The Bush/Sybase Classic
- Thread starter DOGS THAT BARK
- Start date
Outright plays (1.5pts):
Michele Redman to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Redman is an infuriating player to back in the outright markets. Finishing an incredible 73% of starts in the top-25 on the LPGA Tour over the past three years, she is certainly one of the leading and most consistent players on Tour, but she finishes a great deal more between 11th and 25th than between 1st and 10th. It is a similar story this year with top-25 finishes in all seven starts, but a best finish of 8th. But 25/1 is value this week because of her course form. She has finished in the top-6 in each of the last three years and she won this event on this course in 1997. She is certain to be on the leaderboard again, but she should be a little higher this week than most.
Rachel Teske to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Teske is not as consistent, but she does win far more often. She already has one runners-up spot this year and she won back-to-back events last June, the second of which was held in New York State as is the case this week. With top-15 finishes in five of six starts on this course, these look large odds for a player who should contend. Se Ri Pak and Grace Park could dominate this event, but these are two players who should contend for at least a place finish.
Beth Daniel to win 66/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Daniel has not been contending in her five starts this year. A best finish of 32nd in her last event is not of her usual standard, but she did start the season slowly two years ago and improved considerably at the end of May. This could be a very profitable play if she does the same again this year and there is good reason to expect an improved performance this week. She has finished in the top-10 in three of the last four years, plus she won this event in 1994. Better value here than on extremely short odds for the Seoul Sisters.
Michele Redman to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Redman is an infuriating player to back in the outright markets. Finishing an incredible 73% of starts in the top-25 on the LPGA Tour over the past three years, she is certainly one of the leading and most consistent players on Tour, but she finishes a great deal more between 11th and 25th than between 1st and 10th. It is a similar story this year with top-25 finishes in all seven starts, but a best finish of 8th. But 25/1 is value this week because of her course form. She has finished in the top-6 in each of the last three years and she won this event on this course in 1997. She is certain to be on the leaderboard again, but she should be a little higher this week than most.
Rachel Teske to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Teske is not as consistent, but she does win far more often. She already has one runners-up spot this year and she won back-to-back events last June, the second of which was held in New York State as is the case this week. With top-15 finishes in five of six starts on this course, these look large odds for a player who should contend. Se Ri Pak and Grace Park could dominate this event, but these are two players who should contend for at least a place finish.
Beth Daniel to win 66/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Daniel has not been contending in her five starts this year. A best finish of 32nd in her last event is not of her usual standard, but she did start the season slowly two years ago and improved considerably at the end of May. This could be a very profitable play if she does the same again this year and there is good reason to expect an improved performance this week. She has finished in the top-10 in three of the last four years, plus she won this event in 1994. Better value here than on extremely short odds for the Seoul Sisters.
We agree again 
Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):
Meg Mallon to beat Aree Song -114 @ Expekt [3pts]
Opposed Song successfully a couple of weeks ago on the basis that her price is based on hype and there has been little since to disprove that. Her best finish in her last five starts is 20th and she is playing this course for the first time. Mallon has finished ahead of her in each their last three common events and has finished in the top-20 in six of the last seven years here.
Stacy Prammanasudh to beat Aree Song -114 @ Centrebet [3pts]
Pramannasudh does not have the benefit of course experience over Song, but she is playing as the far better rookie on the Tour at the moment. Song has failed to finish ahead of Prammanasudh in any of the last five events, so there is little reason to expect any change this week.
Michele Redman to beat Karen Stupples -154 @ NordicBet
Since her win in the Welch's/Fry's Championship, Stupples has still been playing better than at any other time on the LPGA Tour, but she has rarely been competitive. Add in four visits to Wykagyl and a best finish of 35th and She really shouldn't be competitive this week either. Should be straightforward for the outright selection.
Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):
Meg Mallon to beat Aree Song -114 @ Expekt [3pts]
Opposed Song successfully a couple of weeks ago on the basis that her price is based on hype and there has been little since to disprove that. Her best finish in her last five starts is 20th and she is playing this course for the first time. Mallon has finished ahead of her in each their last three common events and has finished in the top-20 in six of the last seven years here.
Stacy Prammanasudh to beat Aree Song -114 @ Centrebet [3pts]
Pramannasudh does not have the benefit of course experience over Song, but she is playing as the far better rookie on the Tour at the moment. Song has failed to finish ahead of Prammanasudh in any of the last five events, so there is little reason to expect any change this week.
Michele Redman to beat Karen Stupples -154 @ NordicBet
Since her win in the Welch's/Fry's Championship, Stupples has still been playing better than at any other time on the LPGA Tour, but she has rarely been competitive. Add in four visits to Wykagyl and a best finish of 35th and She really shouldn't be competitive this week either. Should be straightforward for the outright selection.
on same page on outrights also Stan
Had several wagers on Daniels this year with no cheese.
She sure has not been in last years form yet when she ranked 4th in top 5's finishing in top 5 every 2.8 events.
I think you got Redman down pat also-but place odds have been too short to my liking and will opt for Lee just a tick off Redmans stats at double the place odds.
to place @ 5 dimes
Daniels 11/1
JY Lee 8/1
Had several wagers on Daniels this year with no cheese.
She sure has not been in last years form yet when she ranked 4th in top 5's finishing in top 5 every 2.8 events.
I think you got Redman down pat also-but place odds have been too short to my liking and will opt for Lee just a tick off Redmans stats at double the place odds.
to place @ 5 dimes
Daniels 11/1
JY Lee 8/1
3rd rd @ 5dimes
Grace Park -130 over M Y Kim
Redman -120 over Teske
Giving up some weight here but some strong indicators.
Park leads tour on 3rd scor ave and playing in wet conditions only enhances her 30 yard adv off tee.
Grace Park -130 over M Y Kim
Redman -120 over Teske
Giving up some weight here but some strong indicators.
Park leads tour on 3rd scor ave and playing in wet conditions only enhances her 30 yard adv off tee.
Outrights - Final update: 0-3; -4.50pts
Redman 21st
Teske 17th
Daniel 28th
All on the fringes of contention and Redman in 6th place going into the weekend, but no return on the outrights this week. Not that Sherri Steinhauer was ever on the radar anyway!
Matchups - Final update: 2-1-0; +3.69pts
Mallon/Song WON by 11
Prammanasudh/Song WON by 12
Redman/Stupples LOST by 1
Another profitable week on the LPGA Tour matchups. Almost got the push on the Redman play, but at least opposed Song for another 6pts.
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights - 6-22; -2.28pts
Matchups - 28-12; +35.17pts
Redman 21st
Teske 17th
Daniel 28th
All on the fringes of contention and Redman in 6th place going into the weekend, but no return on the outrights this week. Not that Sherri Steinhauer was ever on the radar anyway!
Matchups - Final update: 2-1-0; +3.69pts
Mallon/Song WON by 11
Prammanasudh/Song WON by 12
Redman/Stupples LOST by 1
Another profitable week on the LPGA Tour matchups. Almost got the push on the Redman play, but at least opposed Song for another 6pts.
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights - 6-22; -2.28pts
Matchups - 28-12; +35.17pts
