I try to avoid hyping up games/sides more than they should be hyped, but there is a play that is clearly the best of the year IMO for this system that has cashed out nicely this year:
Play an unranked home favorite over a ranked away dog.
Rational once again for those who may have missed this system:
Vegas simply knows more than those who vote in the polls and the line is already adjusted assuming that most would favor the ranked team on the road.
So I will be playing Ole Miss laying 1.5 over Alabama. Something smells VERY fishy since Alabama beat this Ole Miss team earlier this year by 20. However, Ole Miss needs this win much more than Alabama and I dare say this win would put them in the tournament no matter how they play in their conference tournament.
One final note is that I have found this system to be even stronger when the away team is ranked higher (unfortunately I do not have justification for this. . . only going off of my memory over the past few years). For instance, this system in my opinion has more success when away ranked teams are in the top 10 in the country than those ranked outside the top 10. Bama being the number six team in the country makes this play a VERY VERY strong play to bet against them in this position IMO.
Good luck even if you decide to go with the "easy" bet on Alabama because it certainly does look like the better play from a capping standpoint WITHOUT regard for the system!
Play an unranked home favorite over a ranked away dog.
Rational once again for those who may have missed this system:
Vegas simply knows more than those who vote in the polls and the line is already adjusted assuming that most would favor the ranked team on the road.
So I will be playing Ole Miss laying 1.5 over Alabama. Something smells VERY fishy since Alabama beat this Ole Miss team earlier this year by 20. However, Ole Miss needs this win much more than Alabama and I dare say this win would put them in the tournament no matter how they play in their conference tournament.
One final note is that I have found this system to be even stronger when the away team is ranked higher (unfortunately I do not have justification for this. . . only going off of my memory over the past few years). For instance, this system in my opinion has more success when away ranked teams are in the top 10 in the country than those ranked outside the top 10. Bama being the number six team in the country makes this play a VERY VERY strong play to bet against them in this position IMO.
Good luck even if you decide to go with the "easy" bet on Alabama because it certainly does look like the better play from a capping standpoint WITHOUT regard for the system!
