SwanDawg's WNBA:

[SwanDawg]

Season long thread here.

Saturday, July 12th

1* Indiana +2

Atlanta has lost only five games SU all season, and two of them were to Indiana. Indiana is off a spread loss and they've yet to lose back-to-back ATS this season. This will be Atlanta's first road game in some time, and since they have a four game cushion on the Eastern conference I could see a lack of focus here.

 

[SwanDawg]

Sunday, July 13th

Connecticut +3

Early 1:00 EST tip.

 

[SwanDawg]

Sunday July 27th:

2* Washington +2.5

2* Tulsa -2

Atlanta has lost 3 of their last 4 so they're in no real position to be a road favorite here. The L/16 times a team coming off 2-home wins and is playing their 3rd game in five days have gone 14-2 ATS winning by 8-points/game.

Chicago is playing their 2nd road game on a 3-game road trip, and coming off a SU win vs. Atlanta as decent sized dogs I believe has them a little over valued in this game vs. Tulsa today. They haven't been great vs decent 3-point and FT shooting teams this season. So I'll take the home team here.

 

[Okie]

Very Nice Call

Very Nice Call

thx

 

[SwanDawg]

thx

:0008

 

[SwanDawg]

Tuesday, July 29th:

2* Washington +2.5

Washington comes in winners of four straight, and away from home their hitting 45% from the field while New York shoots 43% at home. Plus New York is losing by 15 PPG the L/11 times after covering three of four. So I'll grab the road dog in the spot right here.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Saturday, August 2nd:

1* Minnesota -6.5

1* Phoenix -10

Minnesota is running so hoy right now, and I don;t see any reason for that to stop now.

Ditto for Phoenix and this is in regards to ATS records not SU.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Sunday, August 3rd:

1* Atlanta -9
1* Connecticut +6
1* Washington +5

A 1-0-1 Saturday.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Tuesday, August 4th 2014:

1* Washington -4.5

1* Connecticut +2.5

New York losing by 5 PPG away from home, and off a nice win at Atlanta (1-6 ATS after scoring 80+ this season - However this will be the 3rd straight road game they'll play, and they're 2-6 TY as road dogs of 6 or less. Washington will be looking to revenge a loss at NY just a few days ago., and won her vs The Liberty earlier in the year by 8-points. Washington is 8-2 ATS this season after two straight games allowing 70+ points.

Connecticut has been pretty strong at home and getting points vs a 4-9 road squad from Chicago here. Plus the home team has owned the series this season. This year Connecticut is 10-5 ATS vs teams with losing records - Chicago is 0-6 ATS vs teams committing 14 or less turnovers per game.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Thursday, August 7th:

2* Minnesota -7.5

I thing this should be a line that is closer to 10-points rather than 7.5 / 8.

Minnesota has been winning by 13 PPG over the last two seasons as home favorites.

Chicago has been losing by 8-points/game vs the West so far this year.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Thursday, August 7th:

2* Minnesota -7.5

I thing this should be a line that is closer to 10-points rather than 7.5 / 8.

Minnesota has been winning by 13 PPG over the last two seasons as home favorites.

Chicago has been losing by 8-points/game vs the West so far this year.

Dawg

The Lynx won by 10 so how about that linemaker SwanDawg

These same ladies face up against a super strong Phoenix team today, but I won't mess with it b/c I believe the line be pretty much spot on at this point so no value.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Sunday, August 10th:

2* San Antonio +2.5

1* Washington -2.5

1* Atlanta +4

1* Tulsa +3

If you haven't seen my post in the CFL/Arena Bowl section of Madjacks you'll know that I make all of my selections based on my line value edge. So when I list angles understand I'm more than just that as a handicapper. Okay just want to get that out there, because I'm not sure I've said it here/ :topic::0003

LA so far this year has gone 3-7 ATS vs teams that come in shooting 42% plus from the floor over their L/4 games and 11-20 the L/31 times this has happened. They're also 2-8 ATS revenging a loss thus year. San Antonio comes in losing 4 straight, but up until this skid they had generally been a good bounce back team off a loss, and I'll look for them to get back on track against a team they've had good results against and at home to boot.

Washington is 9-6 ATS vs teams w/losing records this year, and 7-3 ATS vs teams allowing 44% plus from the floor. Connecticut is 2-7 ATS vs teams getting 42 or more rebounds/game.

Atlanta is 4-1 ATS as a road dog this year. Chicago is 6-10 ATS off a loss, and 3-9 ATS vs teams scoring 77+ per game this year.

Tulsa is 9-4 ATS as road dogs this year, ans Seattle is 1-5 ATS as favorites. Seattle is also 4-11 ATS vs teams with losing records.

Dawg

 

[SwanDawg]

Tuesday, August 12th:

1* Minnesota -7.5

Last week of the regular season!

Dawg