Swiming against the Stream Week 11

$JT MONEY$

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Apr 12, 2006
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First time here on madjacks, like this website alot, no bashing and all of the cappers here are very knowledgeable and helpful. Started capping about 1 and a half years ago so I am still expiriencing some growing pains dealing with money management and game selection. This year has treated me better and I am hitting aroud 55-63% from week to week. As the season goes on I have found more value in reading lines and backing that play with other notable cappers on various forums. Thats worked well for me as I rarely have a losing week anymore. I am betting small now until I am more confident in myself, this is only a hobby for me now until I can become consistent enough to begin making some real money. So enough about me and on to My Plays.

Friday: (Western Michigan +6.5)-This is play mainly based on public consensus and line value. The game opened a +4.5 and now has moved a couple points, seems like the public will keep betting this one up and I may get a better line at game time, would love to have 7 but 6.5 is a good bet to. I have seen a few successful cappers on W Michigan so I feel that my play is solid.


On to Saturday: My favorite Day:

First Play: (Georgia +13.5)-I am a Florida fan and I love the SEC, by far the highest quality conference in the nation, in the SEC teams get up for rivalries, Georgia has played down to their competition this year and and have had a sub-par season with a rookie qb, I think they surprise an Over rates Auburn team this weekend with a solid run defense, keeping it close the whole time, Georgia has a chance to save some face with a win tomorrow and I think its very possible. This will go to the last second neither team pulls away with this one.
:11jackson


2nd play: (Oregon +8-9):
Waiting for the best possible line here, USC at home is tough but not so impressive this year, they are definitely gonna get caught looking ahead at their blistering schedule and Oregon has a chance to catch them slippin, gonna take the point hopefully I get a favorable line by game time.
:spotting:



3rd and Final Play: (Kansas St +16):
This play is based mainly on line movement and the public pounding that Texas is getting, I dont need to look at the game stats, Texas is sub-par in the road and a heavily bet public team. The line is moving in reverse with almost 70% on Texas. Give me the points.
:shocked:

Any comments will be welcomed and appreciated.
 

treynolds

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Oct 26, 2002
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good luck im liking oregon as well

i never like to bet against texas, they can put points on the board pretty fast, plus mac brown loves to cover. Kansas st home feild advantage isnt what it used to be either.
 

el JB

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Apr 6, 2006
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Mexico/Texas
Texas has been with the knida talent and investments in football that could cover easily but i'll take tha points as i think they suck to cover as usual.
 

Jayhawk_Thor

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Dec 26, 2004
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Looks good enough to me.

Speaking only of the Big 12, I think the KSU-UT game is KSU or nothing... so good luck with it.

Welcome to the board.
 

Roger Baltrey

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Sep 13, 2005
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"Betting against USC is silly"? They haven't covered chit this year. I will fade their ass tomorrow.
 

buddy

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Nov 21, 2000
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I am betting small now until I am more confident in myself,...

If you're lucky, handicapping with confidence may arrive in about ten years. That is..."if you're lucky". A committment to daily study, intense record keeping, reading boxscores and game summaries, injury reports, etc. might knock six months off that ten years.

Until then...

continue to bet lightly.

You can thank me later.
 
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