The Barclay's

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Nick Watney to beat Adam Scott +100 @ 5Dimes
No point in denying Scott's form in the last couple of months - he has finished 3rd, 25th, 1st and 7th since the start of July - but Watney has also won over the same period and he is the much more consistent player. That consistency sees him ranked 1st in the FedEx Cup Race, 2nd in the Money List and 3rd in Scoring Average, so there should be value in backing a player like this at plus odds.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Benbrook
Round 1 Match Ups
B VAN PELT -125 (R MOORE vrs B VAN PELT)
L DONALD -165 (L DONALD vrs P MICKELSON)

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN THE BARCLAYS 2011 LUKE DONALD +900
ODDS TO WIN THE BARCLAYS 2011 WEBB SIMPSON +3000
ODDS TO WIN THE BARCLAYS 2011 CHARLES HOWELL III +4000
ODDS TO WIN THE BARCLAYS 2011 KJ CHOI +5000

4 Round Match Ups
J DAY EV (J DAY vrs M KUCHAR)
W SIMPSON -135 (W SIMPSON vrs K BRADLEY)
C HOWELL III -140 (C HOWELL III vrs G WOODLAND)
 

boomer1

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Feb 27, 2008
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outright : watney 18-1

72 hole:

stricker -120 donald
watney -105 scott

rd1

furyk -110 garica x2
cink -115 love x2
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Outrights:

Jason Day(28/1) e.w.
Rickie Fowler(33/1) e.w.
David Toms(35/1) e.w.

- - Day impresses with his apparent ability to peak, and with the President's Cup on the horizon, he would be my pick "to Win the FedExCup." Fowler has shown the shotmaker's game for this venue, and the probability of tough weather late (unless rounds get postponed) should enhance his inspiration to take it across the finish line. Toms is in the class of veterans on the verge of Hall of Fame type credentials that have stepped-up to claim the $10 million prize in the past, and again, the old-style venue has much that suits his game.

Andres Romero(80/1) e.w.
Trevor Immelman(100/1) e.w.
Phil Mickelson(28/1) e.w.

- - Mostly struggling to find any choices that appeal at bigger prices, I should probably go with Mickelson or Stricker, in fact, I think I will. Romero lands in a big spot when I think the chances should be about 75% to 99% that his game is still peaking rather than regressing. My favorite analysis from last week (along the lines of form is temporary, class is permanent) was an observation about "it never went anywhere, it was just somehow submerged", and very often it only takes something minor to put it back on display; anyway, IMO no one with Immelman's proven class has gotten punier rewards out of their efforts this season, so I'll stick with him further. Mickelson should hopefully recognize numerous opportunities this week to go after his driver, but also numerous opportunities to throttle back, thereby squarely finding himself in a second shot and short game contest, with his pal Keegan alongside, and a golden chance to assert some of his rightful leadership role in forming the President's Cup team.

GL
 
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Stanley

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Round 2 play (4pts):

Adam Scott to beat Jason Day -115 @ Pinnacle [widely available]
Disappointed that Watney three-putted the penultimate hole to miss out on the tie, but it doesn't detract from Scott's impressive play yesterday, particularly on the front nine. Day was shorter off the tee, missed more fairways and missed more greens than Scott yesterday, so there is no real indication that he can raise his game to match the form of his opponent.

[unofficial rd2 system play: Garcia tb Van Pelt -125]
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Benbrook
2nd Round Match Ups

D JOHNSON -115 (D JOHNSON vrs H MAHAN)
D LOVE III -120 (D LOVE III vrs S CINK)
L DONALD -145 (L DONALD vrs P MICKELSON)
B VAN PELT -120 (R MOORE vrs B VAN PELT)
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Benbrook
3rd Round match up

L DONALD -130 (L DONALD vrs N WATNEY)
B DE JONGE -120 (B DE JONGE vrs B SNEDEKER)
C STROUD EV (C STROUD vrs C CAMPBELL)
J ROSE -130 (J ROSE vrs A BADDELEY)
J BYRD EV (V SINGH vrs J BYRD)
D JOHNSON -115 (M KUCHAR vrs D JOHNSON)
 
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