my 2 cents..
1st) turnovers decide games.. assuming both protect the ball then
2nd) I also think Philly the better team, more complete, better off/def lines, best RB, best 2 WRs and prob best TE,
3rd) KC had best offensive gm last week, but Buffalo has had bad defense on road all year, Philly stronger @ def line/DBs than Buff
4th) KC better PK and Coach
5th) Philly's run game can pop against ANY team, great OL, BEST RB.. If KC sells out on run and plays man, Adv Eagles w/Brown/Smith/Goedert
6th) Coach Reid will have a few special plays cooked up that usually work, he's absolutely one of the all-time best at that!
7th) I don't see KC having "great success" running on Philly... Expect Quick Passing from Mahomes, getting it out quick (esp early in gm).
**REFS CAN ALWAYS DECIDE GAMES LATE (as they did when these 2 teams played 2 yrs ago)
It'll be up to Philly to play their game, run Saquon down KC's throat, then play-action pass for Smith/Brown, Hurts occasional scramble
*Use TE to keep drives alive, Goedert great receiver, adv Phil
If Philly defense PREVENTS Mahomes from his short-yardage naked rollouts they stop half of KCs drives..
WHICHEVER defenses get to/contain the QB will win the game
Saquon breaks 1 or 2 long ones and Philly wins, he's MVP (+250), if he doesn't then I'd guess Hurts (QBs almost always win it).
Mahomie @ +110 not worth a wager.
so far I've only done:
6pt Tease: Phil +7.5/Ov 43.5 (3u)
LIKE:
*Eagles tt OVER 23.5 (-30)
*Saquon MVP (+250)
*ATD -- Saquon... Goedert... Hurts... better payouts on: JuJu... not sure yet cuz my site doesn't put em up yet
*OV sacks for Eagles
more later
LoB