Super Bowl XLIX

EDM

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5u Most penalties: SEA -1/2 (-120) *Teams that play SEA are the least penalized in the league and SEA is 3rd most penalized in the league. My book maxes out props at 10u or I'd be betting twice this.

5u Game U47.5 (-111) *60% on the Over (where I look) and total is down a point. Both teams come in with two straight overs in their playoff games. Seattle does well against the dink and dunk passing plays typically and with the #1 rush offense and #28th passing O I think they will be chewing up a lot of clock. Will be looking to play the second half under as well with SEA giving up only 6.8 points in the second half this season. Pats are no slouches on D coming in #9 against the run specifically and #8 in scoring defense, and the Hawks check in number one overall.

1u Will there be OT: Yes +745 *Hasn't happened ever and this is the tightest spread and most evenly matched SB on paper. Partial insurance against a losing under bet as well, but think even with up to 9 points in OT the game under still has a shot.
 

EDM

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10u SEA ML (-111) Been back and forth on this game but at the end of the day gotta go with my gut. I don't see Wilson having two bad big games in a row and the Hawks defense is the best unit the Patriots have seen all year. I grew up in the Boston area and love the Pats but can't bet real money with my heart.
 
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