Tennis 7/20 and 7/21

[pfj]

Womens

Dushevina -200 v Razzano .5u:sadwave:

Pivovarova -105 v Olaru 1u:0074

Tsurenko -115 v Zahlavova 1u :sadwave:

Dzehalevich +300 :scared v Bacsinszky .25u :sadwave:

Mens

Reister +120 v Hanescu .5u :0074

Montanes -300 v Riba .5u :sadwave:

Petzschner -125 v Chardy .5u :sadwave:

Chela +135 v Kohlschreiber 1u :sadwave:

Seppi -300 v Berrer .5u :0074

 

[GoldenTaint]

Like the Dzehalevich, she showed some real mental strength in her comeback win earlier today. don't really know her opponent, but can't be that good.

Considering Istomin +410 over Almagro. Almagro just won in Sweden, and is very good, but Istomin's pretty good, and worth some kind of shot that Almagro has a letdown, after beating Soderling. Probably end up taking the games once the line comes out.

 

[pfj]

Like the Dzehalevich, she showed some real mental strength in her comeback win earlier today. don't really know her opponent, but can't be that good.

Considering Istomin +410 over Almagro. Almagro just won in Sweden, and is very good, but Istomin's pretty good, and worth some kind of shot that Almagro has a letdown, after beating Soderling. Probably end up taking the games once the line comes out.

GT I looked at Istomin too looks very tasty at that price but there a few factors that veered me the other and the reason for the no play for me. Istomin has beat Almagro before BUT it was on grass. Almagro is a beast on clay 22-9 while Istomin is 6-7. The other thing I looked at were their 4 most recent matches Istomin is 2-2 while Almagro is 4-0 his last 4 matches. I don't know it does look like a nice price but when I dug deep made me stay away.

As for Dzehalevich the only reason I went with her was the reason that she has been hot lately going 4-0 her last 4 matches. They are both pretty even on clay Dzehalevich is 6-6 while her opponent is 7-7. I find more value in Dzehalevich although Bacsinsky has beaten her before but never on this surface it was indoors. Hope this helps some. :toast:

 

[pfj]

Adding:

Schuettler -125 v Russell

 

[GoldenTaint]

GT I looked at Istomin too looks very tasty at that price but there a few factors that veered me the other and the reason for the no play for me. Istomin has beat Almagro before BUT it was on grass. Almagro is a beast on clay 22-9 while Istomin is 6-7. The other thing I looked at were their 4 most recent matches Istomin is 2-2 while Almagro is 4-0 his last 4 matches. I don't know it does look like a nice price but when I dug deep made me stay away.

That's good info. I'm a feel guy, myself. Try to find a reason a game or match might differ from the historical record or recent trend. Certainly Almagro is better. The danger is you're betting a guy who just won a championship a couple days ago. Is that a reason to back him harder, or to see if he's going to relax a touch, given the comparatively low stakes of a minor tournament? I don't know, but I'll certainly put a little bit, at least, on Istomin + the games.

As for Dzehalevich the only reason I went with her was the reason that she has been hot lately going 4-0 her last 4 matches. They are both pretty even on clay Dzehalevich is 6-6 while her opponent is 7-7. I find more value in Dzehalevich although Bacsinsky has beaten her before but never on this surface it was indoors. Hope this helps some. :toast:

Yeah... I'm not familiar with either player much, but I liked what I saw from Dizzy today. Definitely will throw a little something on her + games, or straight up.

 

[pfj]

horrible day 3-6 today losing -3.53 units ......o well can't win em all i guess.