Looking over the odds, I notice that the front runners are extra short, and the back markers are extra long.
Keeping that in mind, I took---
Palmer to win 100-1
Keeping that in mind, I took---
Palmer to win 100-1
The Deutsche Bank
- Thread starter Tommyjay
- Start date
Outrights
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 JUSTIN ROSE +2200
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 BUBBA WATSON +2050
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 TONY FINAU +6345
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 PHIL MICKELSON +4045
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 KEVIN KISNER +9050
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 JUSTIN ROSE +2200
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 BUBBA WATSON +2050
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 TONY FINAU +6345
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 PHIL MICKELSON +4045
ODDS TO WIN DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP 2015 KEVIN KISNER +9050
Outrights:
Jason Dufner(80/1) e.w.
Phil Mickelson(60/1) e.w.
Brandt Snedeker(55/1) e.w.
Sean O'Hair(250/1) e.w.
Louis Oosthuizen(40/1) e.w.
Justin Thomas(70/1) e.w.
GL
Jason Dufner(80/1) e.w.
Phil Mickelson(60/1) e.w.
Brandt Snedeker(55/1) e.w.
Sean O'Hair(250/1) e.w.
Louis Oosthuizen(40/1) e.w.
Justin Thomas(70/1) e.w.
GL
for rd 1, playing:
summerhays -115 vs English
line stinks and I for one ain't having it
as always, good luck
LA Burns
summerhays -115 vs English
line stinks and I for one ain't having it
as always, good luck
LA Burns
Round 2 plays (2pts):
Jim Furyk to beat Danny Lee -149 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Furyk played better than he scored yesterday - he ranked 1st in dirving accuracy and 2nd in greens in regulation on the day - so there is optimism that he will score much better today. He also dominates this matchup 11-2-0 h2h in 2015 (10-2-0 in rd2 alone), so warrants the short odds on offer.
Henrik Stenson to beat Rickie Fowler -125 @ Paddy Power
A matchup between two players in 2nd place, but Fowler had previously played well in this event - the only time that he has finished in the top-40 in five attempts was last year when he finished 23rd - whereas Stenson won here two years ago. Given that the Swede has also been in much better form recently, he looks much more likely to retain this leaderboard position.
Justin Rose to beat Robert Streb -124 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Rose has dominated this matchup this year, finishing ahead of Streb in 10 of their last 11 common events, and with form figures of 6th-4th-3rd-4th-16th in his last five starts, Rose is a player to side with this week.
Dustin Johnson to beat Brooks Koepka -138 @ Paddy Power
Another one-sided matchup: Johnson has finished ahead of Koepka in seven of their last ten common strokeplay events and has two top-5 finishes on this course. Koepka is making his course debut and struggled yesterday to end the day outside the cut line. Koepka has been in good form recently, but he is still not at Johnson's level.
Jim Furyk to beat Zach Johnson -111 @ Paddy Power
Back to Furyk given his play yesterday. He has been much more consistent than Johnson and I think that he'll get back into this tournament today.
Jim Furyk to beat Danny Lee -149 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Furyk played better than he scored yesterday - he ranked 1st in dirving accuracy and 2nd in greens in regulation on the day - so there is optimism that he will score much better today. He also dominates this matchup 11-2-0 h2h in 2015 (10-2-0 in rd2 alone), so warrants the short odds on offer.
Henrik Stenson to beat Rickie Fowler -125 @ Paddy Power
A matchup between two players in 2nd place, but Fowler had previously played well in this event - the only time that he has finished in the top-40 in five attempts was last year when he finished 23rd - whereas Stenson won here two years ago. Given that the Swede has also been in much better form recently, he looks much more likely to retain this leaderboard position.
Justin Rose to beat Robert Streb -124 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Rose has dominated this matchup this year, finishing ahead of Streb in 10 of their last 11 common events, and with form figures of 6th-4th-3rd-4th-16th in his last five starts, Rose is a player to side with this week.
Dustin Johnson to beat Brooks Koepka -138 @ Paddy Power
Another one-sided matchup: Johnson has finished ahead of Koepka in seven of their last ten common strokeplay events and has two top-5 finishes on this course. Koepka is making his course debut and struggled yesterday to end the day outside the cut line. Koepka has been in good form recently, but he is still not at Johnson's level.
Jim Furyk to beat Zach Johnson -111 @ Paddy Power
Back to Furyk given his play yesterday. He has been much more consistent than Johnson and I think that he'll get back into this tournament today.
looks like I was a day early (and of course a dollar short) on Summerhays against English, as 4 holes in today English is 4 over and 4 shots down in that particular match.....
today I am backing Rory against Matsuyama - looks like McIlroy was just a tad off w/ the putter yesterday (he explained in presser after the round that it had been a while since he putted on fast greens), but he hit 13 of 14 fairways and I get the sense that if he tightens up the short game today he is primed for a low round - get the feeling that Rors is a bit more driven this week as well due to all of the recent hype surrounding Day and Spieth, situation at the top of world rankings, etc - Matsuyama did shoot even par yesterday but that came with 6 bogeys and a couple of long birdie putts so could have been a couple of shots worse whereas Rory seemed to have left a few shots out there
for round 2, playing:
Rors -170 vs Matsuyama
and as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose,
LA Burns
today I am backing Rory against Matsuyama - looks like McIlroy was just a tad off w/ the putter yesterday (he explained in presser after the round that it had been a while since he putted on fast greens), but he hit 13 of 14 fairways and I get the sense that if he tightens up the short game today he is primed for a low round - get the feeling that Rors is a bit more driven this week as well due to all of the recent hype surrounding Day and Spieth, situation at the top of world rankings, etc - Matsuyama did shoot even par yesterday but that came with 6 bogeys and a couple of long birdie putts so could have been a couple of shots worse whereas Rory seemed to have left a few shots out there
for round 2, playing:
Rors -170 vs Matsuyama
and as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose,
LA Burns
Round 3 play (2pts):
Bill Haas to beat Ryan Palmer +100 @ 5Dimes
Opposing Palmer after such a poor round yesterday. His first round 68 saw him in 11th place and with a chance of locking in a place in the Tour Championship; instead he made the cut in the mark and is now 15 shots off the pace with little chance of picking any significant amount of FedEx Cup points. Haas is projected to be 29th on the FedEx Cup rankings, so even a few points difference may be important by the end of the next event. I certainly wouldn't price him as an un underdog in this matchup.
Bill Haas to beat Ryan Palmer +100 @ 5Dimes
Opposing Palmer after such a poor round yesterday. His first round 68 saw him in 11th place and with a chance of locking in a place in the Tour Championship; instead he made the cut in the mark and is now 15 shots off the pace with little chance of picking any significant amount of FedEx Cup points. Haas is projected to be 29th on the FedEx Cup rankings, so even a few points difference may be important by the end of the next event. I certainly wouldn't price him as an un underdog in this matchup.
incredibly bad play on McIlroy yesterday, my worst since at least before the Masters - had a nice hot run there for a couple of months but seem to be fading a bit towards the end of the season.....
anywhoo, playing another today for round 3:
Chappell -115 vs Jones
Chappell has been more consistent off the tee and with his approach shots this week, has been in a bit better form than Jones recently and has a better history at TPC Boston over the past few years - sounds like a play to me
as always, good luck
LA Burns
anywhoo, playing another today for round 3:
Chappell -115 vs Jones
Chappell has been more consistent off the tee and with his approach shots this week, has been in a bit better form than Jones recently and has a better history at TPC Boston over the past few years - sounds like a play to me
as always, good luck
LA Burns
Round 4 play (4pts):
Rory Sabbatini to beat Harris English +110 @ 5Dimes, Pinnacle and The Greek [also available @ Carib]
Good odds to back a player who ranks 3rd in Final Round Scoring Average against a player who ranks 100th and 2.5 shots higher. This is why English it has been six months since he recorded a top-10 finish and he has had just two top-25 finishes in strokplay events since that 10th place finish in the Vaspar Championship; Sabbatini has two top-10 and five top-25 finishes in his last nine starts.
Rory Sabbatini to beat Harris English +110 @ 5Dimes, Pinnacle and The Greek [also available @ Carib]
Good odds to back a player who ranks 3rd in Final Round Scoring Average against a player who ranks 100th and 2.5 shots higher. This is why English it has been six months since he recorded a top-10 finish and he has had just two top-25 finishes in strokplay events since that 10th place finish in the Vaspar Championship; Sabbatini has two top-10 and five top-25 finishes in his last nine starts.
