Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Anthony Kim to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
He may not have been as impressive recently as during the first half of the year, but in the year since he made his PGA Tour debut in this event he has finished in the top-10 ten times out of 25 attempts, progressed to the penultimate week of the Playoffs and in one year has earned more Tour prize money than Arnold Palmer earned in his whole career. So returning to the scene of 2nd place finish last year and to a State in which he has had a further top-5 finish this year, he should be able to turn in a much improved performance this week.
Charley Hoffman to win 33/1 e.w. @ Sunderlands [6 places]
By contrast, Hoffman's form has been much improved in recent weeks: in the last two weeks, for example, he has been 5th at the cut both times. He did falter on Sunday, so couldn't secure a second successive top-5 finish, but he is clearly approaching the form that earned him victory in the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic at the start of the year. With a top-10 finish on his course debut last year and having already registered a win in Texas on the Nationwide Tour (2005 Permian Basin Classic), he should provide value at these odds.
Bart Bryant to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Stan James and Victor Chandler
Backing the course record holder (60 in 2004) with the weather conditions expected to produce another week of low scoring around this course. It is not simply that he has gone low on this course - eleven of his twelve rounds at LaCantera have been under-par - but that he has been showing good form recently without earning high finishes: in his last two events he has been 8th and 7th with one round to play. On this course, he should be more likely to carry that form into the final round.
Dean Wilson to win 40/1 e.w. @ William Hill and Boyle Sports
Wilson is another with a very impressive record around LaCantera: he held the 36-hole lead in both 2004 and 2005, finishing 3rd and 7th respectively, and last year he finished 2nd. On none of those occasions did he have any form heading into the event and it may be said that he is in slightly better form this year, so I'll back him as a course specialist who, now that he has won on this Tour, may be more likely to hold onto a 36-hole lead this time around.
Anthony Kim to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
He may not have been as impressive recently as during the first half of the year, but in the year since he made his PGA Tour debut in this event he has finished in the top-10 ten times out of 25 attempts, progressed to the penultimate week of the Playoffs and in one year has earned more Tour prize money than Arnold Palmer earned in his whole career. So returning to the scene of 2nd place finish last year and to a State in which he has had a further top-5 finish this year, he should be able to turn in a much improved performance this week.
Charley Hoffman to win 33/1 e.w. @ Sunderlands [6 places]
By contrast, Hoffman's form has been much improved in recent weeks: in the last two weeks, for example, he has been 5th at the cut both times. He did falter on Sunday, so couldn't secure a second successive top-5 finish, but he is clearly approaching the form that earned him victory in the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic at the start of the year. With a top-10 finish on his course debut last year and having already registered a win in Texas on the Nationwide Tour (2005 Permian Basin Classic), he should provide value at these odds.
Bart Bryant to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Stan James and Victor Chandler
Backing the course record holder (60 in 2004) with the weather conditions expected to produce another week of low scoring around this course. It is not simply that he has gone low on this course - eleven of his twelve rounds at LaCantera have been under-par - but that he has been showing good form recently without earning high finishes: in his last two events he has been 8th and 7th with one round to play. On this course, he should be more likely to carry that form into the final round.
Dean Wilson to win 40/1 e.w. @ William Hill and Boyle Sports
Wilson is another with a very impressive record around LaCantera: he held the 36-hole lead in both 2004 and 2005, finishing 3rd and 7th respectively, and last year he finished 2nd. On none of those occasions did he have any form heading into the event and it may be said that he is in slightly better form this year, so I'll back him as a course specialist who, now that he has won on this Tour, may be more likely to hold onto a 36-hole lead this time around.
