The beards/Mastercard

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Sheez Place betting will be thing of past as you have to go 10 deep @ 5places 5dimes at 4/1 or less.

Will opt for a short place wager--but not that short
Quig 6.25/1 @ SIA top 4

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (2 units):

Bruce Lietzke to win 14/1 e.w. @ Boyle and Stan James
Wouldn't normally side with the defending champion in the outrights, but Lietzke is not a normal player. The question marks over his practicing and motivation from his PGA Tour days remain, but the latter should not be an issue this week. He won two titles in his 2001 debut season and successfully defended one of them (SAS Championship) last year. It may be a different course being used this week, but it looks a big price for Lietzke, particularly given his event history.

Des Smyth to win 16/1 e.w. @ William Hill, SIA and Stan James
Smyth looks destined to be a Tour winner sooner rather than later and he has been even more impressive than his two top-10 finishes in two starts would suggest. He has improved each round in both starts this year and his disadvantage of lack of course knowledge (maybe a reason behind his relatively slow starts each week) is minimised this week. He won't be 16/1 too many times this season.

Dana Quigley to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill and SIA
And no will Quigley be 25/1! Not only has he won once this season and has three top-10 finishes in four starts, there can be no question marks over his practicing and motivation. He will have been working hard last, itching for the Tour to restart and maintain his impressive form this season. He finished 4th last year and could easily match that this year.

 

[Clive]

Seniors bearing the brunt of my wagers this week:

Jay Overton 125/1 - got a lot of time for this guy..ran the gauntlet of Monday qualifiers last year and did well when he got in...I've backed him every week so far this year..collected when he finished fourth, and got my money back the other two times when I finally managed to convince the firms involved that he hadn't actually managed to get into the events concerned from his alternate spot. Very hopeful that this is the week as he will not get many chances and a win will see him (and me!) set fair for the year...alternatively, he could finish 6th and then be 25/1 next week, which is the price Hills gave him this week! Stan James went 80 for a while, they're 50 now.

Des Smyth 16/1 - will win sooner rather than later and should be shorter, as Stan says wont be disadvantaged through lack of course knowledge here

Dana Quigley 25/1 - always interested in him at this price, ash e should be shorter...seems to have got over the bad patch he went through last year.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (2 units):

Morris Hatalsky to beat Eamonn Darcy -105 @ Five Dimes
Opposing Darcy in his first Champions Tour start. Apart from his 10th place finish at the Champions Tour Q-School which was enough to gain him conditional status this year, he has only ever played in the United States on the PGA Tour once and that when he finished almost last in a tournament in 1975. The point is, he has a swing that has been shaped by links golf and he will find little of that on the typical Champions Tour course setup. He finished a lowly 47th on his European Seniors Tour debut last August and, for now, I don't see a much better finish on this Tour.

Hale Irwin to beat Bruce Fleisher -137 @ SkyBet [-155 @ Five Dimes]
Basically a hedge play. Irwin is justifiable favourite for any event on this Tour at the moment and leads Fleisher 18-4-1 in h2h over the last 12 months. If Fleisher doesn't win, there is a very good chance that Irwin will be ahead of him.

Tom Jenkins to beat Mike McCullough -110 @ SkyBet
Jenkins is a very good player for matchups. He is a very consistent top-20 player, but one who rarely finishes inside the top-5. He has finished in the top-10 three times in four starts this year. Will side with him over McCullough whom he leads 20-10-1 in 2h2 over the past 12 months.

Jim Thorpe to beat Fuzzy Zoeller -120 @ Five Dimes
Did come very close to backing Thorpe at 30/1 e.w. with Centrebet, but am glad to have found a matchup opportunity with him instead. He is a player who is improving this season with 7th and 4th places finishes in his last two events and that is markedly different to Zoeller who has failed to reproduce the form that almost saw him win the opening event of the season. That was the only week of four that Zoeller has beaten Thorpe this year.

 

[Ian]

Moi aussi got a bit of the 125/1 Overton (Bettingmad - there is honour amongst thieves - to quote Clive!) and a few speculative wagers on Jenkins and McCullough at 80/1 - will probably have to have a bit on Smyth - still undecided as to whether to wait a round

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Des Smyth(12/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
Dana Quigley(22/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ 5dimes

These were looking to be the likely choices for days, while Stanley's breakdown on Smyth definitely strikes a chord, and now Ian is suggesting a scheme that is getting pretty fine. I haven't looked things over enough to justify guesses on Thorpe and/or Hatalsky.

GL

 

[sports student]

Tewell -111 over Gilder 1st round @ 5dimes


Tewell is 3-0-1 in 4 1st round matchups this year, plus overall stats are in his favor.

 

[Stanley]

Lietzke has a two-shot lead and then takes 8 on the final hole

Darcy, who I slated, now shares the lead with Lietzke

And Thorpe withdraws after being mugged at gunpoint on Friday night


I've got a bad feeling about this tournament ... :nooo:

 

[bettingmad]

I notice there is just one bet on offer at Betfair.... ?10 Jay Overton at 15.00.... 4/6 Ian or 11/10 Clive?

 

[Ian]

I'll lay all the 4/6 you want - since the recent changes I can no longer use BF properly and cannot access the Seniors market.

 

[Clive]

...which saves you from the lay or not to lay ? over Jenkins...

He's 9/2 with SJ, 3/1 Centrebet...would probably need to offer at least 5/1 to attract any interest at all, maybe even 6.

 

[Stanley]

Final update:

Matchups: 2-2-0; -0.50 units

Hatalsky/Darcy LOST by 13
Irwin/Fleisher WON by 10
Jenkins/McCullough WON by 12
Thorpe/Zoeller LOST (Thorpe withdrew)

Outrights: 1-2; -2.20 units

Lietzke 2nd
Smyth 40th
Quigley 8th

For the second time today, a selection has held the lead for virtually the whole day only to fall behind at the end and fail to birdie the par-five lost to force a playoff. Disappointing and couldn't even compensate with a profit on the matchups once Thorpe had withdrawn after being mugged at gunpoint on Friday night.

Champions Tour ytd
Matchups: 10-7; +3.17 units
Outrights: 5-10; +5.55 units

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

final
still blanked on Beards in outrights.
Quig 8th
week -1unit ytd -4 units