New to the group this year 
Had some success with this approach in years past and hope to be able to pass on some good picks to everyone this year,...and yes I do play them as well. First two weeks are half strength of what I do starting week three though. As you can tell from the selections I go heavily against Public opinion whenever possible. Theirs a reason the books are driving caddies in my opinion. Dallas might have some pub on their side this week though.
2 Star Cincy +6.0
In my opinion the line for this game should be at 10.0 even though it is in Cincy. The Bungles were still the worst team in football last year and have been consistently in the lower tier for as long as I can remember, while Denver has been just the opposite. I smell a sucker bet here and possibly even an upset.
1.5 Stars Dallas -2.0
This one was a tough call because I can easily see people jumping on the Parcells bandwagon, and with Vick missing could easily explain the line having Dallas favored, but I can't help but find it hard to believe they should be favored against an up coming playoff team that pulled off a major upset last year in GB. Dallas had two impressive pre season wins and I look for this to continue that trend and keep people talking about Parcells
1 Star Chicago +7.0
Almost made this my top play this week. I smell another sucker bet because the Niners should easily be favored by at least 10 here. Look at Miami, a team at home that didn't even fare as well as the Niners last year and they are 14.5 pt fav's against a Houston team that had as many wins as Chi did last year. Why aren't the Niners favored by almost as much? Look for Xhicago to stay close here.
.5 Star on both KC -6.0 and Houston +14.5
Even with a healthy Holmes it is hard for me to see KC favored by this many pts considering they lost to SD once last year and only one by 2 in the other game. Smell something funny with this line as well. Houston just becaus I think the parity is so great in the NFL that NO team shoudl ever be favored by more than 2 TD's against any other team. Too many things can happen. Weather could be an issue. If it starts to rain any number of turnovers in key spots couls make lady luck shine on Houston and get some easy scores, or stop Miami when they should have scored some easy pts. Don't see an upset but could be closer than many believe
Had some success with this approach in years past and hope to be able to pass on some good picks to everyone this year,...and yes I do play them as well. First two weeks are half strength of what I do starting week three though. As you can tell from the selections I go heavily against Public opinion whenever possible. Theirs a reason the books are driving caddies in my opinion. Dallas might have some pub on their side this week though.2 Star Cincy +6.0
In my opinion the line for this game should be at 10.0 even though it is in Cincy. The Bungles were still the worst team in football last year and have been consistently in the lower tier for as long as I can remember, while Denver has been just the opposite. I smell a sucker bet here and possibly even an upset.
1.5 Stars Dallas -2.0
This one was a tough call because I can easily see people jumping on the Parcells bandwagon, and with Vick missing could easily explain the line having Dallas favored, but I can't help but find it hard to believe they should be favored against an up coming playoff team that pulled off a major upset last year in GB. Dallas had two impressive pre season wins and I look for this to continue that trend and keep people talking about Parcells
1 Star Chicago +7.0
Almost made this my top play this week. I smell another sucker bet because the Niners should easily be favored by at least 10 here. Look at Miami, a team at home that didn't even fare as well as the Niners last year and they are 14.5 pt fav's against a Houston team that had as many wins as Chi did last year. Why aren't the Niners favored by almost as much? Look for Xhicago to stay close here.
.5 Star on both KC -6.0 and Houston +14.5
Even with a healthy Holmes it is hard for me to see KC favored by this many pts considering they lost to SD once last year and only one by 2 in the other game. Smell something funny with this line as well. Houston just becaus I think the parity is so great in the NFL that NO team shoudl ever be favored by more than 2 TD's against any other team. Too many things can happen. Weather could be an issue. If it starts to rain any number of turnovers in key spots couls make lady luck shine on Houston and get some easy scores, or stop Miami when they should have scored some easy pts. Don't see an upset but could be closer than many believe
