Round 4 plays (4pts):
Matt Kuchar to beat Gary Woodland -138 @ SkyBet and Paddy Power [available generally]
Woodland has won from the front previously - he was a wire-to-wire winner in the Reno-Tahoe Open three weeks ago - but that was an event played alongside the WGC Bridgestone Invitational. so it was a far weaker field this this week. So, whilst he has been very impressive so far this week, I don't see him matching Kucar who has a 9-0-0 h2h record against him in common events in 2013.
Adam Scott to beat Webb Simpson -103 @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib [available generally]
Scott has hit the ball further and straighter off the tee and hit more greens in regulation than this opponent this week, so his game is in far better shape and looks more capable of closing the six-shot gap to the leaders than Simpson's. With just once event since the Players Championship in which he has finished ahead of Scott, it appears that Simpson's recent form is also indicative that he will finish behind Scott this week.
Rory McIlroy to beat Sergio Garcia -107 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
With final round scores of 75-68-76-71 in his last four starts, it is clear why Garcia has failed to record a top-20 in any of those events. In fact, in his last 15 final round scores, he has broken 70 just four times with a best score of 68. He has been making cuts and being in contention, but has struggled on Sundays this season, so it certainly worth opposing with McIlroy who is coming off a top-10 finish in the PGA Championship and has been far better from tee-to-green than Garcia.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Rose tb Watson -120; Points tb Chalmers +116]
