Grey,
I saw TSU play at Tennessee the day after Thanksgiving and they are a better team than last year obviously. They were only down by 8 with about 5 min. left and then the Vols went on a huge run to win by 23 or 25 for the push. I can't remember which it was, all I know is that UT hit a bucket with 3.9 seconds left and I had them so I was happy!!
TSU also lost at home to UTC, but were winning in the first half and still covered. IT seems like they fade late in the game which is always the case with bad teams. I would say they are improved and should have a good chance to cover the 30 at Vandy. Vandy is a tough place to play though with the courts and the benches being all fawked up. Hope this helps.