Well ... it's about that time again.
Just a little recap about this system:
Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs (remember this is by ranking ... not actual %)
I will post all the plays in this thread. I will post as soon as the lines are available. I want to jump on the lines when they are set and not wait for anything.
2007: 11-1
2008: 12-5
(23-6 79%)
I am not the one who came up with this system, but I have followed it for a while. I know it is hitting around 65% the last 5 years.
* Note: While this system has been great and won a lot of money for people in the past ... please remember that nothing is perfect. It could very well bomb this year ... but I will take my chance. Sometimes, it has started off cold, but got really hot as the bowl season continued on.
These are the updated plays and the plays I will track for the bowl.
Dec 19 Rutgers -2.5
Dec 19 Wyoming +12
Dec 22 Oregon State -2
Dec 23 California -3
Dec 24 Nevada -14
Dec 29 Miami-FL -3
Dec 31 Missouri -6.5
Dec 31 Air Force +5
Jan 1 Oregon -3.5
Jan 1 LSU +3
Jan 2 Arkansas -8
Jan 4 TCU -7
Jan 6 Central Michigan -4
Here are the one's in question:
52 Rutgers (85) vs 62 Central Florida (91)
- Rutgers is in the top 60.
- You are suppose to fade Rutgers ... UNLESS they are playing another team whose SOS is higher (which Central Florida's is) ... making Rutgers the play
56 Nevada (86) vs 89 SMU (94)
- Nevada is in the top 60.
- You are suppose to fade them ... UNLESS they are playing another team whose SOS is higher (which SMU's is) ... making Nevada the play
46 Houston (92) vs 55 Air Force (89)
- Both teams are in the top 60
- You fade the team with the worse SOS ... meaning Air Force is the play
38 Central Michigan (107) vs 69 Troy (110)
- Central Michigan is in the top 60
- You are suppose to fade them, UNLESS they are playing another team whose SOS is higher (which Troy's is) ... making Central Michigan the play
* Obviously those four games are very close, but it is part of the system.
** Even though some of the numbers might change during bowls ... it will not matter. You are suppose to use the end of season numbers and post season is not included.
Just a little recap about this system:
Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs (remember this is by ranking ... not actual %)
I will post all the plays in this thread. I will post as soon as the lines are available. I want to jump on the lines when they are set and not wait for anything.
2007: 11-1
2008: 12-5
(23-6 79%)
I am not the one who came up with this system, but I have followed it for a while. I know it is hitting around 65% the last 5 years.
* Note: While this system has been great and won a lot of money for people in the past ... please remember that nothing is perfect. It could very well bomb this year ... but I will take my chance. Sometimes, it has started off cold, but got really hot as the bowl season continued on.
These are the updated plays and the plays I will track for the bowl.
Dec 19 Rutgers -2.5
Dec 19 Wyoming +12
Dec 22 Oregon State -2
Dec 23 California -3
Dec 24 Nevada -14
Dec 29 Miami-FL -3
Dec 31 Missouri -6.5
Dec 31 Air Force +5
Jan 1 Oregon -3.5
Jan 1 LSU +3
Jan 2 Arkansas -8
Jan 4 TCU -7
Jan 6 Central Michigan -4
Here are the one's in question:
52 Rutgers (85) vs 62 Central Florida (91)
- Rutgers is in the top 60.
- You are suppose to fade Rutgers ... UNLESS they are playing another team whose SOS is higher (which Central Florida's is) ... making Rutgers the play
56 Nevada (86) vs 89 SMU (94)
- Nevada is in the top 60.
- You are suppose to fade them ... UNLESS they are playing another team whose SOS is higher (which SMU's is) ... making Nevada the play
46 Houston (92) vs 55 Air Force (89)
- Both teams are in the top 60
- You fade the team with the worse SOS ... meaning Air Force is the play
38 Central Michigan (107) vs 69 Troy (110)
- Central Michigan is in the top 60
- You are suppose to fade them, UNLESS they are playing another team whose SOS is higher (which Troy's is) ... making Central Michigan the play
* Obviously those four games are very close, but it is part of the system.
** Even though some of the numbers might change during bowls ... it will not matter. You are suppose to use the end of season numbers and post season is not included.
