The Limper NBA - 2019 Playoffs - 5/4 to 5/10

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WillyBoy

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Yesterday aside (I think my Celtics are toast), the model is performing above expectations (knock on wood). Remember, however, that the model?s picks are only the result of statistical projections, but against reality ? bitch that it is ? it is, inevitably, a losing fight. I hope, however, it continues to perform as it has, and that we all make $$$.

GLTA

WJCJR
 
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eeeerock

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GL but I don't like the look of those 2 picks,I'm on both dogs.I see both these series going 7 but I been wrong more then a bunch of times.
 
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WillyBoy

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eeeerock said:
GL but I don't like the look of those 2 picks,I'm on both dogs.I see both these series going 7 but I been wrong more then a bunch of times.
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I don't much like them either. Passed on the first game, and I'll probably just take over on the 2nd. Already up for the day with my BOSOX, so I'm playing with house money.
 
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WillyBoy

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That?s 5 straight-up losses in a row!
It?s one thing to lose against-the-spread, but picking game winners is something the model should, at the least, be able to do reliably. That?s especially true of the playoffs, when all the data and trends are available, and players are supposed to be playing at their peak performance levels. The numbers should be a reliable basis for accurate projections, but it?s not working out that way. Prior to the last few days, the model did have a good run, and probabilistically speaking, a regression was inevitable ? but it flat out fell off a cliff, which is downright bizarre.
Anyway, proceed with caution.
 
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WillyBoy

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BuckwheatJWN said:
am I reading something wrong? Weren't you 1-1 against the spread? :shrug:
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It?s a bug in the program I can?t seem to swat. The correct projected MOV for the 5/9 game of Toronto was 3.6, making the Raptors? the model?s pick. I can?t explain why it originally came out as 1.7 with Philly the pick, but I needed to show the correct MOV yesterday, and what the pick should have been ? Toronto -1.5 - making it a loss. I should have explained this yesterday, but I was so irritated at the goof-up I just plumb forgot. In the other game the model had Denver +4, and they lost by 11. Thus 0-2 ATS.
 
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