- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 71-54-4 (+18.8)
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)
The Spurs are really good, and they are rolling right now. I don?t see the Mavericks standing in their path today. After a home win, as an away favorite the Spurs are 6-1 SU (+13.3 ppg) in their last 7. After a game in which they scored 10 points or more than expected, they are 10-3 SU (+9.2 ppg). They are 16-3 SU (+6.8 ppg) and 13-6 ATS as a road favorite with at least a day of rest when the line is between 5 and 7. When playing an isolated road game as a favorite and having a game on deck tomorrow, the Spurs are 9-1 SU (+13.2 ppg). After a game in which they pulled down 5 or less offensive rebounds, the Spurs are 8-1 SU (+16.4 ppg) and 9-0 ATS.
The Mavericks are just not that good right now. Until Dirk resumes his full strength, they are going to struggle. As a home dog, they are 4-14 SU and ATS in their last 20. When they are playing as a home dog before a road game, they are 1-6 SU (-8.6 ppg). While it may mean nothing, home dogs are 0-9 SU (-10.4 ppg) after playing against the Nuggets. Perhaps they were doused in too much green from the Colorado goodness...
Dominique Jones: ?People say we?re so close. I don?t think we?re close to being a good team. I think we got a lot of work to do.?
Doing work is good, but trying to become a good team against a dominant one is tough. The Spurs are one of the best teams in the league because they have a great coach, great veteran leadership, outstanding starters, and a deep bench. The Mavericks are struggling defensively. They allowed one of the worst three point shooting teams in the league (Denver) to shoot 12/28 from beyond the arc. The Thunder shot 10/25 and the Spurs 20/30 in the game before that. The numbers highlight Dallas's inability to defend the perimeter. San Antonio gets 25.4% of their points from long range, and they shoot 39.1% (fourth in league). This is part of the reason they are so difficult to defend, because they also thrive in points in the paint. Unless Dallas has discovered some magical defensive formula in the last day, this game could be a struggle for them again. The Spurs dropped 20 three pointers on the Mavericks last game, and shot lights out. While that is super impressive and not to be expected again today, the Mavericks shot right around their averages for the season, and they still lost by 38.
Danilo Gallinari, Denver?s 6-10 forward who poured in 39 points and hit seven 3-pointers, many of them uncontested, said: ?I got to thank the defense they prepared on me for leaving me open for the 3.?
While I don?t put much stock in referee assignments, the Mavericks probably won?t have any home court favoritism from this crew:
Sean Corbin: home team 8-15 ATS (home dog 2-6 ATS)
Ed Malloy: home team 8-14 ATS (home dog 2-5 ATS)
Scott Twardoski: home team 8-7-1 ATS (home dog 2-4 ATS)
The Mavericks are 1-8 SU (-11.4) in their last 9 when facing the Spurs as a dog.
Spurs -5.5
Good luck...
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)
The Spurs are really good, and they are rolling right now. I don?t see the Mavericks standing in their path today. After a home win, as an away favorite the Spurs are 6-1 SU (+13.3 ppg) in their last 7. After a game in which they scored 10 points or more than expected, they are 10-3 SU (+9.2 ppg). They are 16-3 SU (+6.8 ppg) and 13-6 ATS as a road favorite with at least a day of rest when the line is between 5 and 7. When playing an isolated road game as a favorite and having a game on deck tomorrow, the Spurs are 9-1 SU (+13.2 ppg). After a game in which they pulled down 5 or less offensive rebounds, the Spurs are 8-1 SU (+16.4 ppg) and 9-0 ATS.
The Mavericks are just not that good right now. Until Dirk resumes his full strength, they are going to struggle. As a home dog, they are 4-14 SU and ATS in their last 20. When they are playing as a home dog before a road game, they are 1-6 SU (-8.6 ppg). While it may mean nothing, home dogs are 0-9 SU (-10.4 ppg) after playing against the Nuggets. Perhaps they were doused in too much green from the Colorado goodness...
Dominique Jones: ?People say we?re so close. I don?t think we?re close to being a good team. I think we got a lot of work to do.?
Doing work is good, but trying to become a good team against a dominant one is tough. The Spurs are one of the best teams in the league because they have a great coach, great veteran leadership, outstanding starters, and a deep bench. The Mavericks are struggling defensively. They allowed one of the worst three point shooting teams in the league (Denver) to shoot 12/28 from beyond the arc. The Thunder shot 10/25 and the Spurs 20/30 in the game before that. The numbers highlight Dallas's inability to defend the perimeter. San Antonio gets 25.4% of their points from long range, and they shoot 39.1% (fourth in league). This is part of the reason they are so difficult to defend, because they also thrive in points in the paint. Unless Dallas has discovered some magical defensive formula in the last day, this game could be a struggle for them again. The Spurs dropped 20 three pointers on the Mavericks last game, and shot lights out. While that is super impressive and not to be expected again today, the Mavericks shot right around their averages for the season, and they still lost by 38.
Danilo Gallinari, Denver?s 6-10 forward who poured in 39 points and hit seven 3-pointers, many of them uncontested, said: ?I got to thank the defense they prepared on me for leaving me open for the 3.?
While I don?t put much stock in referee assignments, the Mavericks probably won?t have any home court favoritism from this crew:
Sean Corbin: home team 8-15 ATS (home dog 2-6 ATS)
Ed Malloy: home team 8-14 ATS (home dog 2-5 ATS)
Scott Twardoski: home team 8-7-1 ATS (home dog 2-4 ATS)
The Mavericks are 1-8 SU (-11.4) in their last 9 when facing the Spurs as a dog.
Spurs -5.5
Good luck...
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