- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 101-73-4 (+29.4)
OU: 57-50-1 (+0.7)
ML dogs: 3-7 (+1.5)
The Nuggets are 7-2 this season at home in revenge games (granted they have been favored in all). Since the 2009 season, the Nuggets are 5-1 SU (+14.7 ppg) and 5-1 ATS when seeking revenge at home for a loss that happened in the same week. Teams that beat an opponent at home and are playing in a revenge match on the road in the same week as the previous match, after an overtime game are 2-10 SU (-7.2) and 2-9-1 ATS since the 2002 season, when the line is between -3.5 and +2.5 (average line -1.2).
Since the 2001 season, teams coming off a home loss that are playing as an average dog of -1.2 against a team that has won 6 or more games in a row are 16-7 SU. All these trends speak to motivation. The Nuggets are 4-1 at home this season against opponents with a winning record over 60%, beating the Clippers, Spurs, Warriors, and Grizzlies. The Nuggets have two days off before their next game, and the Thunder have one day and then they face the Clippers on the road. The Clippers game is a much bigger game for the Thunder, as it will be a battle for the #1 spot in the NBA.
The Nuggets hold an inside scoring advantage on every team in the league, especially on their home court. The Nuggets 9-13 SU this season on the road when they outscore their opponent in the paint. At home, they are 15-3. The Nuggets also hold a rebounding edge over the Thunder, and they are 12-1 SU at home when they out-rebound and outscore opponents in the paint this season.
Let?s be honest, I could find way more trends and stats to back up playing the Thunder. But as soon as I saw the line, I knew I would take the Nuggets. The Thunder were a 10 point favorite over the Mavs and they took them to overtime - in the rematch they were a 5 point favorite on the road. The Thunder were an 8.5 points favorite over the Nuggets and crushed them - now they are a 1 point favorite on the road. The Nuggets just lost to the Wizards and got stomped by the Thunder a few days ago, and now they are only a 1 point dog to the Thunder who are rolling right now? That's just wrong... Nuggets win tonight.
Nuggets +1 x2
Good luck...
OU: 57-50-1 (+0.7)
ML dogs: 3-7 (+1.5)
The Nuggets are 7-2 this season at home in revenge games (granted they have been favored in all). Since the 2009 season, the Nuggets are 5-1 SU (+14.7 ppg) and 5-1 ATS when seeking revenge at home for a loss that happened in the same week. Teams that beat an opponent at home and are playing in a revenge match on the road in the same week as the previous match, after an overtime game are 2-10 SU (-7.2) and 2-9-1 ATS since the 2002 season, when the line is between -3.5 and +2.5 (average line -1.2).
Since the 2001 season, teams coming off a home loss that are playing as an average dog of -1.2 against a team that has won 6 or more games in a row are 16-7 SU. All these trends speak to motivation. The Nuggets are 4-1 at home this season against opponents with a winning record over 60%, beating the Clippers, Spurs, Warriors, and Grizzlies. The Nuggets have two days off before their next game, and the Thunder have one day and then they face the Clippers on the road. The Clippers game is a much bigger game for the Thunder, as it will be a battle for the #1 spot in the NBA.
The Nuggets hold an inside scoring advantage on every team in the league, especially on their home court. The Nuggets 9-13 SU this season on the road when they outscore their opponent in the paint. At home, they are 15-3. The Nuggets also hold a rebounding edge over the Thunder, and they are 12-1 SU at home when they out-rebound and outscore opponents in the paint this season.
Let?s be honest, I could find way more trends and stats to back up playing the Thunder. But as soon as I saw the line, I knew I would take the Nuggets. The Thunder were a 10 point favorite over the Mavs and they took them to overtime - in the rematch they were a 5 point favorite on the road. The Thunder were an 8.5 points favorite over the Nuggets and crushed them - now they are a 1 point favorite on the road. The Nuggets just lost to the Wizards and got stomped by the Thunder a few days ago, and now they are only a 1 point dog to the Thunder who are rolling right now? That's just wrong... Nuggets win tonight.
Nuggets +1 x2
Good luck...
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