Super Bowl LIII odds: Hypothetical matchups

[DZ]

via 5 dimes

Sunday, February 3, 2019 6:30 PM
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams
New England Patriots PK Over 57?
Los Angeles Rams PK Under 57?

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams
Kansas City Chiefs PK Over 63?
Los Angeles Rams PK Under 63?

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots +1? Over 52?
New Orleans Saints -1? Under 52?

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs +1? Over 59?
New Orleans Saints -1? Under 59?

 

[DZ]

Odds on Exact Result

Odds on Exact Result

Super Bowl LIII - Exact Result - Sunday, February 3, 2019 6:30 PM

LA Rams beat New England +774
Any other result -1624

LA Rams beat Kansas City +537
Any other result -1010

New Orleans beats New England +468
Any other result -802

New Orleans beats Kansas City +329
Any other result -485

New England beats LA Rams +774
Any other result -1624

New England beats New Orleans +523
Any other result -967

Kansas City beats LA Rams +559
Any other result -1075

Kansas City beats New Orleans +384
Any other result -580

LA Rams lose Super Bowl LIII +349
Any other result -525

New Orleans loses Super Bowl LIII +205
Any other result -285

New England loses Super Bowl LIII +310
Any other result -430

Kansas City loses Super Bowl LIII +181
Any other result -261

 

[DZ]

Looks like they are setting all potential matchups at pick the winner, more or less.

Personally, I would give the NFC a slight bump up over the AFC teams as compared to the lines above, while leaving the Chiefs v Rams matchup at a pick'em. Saints will enjoy a slightly larger edge over either KC or NE given geographical location and dome environment, although it should be noted that New Orleans won their last Super Bowl an open-air stadium in Miami in 2010. I would set the Saints at a FG fav over either AFC team if they were to make it, maybe a little shorter vs KC at -2.5 given the Mahomes excitement factor and the slight bump in appeal for the Chiefs if they beat perennial a Super Bowl contender in the Patriots. I would also set the Rams as a full Field Goal favorite over the Pats, giving their speed on the defensive line and on offense an edge on the fast track as well. In terms of Chiefs v Rams, we saw how that was anyone's game in Week 11 and I doubt anyone would be surprised to see a rematch play out in the same way where the winner comes down to the last one with the ball.

 

[bosbabiesarm]

DZ well said. :0008

 

[DZ]

via Jeff Sherman @golfodds
(Westgate Superbook, Las Vegas)

Possible SB LIII matchups @SuperBookUSA

Chiefs 59.5
Saints -1.5

Chiefs 63
Rams Pick

Patriots 56.5
Saints -1.5

Patriots 57.5
Rams Pick

 

[DZ]

Note the difference: somebody is wrong on this total...

Note the difference: somebody is wrong on this total...

via 5 dimes

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots +1? Over 52?
New Orleans Saints -1? Under 52?

via Jeff Sherman @golfodds
(Westgate Superbook, Las Vegas)

Patriots 56.5
Saints -1.5

That is a noticeable difference :shrug:

 

[DZ]

DZ well said. :0008

:toast: Thanks