Taking the dogs

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blgstocks

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I have read on a few good gambling forums and read a few books on the subject on college basketball dogs being historically the best play.

I am thinking about putting 1 unit on every +points team this season and seeing how it works out. I have been playing some dogs and it seems like they hit more often than not.

Of course commiting this much of my bankroll to an untested theory I am curious as to what you guys think. I have been watching itfor a couple week and dogs have gone 37-26-5.

Anybody who has an opinion on his please post as this is what this community is about sharing info and helping others break the books. Thanks for reading
 
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blgstocks

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1-10-05 First run of posted dogs

all are 1 unit bets

I will be keeping stats such as home or away, and whether or not they have a winning or losing record home or away.

I will also be keeping track of +double digits, and +20 or more. Just as info this season for added or less confidence when we all say "that is alot of chalk to lay but..."

Wisconsin +1 (on road, losing road record) Win

Western Michigan +3.5 (@ home, winning home record)Loss

Buffalo +3.5 (on road, winning road record) Covered, Loss

Virginia Tech +1.5 (@home, winning home record)LOVE this play!!! Loss

Missouri +13.5 (on road, losing road record) Win

NC State +4 (on road, losing road record) win

Vanderbilt +5.5(on road, winning road record)win

The Citadel +24.5 (on road, losing road record) loss

Fairfield +5(on road, losing road record) Win

Appreciate any feedback
 
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blgstocks

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Here are the picks for 1-11-05

St. Bonny +6 (winning home record) loss

Duquense +4(winning home record) loss

Rutgers +8.5 (winning home record) win

East Carolina +16.5(winning home record) win

E Michigain +6.5(winning home record) loss

BowlingGreen +2.5(winning home record) win

So. Miss +1.5(winning home record)win

Purdue+10(winning home record)loss

UMass +1.5(winning home record)win

Rice +7(winning home record)win

Wisc GB+1.5 (winning home record) win

Wyoming +4.5 (winnning home record) win

Saint Peters +2 (winning home record) loss

FSU +1(losing road record)win

C. Michigan +20(losing road record) win

Ball State +9(losing road record) loss

Marshall +6.5(losing road record)win

St Louis +13.5(losing road record)win

Marquette +1(losing road record)win

Nebraska +8.5(losing road record)win

Penn St +11(losing road record)win

Alabama +3 (losing road record)win

LSU +3(losing road record) win

Evansville +14(losing road record) loss

Indiana St +8(losing road record) loss

Illi St. +15.5(losing road record) loss

Creighton +6.5 (losing road record) win

Loytala Chi +11.5 (losing road record) win

UTEP +1.5 (losing road record) win

Tulsa +16 (losing road record) loss

SanDiegoSt +3.5 (losing road record) win

Maryand +14 (losing road record) loss

Kansas +4.5 (no road record) win

Texas AnM +8 (losing road record) win

TCU +10 (losing road record)

BYU +5(losing road record)

Wichita St. +6(winning road record) win

Indiana +5(winning road record) loss

NC Charollete+2(winning road record) win

Miss St +18(winning road record) win

Wake Forest +4.5(winning road record) win

GTown +5(winning road record) loss

South Carolina+1 (even road record) loss

Georgia +8.5(even road record) loss

Baylor +13.5(no record) loss

Syracuse +2(no home record) win
 
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buddy

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On Thursday, Jan. 5, 2006

there were 46 games on the card.

46 games

31 favorites covered

15 dogs covered

Of the 15 dogs that covered, five covered by 2' or less.

________________________________

If you ever see Right Side Sports in this forum again, you may want to get his opinion on playing the dogs.
 
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buddy

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blgstocks,

I've been handicapping for 20 years and I can't find one winner on tomorrows card. You went through the entire card in an hour and came up with 45. You are my hero!
 
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kevinmac_99

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adding it might be interesting to put the losing road record teams getting points in categories such as point spreads +1 thru +5 and +6 thru +10 etc.... and show their SU and ATS records. Just a thought.

KMAC
 
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blgstocks

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kevinmac_99 said:
adding it might be interesting to put the losing road record teams getting points in categories such as point spreads +1 thru +5 and +6 thru +10 etc.... and show their SU and ATS records. Just a thought.

KMAC
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Hey kmac do you know of any sites that would have the SU and ATS and those type of things. I already have double digit dogs and 20something dogs, but i might consider 1-5 as well or maybe even hi profile dogs (top25 and big names)
 
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blgstocks

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buddy said:
blgstocks,

I've been handicapping for 20 years and I can't find one winner on tomorrows card. You went through the entire card in an hour and came up with 45. You are my hero!
Click to expand...
Im not saying these are going to win buddy, im just trying to work out a theory i have read about from a few sources and im posting it since i figure guys might be interested in a system. Could you tell me what site you got the dogs covered and favorites covered from, im limited on sites and honestly havent been capping for that long at all. Thanks
 
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HoopsStud

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If gambling was as easy as just picking the under dog there would be millionaires everywhere, that being said playing dogs is usually the way to go, but you need to learn to identify which dogs to play, maybe you will collect enough data to do so, i just think you might lose a lot of units doing things this way.
 
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blgstocks

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HoopsStud said:
If gambling was as easy as just picking the under dog there would be millionaires everywhere, that being said playing dogs is usually the way to go, but you need to learn to identify which dogs to play, maybe you will collect enough data to do so, i just think you might lose a lot of units doing things this way.
Click to expand...
I was losing alot of units before to honest with you, not because i was bad at picking the teams it was just i had terrible money management.

my record before was 40-12-3 but i went for broke because i loaded so much on some game and it was stupid, cincy tennessee tech comes to mind as a heartbreaker.

This is mostly just a practice in money management and i think there really might be something to this dog nonsense
 
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blgstocks

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1-11-06 Dogs

1-11-06 Dogs

I added ATS and even though i have not calculated it into any of the stats it will hopefully add something to this system

Delaware +11 (losing road record, 4-6ATS) win

Wright State +5 (losing road record 5-4 ATS) win

Arkansas St +6 (losing road record 7-5 ATS) loss

Arkansas LR +15 (losing road record 3-6 ATS) win

Florida Intl +9 (losing road record 3-8 ATS) push

Hawaii +3 (losing road record 4-7 ATS) push

Troy +3 (losing road record 5-1 ATS) loss

Depaul +12 (losing road record 6-6 ATS) win

Boise St. +14 (losing road record 6-5 ATS) win

Arizona St. +7 (losing road record 5-5 ATS) loss

Idaho +23 (losing road record 3-6 ATS) loss

Fairfield +5 (losing road record 5-6 ATS) push

Tenn St +10 (losing road record 6-3ATS) loss

Tenn Tech +1 (losing road record 5-6ATS) win

Tenn Martin +2 (losing road record 7-4 ATS) lose

Austin Peay St +11 (losing road record 3-8 ATS) push

North Zona +2 (losing road record 5-5 ATS) win

Sac State +1 (losing road record 7-3 ATS) win

NC Wilmington +3(even road record 10-4 ATS) win

South Bama +6 (even road record 4-4 ATS) win

Fresno St. +3 (even road record 4-7 ATS) push

Loyola Maryland +6 (winning road record 6-2 ATS) win

Washington St +9 (winning road record 8-4 ATS) win

James Madison +10 (losing home record, 5-5ATS) loss

Georgia St. +10 (losing home record 4-7ATS) loss

Morehead St. +9 (losing home record 3-6 ATS) win

Oregon St +8 (winning home record 6-5 ATS) win

USC +3 (winning home record 9-4 ATS) loss

Will n Mary +9 (even home record, 4-3ATS) loss

Towson St. +5 (even home record 3-4 ATS) win

Cleveland St +2 (even home record 4-3 ATS) win
 
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Scotter

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Interesting theory you have going here. I will be very interested to see how well this works. Good Luck!
 
BleedDodgerBlue

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um..gl

but gl on saturday. you only have to bet 143 games :mj07:


hopefully its a doggie day for you. have fun trying to scoreboard watch that many games.


gl
 
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blgstocks

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BleedDodgerBlue said:
um..gl

but gl on saturday. you only have to bet 143 games :mj07:


hopefully its a doggie day for you. have fun trying to scoreboard watch that many games.


gl
Click to expand...
I know man, I have been doing this for a couple weeks on my own and posting for 2 days. It is gettin tiring. I might just quit posting these dogs, takes toomuch time. I will stil bet em though.
 
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