The BMW Classic

Tommyjay

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I'm leaving tomorrow and won't get to watch any of this event. So these are early picks.

Olgilvy to win 66-1
Geoff used to be my go to guy, and I haven't given him a play in over a year. I t5hink he might be back.

Snedeker over Garcia +115 I expect Garcia to play well, Ryder Cup and all, I think Snedeker wins this by playing even better.

SY Noh over Cauley +105 Noh has been a cash machine for me all year, Cauley isn't playing as well as the first half of the year. The wrong guy is favored here.
 

Dallasbetgolf

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It's a longshot week for me....

Watson 25-1 win, 12 1/2 place, 6-1 show

Overton 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show

Moore 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show

Noh 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show

Good luck to all!
 

cole

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To win:

Snedeker +2000

Watson +3000

Van Pelt +4000


1st round:

Palmer +100 over Harrington

Overton -115 over McDowell
 

IE

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win outright

nick watney +3500
 

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Steve Stricker to beat Brandt Snedeker +100 @ SkyBet
Snedeker was a surprise wildcard selection for the Ryder Cup, particularly at the expense of Hunter Mahan and Nick Watney who are in the top-20 in the World Rankings, so this adds a new level of pressure upon him this week: he needs to play well to silence the doubters, while finishing behind Mahan and Watney (and even Fowler) will only keep this debate going. That pressure, plus three top-10 finishes in this event to Snedeker's one and record of shooting a higher score than Snedeker in rd1 just twice this year, I'll side with experience with this matchup.
 

IE

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<table id="tbll_44" class="LineTable"><tbody><tr class="LR NonAlt "><td> Louis Oosthuizen (Tourn)</td><td>
</td><td>+115 over Dustin Johnson (Tourn)</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

IE

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Brandt Snedeker (1st Rnd) +110 over Dustin Johnson
 

Another Steve

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Just a tad late, sorry

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN BMW CHAMPIONSHIP DUSTIN JOHNSON +1300
ODDS TO WIN BMW CHAMPIONSHIP SERGIO GARCIA +2000
ODDS TO WIN BMW CHAMPIONSHIP BUBBA WATSON +3000
ODDS TO WIN BMW CHAMPIONSHIP GEOFF OGILVY +5000

1st Round Match Ups
B WATSON (RND 1) -110
(K BRADLEY (RND 1) vrs B WATSON (RND 1))
G OGILVY (RND 1) -135
(G OGILVY (RND 1) vrs JB HOLMES (RND 1))

4 Round Match Ups
D JOHNSON -125
(D JOHNSON vrs L OOSTHUIZEN)
G OGILVY -120
(G OGILVY vrs C PETTERSSON)
 

Stanley

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Round 2 play (2pts):

Chris Kirk to beat Graham DeLaet -125 @ Bet365
Opposing the first round leader who has only been in this position once previously on the PGA Tour - he then shot a two-over-par round in the Sony Open in Hawaii this year and ended up in 29th place. Kirk is in much better form - he is on a run of seven consecutive top-50 finishes, including two top-10s.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Singh tb Laird -120; Mickelson tb Johnson Z -143]
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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2nd Round Match Ups
T WOODS (RND 2) -115 (R MCILROY (RND 2) vrs T WOODS (RND 2))
DUFNER (RND 2) -120 (J DUFNER (RND 2) vrs P MICKELSON (RND 2))
 

Jwilzzz

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Went 4-0 rds 1-2 unposted, figured I'd ruin that by posting today
Senden -136 over ogilvy
 

Another Steve

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3rd Round Match Ups
B CRANE (RND 3) -105 (B CRANE (RND 3) vrs K STANLEY (RND 3))
R FOWLER (RND 3) -115 (R FOWLER (RND 3) vrs C SCHWARTZEL (RND 3))
J ROSE (RND 3) -110 (J ROSE (RND 3) vrs L OOSTHUIZEN (RND 3))
D JOHNSON (RND 3) -135 (G MCDOWELL (RND 3) vrs D JOHNSON (RND 3))
T WOODS (RND 3) -120 (R MCILROY (RND 3) vrs T WOODS (RND 3))
 

Stanley

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Round 3 play (2pts):

Tiger Woods to beat Rory McIlroy -105 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Both players in 2nd place after 36 holes. From this position, McIlroy is 0-for-3 and Woods is 4-for-5 in the last five times that he has been 2nd after 36 holes - the last time was the Memorial Tournament in June.
 

Stanley

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Round 4 play (4pts):

Adam Scott [-1/2] to beat Robert Garrigus -127 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Such has been Scott's dominance in this matchup that he has finished ahead of Garrigus in 14 of their last 15 common events. They both lie in 5th place overnight, but that stat strongly suggests that it will the Australian who has the stronger final round. The other factor to consider is their positions in the FedEx Cup ... Garrigus was 31st before this event, so he is currently projected to qualify for the Tour Championship, but he will still be looking over his shoulder and trying to finish ahead of both Graeme McDowell and Ryan Moore who are both within three shots. That pressure generally does not lead to a good performance.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Mickelson tb Singh -126; Rose tb Stanley -125; Poulter tb Kirk -120; McIlroy tb Westwood -120; Woods tb Johnson D -120; Poulter tb Harrington -110; Van Pelt tb Johnson Z -125; Johnson Z tb McDowell -110]
 
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