 in Correia?s last nine home starts, as well as 35-17 in the last 52 head-to-meetings in the Bay Series.

Athletics, Giants Under 8.5 (-120)



Atlanta Braves +130 to sweep Angels

Joe Saunders of the Angels has regressed badly after a great start this season, while Jorge Campillo has been serviceable for the Braves, allowing three runs or less in four of five starts. Go Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves have had their struggles on the road, but you would not know it from the first two games of this series with the Los Angeles Angels and the Braves now look to complete the sweep at another nice price in the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game.


Angels starter Joe Saunders was off to a fantastic start this season, but he has tailed off considerably in his recent starts with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP in his last three outings. He has allowed at least four runs in each of his last three starts, and he was lit up for eight earned runs and nine hits in just 4.2 innings in his last appearance on Monday.

Meanwhile, Atlanta is 4-1 in all games started by Jorge Campillo this year, as he has allowed three runs or less in four of his five starts. That has translated to a sparkling 2.15 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 46 innings. Now granted, the Braves bullpen has been a bit of an adventure lately, but that unit has performed well in this series and Atlanta does still rank seventh in the Major Leagues with a 3.33 pen ERA.

Considering the current form of the pitchers here, we see good value on Atlanta at this price as they go for their first road sweep of the season.

Braves +130





Dave Cokin


My free pick of the day is the game between (923) OAK Athletics and (924) SF Giants. Take "(924) SF Giants". My Interleague Game of the Year came through as the amazing Rays notched another win at home, handling the Marlins without much trouble. Sunday's special features a pair of 10 Star plays. An upset special on the diamond plus Game Five between the Celtics and Lakers. Both plays for only $25 at my Solid Gold Club!

Dana Eveland was one of my pre-season sleepers, and he's actually done pretty well for the most for the A's. But since his complete game win back on May 21, the old Eveland bugaboo has come back in a big way. Simply stated, Eveland has lost his command. 15 BB in just 14.2 IP over his last three starts is a strong negative indicator. The Giants send out Kevin Correia, who's no star by any means, but is actually a little underrated if you look beyond his career W/L ledger. Correia was lights out in his rehab stint and should have a good game here. Good value grab on the Giants to beat the A's.



Jim Feist


My free pick of the day is the game between (925) KC Royals and (926) ARI D'backs. Take "Over". Arizona doesn't always hit on the road, but at home the offense is terrific, averaging 5.5 runs per game. That's not surprising as it's a good hitter's park. Kansas City comes to town and starter Gil Meche has been terrible, a 3-8 record with a 5.25 ERA. Arizona starter Micah Owings has also been struggling, at 0-3 his last 3 starts with a 9.22 ERA. In fact, Arizona is 3-0 over the total his last three starts. Look for plenty of runs in this indoor game, Play the Royals/Diamondbacks over the total!



Robert Ross

Game: Chicago Cubs at Toronto Blue Jays Jun 15 2008 1:05PM

Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Reason: Taking the better team here at a price. The team with way more power, too. The Cubs are 27-11 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season and 25-9 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game this season. Take Chicago!


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Florida Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays Jun 15 2008 1:40PM

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Reason: Florida is 3-7 in their last 10 games as a dog of +110 to +150. The Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Florida is 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. Tampa is 21-2 in their last 23 games as a favorite between -151 and -200. The Rays are 15-3 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Tampa is 17-7 in their last 24 interleague games as a favorite. Tampa is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between the clubs. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays


Carlo Campanella


Game: Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants Jun 15 2008 4:05PM

Prediction: Oakland Athletics

Reason: Oakland finds themselves as slight road Favorites on Sunday as they head to San Francisco. The Giants have dropped 3 of their last 4 games and start Kevin Correia on the mound. We'll back teh A's in here as they're 6-1 during their last 6 trips to San Francisco and we find these Giants at 1-12 during their last 13 games against A.L. teams allowing 4.2 Runs per Game!

7* Play On Oakland



Big Al Mcmordie

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles Jun 15 2008 1:35PM

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

Reason: At 1:35pm our member selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Pittsburgh Pirates. I'm sure Major League Baseball realized when it scheduled this series that it would be the first meeting of these two teams in Baltimore since the 1979 World Series, which the Pirates of course won after being down three games to one. But I don't know if they knew that they were also pitting the two teams with the worst records playing outside of their league in the regular season since Major League Baseball started interleague play back in 1997. Going into this season, the Orioles at 79-114 have an interleague win percentage of only .409, but have been outdone by the Pirates who have the only interleague win percentage below .400 at .377 (57-94). So far, in this series these records have held true to form with the Orioles taking the first two games and it probably won't get any easier for the Pirates this afternoon as lefthander Paul Maholm gets the start and although his overall numbers are not terrible, he is quite abysmal on the road with a 1-4 record and 6.82 ERA and an amazing 41 hits surrendered in just over 27 innings. Baltimore's veteran righthander Daniel Cabrera has pitched very well this season although he has gotten roughed up in his last two starts. But those were in two of the toughest places to pitch in the AL: the Metrodome and Boston's Fenway Park. Take the Orioles.


Tony Mathews

Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles

Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (+115)

Explanation: We will side with the Pittsburgh Pirates as they face-off against the Baltimore Orioles in Sunday's MLB contest.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will use starting pitcher Paul Maholm. Paul Maholm has pitched well as of late. In fact, Paul Maholm has a 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Paul Maholm pitching another great game today.

The Baltimore Orioles will use starting pitcher Daniel Cabrera. Daniel Cabrera has been having pitching problems as of late. In fact, Daniel Cabrera has a 7.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Daniel Cabrera pitching another bad game today.

The bottom line, the Pittsburgh Pirates should be able to beat the Baltimore Orioles today!

Take the Pittsburgh Pirates!


John Fina


Selection: Oakland/San Francisco Over 8.5 (-110)

Reason: Put us down on the Oakland Athletics/San Francisco Giants Over 8.5 for our Free MLB Selection on Sunday. Today we expect a high-scoring game as the Oakland Athletics do battle with the San Francisco Giants. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will send to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... The Oakland Athletics Starting Pitcher (Dana Eveland) has a 7.36 ERA in his last 3 starts, while San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Kevin Correia) has a 6.57 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, both these teams will most likely give up many runs today. In addition, the "Over" has been a smart investment in games when the San Francisco Giants are underdogs. That's because the "Over" is 10-5 in the San Francisco Giants last 15 games as an underdog. We expect to see many runs scored once again today! Take the Oakland Athletics/San Francisco Giants Over 8.5!



Brian Marshall

Game: Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Plays On: Minnesota Twins (+115)

Game Analyses: The Minnesota Twins (as underdogs) should be able to beat the Milwaukee Brewers in Sunday's MLB game.

The Minnesota Twins will be lead by starting pitcher Scott Baker. Scott Baker has been pitching great as of late. In fact, Scott Baker has a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's safe to say that Scott Baker will pitch another great game today.

The Milwaukee Brewers will be lead by starting pitcher Seth McClung. Seth McClung has been struggling as of late. In fact, Seth McClung has a 4.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's clear that Seth McClung will give up many runs today.

The Minnesota Twins have already proven they can beat the Milwaukee Brewers. In fact, the Minnesota Twins are 11-4 in their last 15 meetings against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Take the Minnesota Twins


Dustin Hawkins


Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -1?+138

Here on those Hot Sox, looking for another victory against Rockies!!! Jose "the horse" Contreras (3.18 ERA)!!! Chicago has had things going in the right direction!! Aaron Cook Stuggles on the road with 3.78 ERA and 1.45 Whip!!! Just a team the will out hustle the Rockies and scrap for a win!!! Take the White Sox to the Bank!!!



Bob Harvey

Florida Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays-157

In this battle of Florida teams, the vastly improved Devil Rays get the nod as my pick to sweep the "Citrus Series". Florida has lost three straight games overall and 12 of its last 15 on the road. Second baseman Dan Uggla is 0-for-7 in this series, while shortstop Hanley Ramirez and former Tampa Bay slugger Jorge Cantu are both 1-for-8. Yes those players are do to break out of their respective slumps. Rays outfielder Jonny Gomes returned Saturday and homered in his first game back since serving a five-game suspension for his part in a bench-clearing brawl with Boston on June 5, Tampa Bay remains without Carl Crawford. The left fielder is serving the third game of his four-game ban for his part in the same incident.The Rays will give the ball to Edwin Jackson (4-5, 4.06 ERA), who tries to win consecutive starts for the first time since his first two outings of the season. He allowed four runs and a season high-tying 10 hits in seven innings Monday, but got credit for a 13-4 victory over the Los Angeles Angels. Ricky Nolasco will throw 'em down for the Fish and has fared well against the D-Rays. This is more of a momentum play. Jackson is an underated hurler and I think he matches up well with Nolasco. Tampa Bay gets the sweep.


Dave Price

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Indians

Total 8? un-116

1 Unit on Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 (listing Maddux and Sabathia)

Sabathia is among the best UNDERS bets in baseball and we'll make that wager here. First off, the Under is 44-11-3 in the Indians last 58 Sunday games. The Under is 8-1 in Sabathia's last 9 starts overall, 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 home starts, and 5-0 in Sabathia's last 5 Sunday starts. The Under is also 12-5-2 in the Padres last 19 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 4-1 in Maddux's last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Bet the Under.



John Martin

Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona D-Backs

Kansas City Royals +137

1 Unit on Kansas City Royals +137
(Listing Meche)

Kansas City is a solid free pick today with Ace Gil Meche taking the ball for the Royals. Meche is 10-5 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Meche is also 18-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. Gil Meche loves the role of the underdog and he pitches his best ball on the road as indicated by his numbers. Meche owns a 3.95 ERA in 7 road starts this season. Micah Owins is winless in his last 3 outings with a 9.22 ERA to show for it. Meche is on top of his game while Owings is faltering. I?ll give the Royals a great shot at winning on the road Sunday. Cash in with Kansas City as the underdog.


Info Plays

Florida Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays -152

3* on Tampa Bay Rays -152
(Listing Jackson only)

Play Against - Road teams (FLORIDA) - excellent power team (>=1.5 HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest. This is a 68-32 ML System hitting 68% since 1997. The Marlins can hit the long ball, but Edwin Jackson is a stud on the mound for Tampa Bay who will hold the Marlins? lineup in check. Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing. This is a 150-48 ML System hitting 75.8% since 1997. These two systems in favor of the Rays make Tampa the pick as our free play Sunday. Bet Tampa Bay at home.


Jeff Alexander

Florida Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays-158

1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -158 (listing Jackson)
The Rays just won't go down at home. The Rays are 20-2 in their last 22 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 8-1 in their last 9 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games, 1-5 in their last 6 road games, and 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Take Tampa.



Black Widow


New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Houston Astros+119

1* on Houston Astros +119
(List Oswalt only)

Houston?s Ace in Roy Oswalt will out-duel the Yankees? Ace in Chien-Ming Wang Sunday. The Yankees are just 14-19 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Oswalt is 15-2 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. The Wizard is coming into form with a 3.15 ERA over his last 3 starts for Houston. Chien-Ming Wang has been struggling mightily with a 6.36 ERA over his last 3 starts for New York. The great price we are receiving on Houston at home is too good to pass up. Take the Astros on the Money Line.
 

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Jeff Benton

3♦ KANSAS CITY ROYALS

I know Kansas City has been in a month-long funk, but it?s not like Arizona has been tearing it up either. After last night?s blowout loss to the Royals, the DBacks are 9-16 in their last 25 games. One reason for the DBacks? struggles? Today?s starting pitcher, Micah Owings, has been terrible in his last three starts, posting a 9.22 ERA while losing two of the three contests. In fact, Arizona is just 3-6 in Owings? last nine outings, including 1-3 at home. Meanwhile, I don?t mind Royals right-hander Gil Meche at all. The veteran has recorded four quality starts in his last six outings, and he?s allowed three runs or fewer in five of those six contests. Also, Meche has been solid on the road (3.95 ERA in seven starts) and he?s got great numbers in two career starts against Arizona. Granted, Meche been a tough-luck pitcher this year, as the Royals have lost his last five starts and 10 of his 14 this season. But if he continues to pitch well, the breaks will start falling his way. Also, it?s worth nothing that Meche has been a much better pitcher this year in day games (2-3, 3.99 ERA) than at night (1-5, 6.14 ERA). Solid underdog value with K.C. in this one.

Matt Rivers

CELTICS / LAKERS UNDER

Once again I'm feeling like being in a giving mood so I'll give you the low right here in game five for free. The way the Celtics are playing defense and the way the Lakers have improved defensively, I just do not see all of a sudden an explosion. Plus I don't see Eddie House and James Posey being able to shoot like they did in that last game and that contest stayed under even with that. I will reiterate right here what I said before that last game. Boston has played phenomenal defense all season long and really do not look to fast break all that much. Even if the Lakers want to run and gun things are made a tremendous amount tougher when the opponent is not only extremely capable on the defensive end but does not really try to score all too quickly. The halfcourt game is perfectly fine with Doc Rivers and his squad and even on the road should be able to control most of the pace. Kevin Garnett was the defensive player of the year and all in all the C's may have been the best defensive team this season. Let's not forget about all of the garbage time Boston was involved in this campaign because they led so many games by so many points. That has skewed the stats a bit out of their favor not making people understand just how dominant defensively they have been. Kobe is a beast and the greatest player on the planet who could put up 40 against anybody. Shoot the guy scored 80 against the Raptors, I think, in one game a season ago. But a total around the 190's means that we should have a team hit the century mark and that is just asking too much. We may see a few more points today than that 87-81 LA win in Game three as that was tremendously under but in the end I do not see both teams getting above 90.


Ross Benjamin


PIRATES / ORIOLES OVER 9

The Baltimore starting pitcher Daniel Cabrera enters the game in bad form off of his last 4 starts posting a 6.98 ERA, a 1.81 WHIP, and walking 3 more men than he had struck out. In his last 6 starts Cabrera has allowed 6 home runs in 37.2 innings. Cabrera has seen just 6 of his last 22 home starts go under the total. In 5 starts on the road this season the Pittsburgh starter Paul Maholm has posted a lofty 6.83 ERA. In his last 5 starts overall Maholm has allowed 7 home runs in 35.2 innings. Maholm has seen 7 of his last 8 starts go over the total versus a team with a win percentage of less than .500. The Orioles have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 games versus a left-handed starting pitcher. Baltimore is hitting .285 as a team versus left-handed pitching at home this season and .317 as team versus southpaws over the last 10 games. Pittsburgh has gone under the total just 7 times this season in 32 road games and just 21 times over the last 72 on the road. Play on over the total as my free selection of the day.


Drew Gordon


2♦ CHICAGO CUBS

If there's one thing the Blue Jays don't do well, its hit lefties, especially at the Rogers Centre, where they bat just .223 against them, averaging a meager 3.7 runs per game in that spot! They're just 3-6 at home against southpaws this season, and a match up against the Cubs Ted Lilly doesn't bode well this afternoon.

Speaking of Lilly, he rebounded nicely from an ugly effort against the Rockies May 30th, pitching well in his last two, allowing 5 runs over his last 14 innings of work, fanning 16 in the process! In fact, if you take away his atrocious first 4 starts of the season, Lilly is 6-2 with a rock-solid 3.88 ERA on the year. Look for another strong effort this afternoon, and the fact Vernon Wells may be held out of this one after feeling some tightness in his hand, only helps the Cubbies in this one.

Opposing Lilly is the Jays Jesse Litsch, who adimittingly looked great from late-April to late-May, but has tailed off considerably in June, going 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA. What's most concerning is the fact he's allowed 20 hits over his last 11 1/3 innings, and against an offense like the Cubs, that can get real ugly, real fast. Cubs offense hasn't exactly been on-point of late, but they're catching Litsch in the midst of some troubles, which makes the play here squarely on Chicago.

Finally, its important to note the Cubs are not only playing well, winners of 5 of their last 6 (as compared to the Jays, who've lost 7 of their last 10), but they've also had plenty of success over Lilly's last 8 starts, going 6-2 over that span! In the end, the Cubs take the series, capitalizing on the Jays inability to hit lefties, and Litsch sudden loss of focus.

Take the Chicago Cubs behind Lilly over Toronto and Litsch in afternoon MLB action


Tony Weston

The Yankees took the first two games of this series beating the Astros 2-1 Friday then 8-4 Saturday. That loss Saturday for the Astros puts them at 3-13 their last 16 games and puts them at 2-6 their last eight games at home.

The Yankees come into this game 11-6 their last 17 games overall and 7-3 their last 10 road games. New York turns to Chien-Ming Wang to make the start. So far this year he?s 7-2 with a 4.30 ERA. The Yankees are also 11-3 in his 14 starts this year and have won in his last four starts.

Wang will get another victory and the Yanks will destroy the Astros again.

Take New York on the road today.


3♦ YANKEES (1♦ to 5♦ Scale)
 

the duke

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JR MILLER

LAKERS -7.0 -103 over Celtics (Sunday)
Celtics at Lakers OVER 190.5 -102 (Sunday)


Comments:
LAKERS -7.0 -103 over Celtics (Sunday)
Celtics at Lakers OVER 190.5 -102 (Sunday)
If you agree with one or both of these picks we think it's a good idea to get your money down early. Both these lines figure to move against us rather than toward us as game-time gets closer. We've had five bets so far on this series and all five of them have been based mostly on motivational factors rather than statistical factors. At this level of play the stats are pretty much equalized. It's the same for these two plays. We're expecting the Lakers to win this game by double digits, going away, and we think the game will go 'Over' 190 points a long time before the whistle blows. Can you say, "Blowout"? It's not that the Lakers are actually so much better than the Celtics, but we think in this particular game, they will be. All the psychological factors are favoring the Lakers. For one thing, look for the Celtics to "coast" in this game. They won't be bringing their 'A' game. At 3-1 for the series, the Celtics' players (and coaches) might easily be picturing winning the championship in front of their home fans. At the same time, the Lakers' players and coaches figure to be super-motivated by their embarrassment in their last game.
 

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Olympic Sports


Dodgers +114
White Sox -137
Brewers -122
Diamondbacks -145*
Giants +112
Mariners -135
Angels -140*

Lakers -7
Over 190.5
 

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2-Minute Warning

NBA
LA LAKERS

MLB
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Cabrera over Maholm - always specify pitchers
 

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS



Toronto (Litsch) -110* over Chicago Cubs (Lilly)

New York Yankees (Wang) -120* over Houston (Oswalt)

Arizons (Owings) -150* over Kansas City (Meche)

Los Angeles Angels (Saunders) -130**
over Atlanta (Campillo)
 

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BIG AL McMORDIE

SUNDAY AFTERNOON BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER. [ MLB ]

$20.00
Al McMordie lost his Interleague Total of the Year last night on the 'under' in the Yankee/Astro game, and looks to bounce back on Father's Day with an afternoon baseball play. It's also an Over/Under selection, and it's backed by no less than four winning situations. Get on board right now, as Big Al rebounds strong on Sunday.

Washington/Seattle under


At 4:10pm our selection is on the Washington Nationals and Seattle Mariners 'under' the total. The two worst teams (arguably) in the Majors face off in this interleague battle of the basements, with the Nats taking the first two games of the series. The six runs scored by the Mariners in the Friday game were the most runs since they plated eight runs in Boston over a week ago, but last night, Seattle once again found scoring difficult, and only tallied two runs. Of course, this is not surprising, as neither of these teams is known for their offensive firepower. Nats veteran righthander Tim Redding is having what I guess you would call a career year so far in Washington, as he is on a pace to have between 12 and 15 wins (no small feat on this club), with an ERA in the low 4s and most importantly, his team has won eleven of his fourteen starts so far. Seattle's lefthanded veteran Jarrod Washburn has been one of the most inconsistent starters in the league in recent years, but he has pitched very well recently with a 3.63 ERA in his last three starts. Washburn also has been having major problems with run support, as have most of the Mariner pitchers this season. Tim Redding has gone 'under' the total in 16 of his last 21 as an underdog, and 30 of 44 vs. losing teams. The Nats have gone 'under' in 12 of 19 day games, while Seattle has gone 'under' in 12 of its 21 day games. Finally, Redding has pitched his best away from home this season, with a 3-0 record, 3.56 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in five road starts. Take the 'under'.


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Los Angeles Lakers



At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Boston. After being on the Celtics to win the NBA Title the entire season, I switched to the Lakers at the start of this series (and feel not too good about that decision now). Still, if there is any team that can come back from a 3 games to 1 deficit in the NBA Finals, it's this team. They have the world's best player in Kobe Bryant, and have an experienced coach in Phil Jackson. And they also have the benefit of playing game 5 at home. Most teams down 3 games to 1 in a series play that fifth game on the road, and are quickly eliminated. But LA will be able to get its confidence boosted a bit with a less daunting challenge: to win a Game at Staples Center where they've lost just once (this past Thursday) in 15 games. A lot of folks will want to make a big deal out of LA's psyche after losing outright as a 7.5-point favorite, especially since it was up by 20 points, 70-50, midway thru the 3rd quarter. Clearly, Phil Jackson has his work cut out for him to get his troops mentally back on track. But I think it won't be as hard as it was for Gregg Popovich when his Spurs blew their 65-45 lead in Game 1 at Staples Center vs. these Lakers. The difference is that the Spurs had to go right back out to play another road game, while LA will be competing in front of its own cheering denizens. Also, I researched how teams do after losing outright as a favorite of 6.5 or more points in the playoffs. These teams are a losing proposition ON THE ROAD, but do quite well at home, going 37-4 straight-up and 26-14-1 ATS since 1991, including a solid 7-0 straight-up and 6-1 ATS the past two seasons. Look for the Lakers to win Game 5 handily. Lay the points.
 

the duke

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Kelso Sturgeon

High Rollers Baseball
15 units Red Sox


Best Bets Baseball Club
5 units Yankees
4 units Royals
3 units A's


100 units Los Angeles Lakers
 

the duke

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Michael Cannon

NBA Playoffs: 28-19-2 (+110 dimes)


25 Dime
CELTICS


10 Dime
BLUE JAYS (With Litsch as listed pitcher)


5 Dime
YANKEES (With Wang as listed pitcher)
 

the duke

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Arthur Ralph

Super Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks

900 - Best Bet
Chicago White Sox

Free play
Washington Nationals
 

the duke

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PlusLineSports

Daily Baseball Selection

Boston Red Sox(Beckett) vs. Cincinnati Reds(Hailey)
Boston Red Sox -1.5 210(+110)

Game time is June 15 at 12:15 pm Central Standard Time(U.S.)
 

Spud82

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Nov 27, 1999
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On The Beach
:nono:

Touts really sucked yesterday guys. There were
(17) pay plays ranging from $19 dollars to $50 listed. They went a horrible 4-13. Of the 4 winners all of them had the same team Oakland.

Of the 13 other plays listed they went a whopping 0-13. Cincinnati & Arizona were each listed three times)

If you would have taken these plays you would have been $305 in the crapper before you even made a wager! :scared
 
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