Super Bowl Props- Who loves what?

shbtopdog

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I?m Thinking about playing the following

Under 77.5 yds Rushing Moestert
Over 30.5 yds rushing Mahomes
Over 1.5 Td Passes Mahomes-250
Longest TD of game Over 44.5 yds
D Williams will score a TD -129

My one flyer might be
Blake Bell scores a Td +5000
Just a hunch (And my kids name is Blake)

I?m also hedging some of my KC futures with
SF either +3.5 or +4.5 looking to catch a middle for a nice payday!

Anybody have props they like?
 

Betone

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I like the Mahomes over 30.5 rushing yards......I think this will determine their success. JMO
 

shbtopdog

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Mahomes Over 30.5 yds rushing -121
Will hit it tomorrow
Also am going to lay the heavy juice on the
Over 1.5 TD passes Mahomes-250
And
Under 77.5 yds rushing Moestert
My 3 Faves
 

Old School

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Mahomes Over 30.5 yds rushing -121
Will hit it tomorrow
Also am going to lay the heavy juice on the
Over 1.5 TD passes Mahomes-250
And
Under 77.5 yds rushing Moestert
My 3 Faves


:0074......Bring it home Homes............
 

shbtopdog

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Got to the Sportsbook early this morning and had to pay up a little extra in juice

Got Mahomes Over 30.5 rush yards are -134
Laid 350

Under 77.5 rush yds Moestert -118
Laid 300

Damien Williams to Score a TD -137
Laid 400

Mahomes Over 1.5 TD passes -265 (Crazy High) but seems hard to me if he doesn?t this game may not be close
Laid 350

I like these the best, but
I?m still looking for a couple others with
better value
A couple + numbers
 

shbtopdog

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Does anyone like this?

Chiefs to score in every quarter
+165
Seems like a nice price and pretty likely too!
 

tball

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Does anyone like this?

Chiefs to score in every quarter
+165
Seems like a nice price and pretty likely too!

if niners force one 3-and out in the 1st or 3rd and are able to grind out time with run game, you could miss this

i could see something like chiefs driving late in the 1st, 3rd, and let clock runout (end up scoring early 2nd, 4th) -- would be only hesitation
 

Earl714

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D Williams (kc) Recpt. Game Total o4.5 +135

D Robinson (kc) Rcv Yds. Game Total u20.5 -120

D Robinson (kc) Recpt. Game Total u1.5 -110

P Mahomes (kc) Rsh Yds. Game Total u36.5 -115

P Mahomes (kc) Pss Yds. Game Total u312.5 -120
 

Old School

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Does anyone like this?

Chiefs to score in every quarter
+165
Seems like a nice price and pretty likely too!

if niners force one 3-and out in the 1st or 3rd and are able to grind out time with run game, you could miss this

i could see something like chiefs driving late in the 1st, 3rd, and let clock runout (end up scoring early 2nd, 4th) -- would be only hesitation


VERY TRUE...:0074
 

MadJack

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I like most of the unders on the star QB's, backs, and receivers.
I like the under in the game and 1H.
I like Garopollo first pass to be a completion and Mahomes 1st pass to be incomplete.
 

shbtopdog

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Jack
I like your approach
It?s seems normal for casual fans to be likely to bet over on the individual props, as it?s more fun to root for. That being the case, numbers are probably inflated on most of these props.

I ended up adding 1 more prop
At Even money I laid 300 on
KC to convert a successful 4th down.

I hedged today my KC futures with
SF +4.5 -180
So I have almost no risk
2 unit loss with a SF win
4 unit profit with KC win by more than 5
Or
32 unit profit with KC win by 4 or less
Hoping for a good close game and Mahomes leads KC to a game winning
field goal at the buzzer.

Good luck to everyone with their plays
 

OAKAS

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Usually do pretty good on Super Bowl Props

San Fran over 1' FG
San Fran convert 4th down
Jimmy G throws interception
Jimmy G 2 passing td's
Juszczyk over 10' Rec Yds

Williams over 14' yards one a reception
Kansas City convert 4th down
Mahomes over 30' rushing
Thompson over 1' rush attempts
Thompson over 4' rushing yards

Both teams convert 33 yards or more FG
2 point attempt (not conversion)
 
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shbtopdog

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Mahomes Over rushing yards has got to be the worst beat I?ve ever taken, any sport ever.
😂 Couldn?t just take a 1 or 2 yard loss each time?
WTF
I feel bad for anybody else who had it.
My middling hedge was sooo close,
Literally lost $3,500 pure profit in the last 1:45 or so.
Pretty gross
Hope you all did well with your plays
 

boomer1

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Mahomes Over rushing yards has got to be the worst beat I?ve ever taken, any sport ever.
😂 Couldn?t just take a 1 or 2 yard loss each time?
WTF
I feel bad for anybody else who had it.
My middling hedge was sooo close,
Literally lost $3,500 pure profit in the last 1:45 or so.
Pretty gross
Hope you all did well with your plays

This was horrible Topdog. Sorry about that man. Tough loss!!
 
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