The Limper NBA 2022-23 Regular Season – 1/31/23 - 2/6/23

WillyBoy

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Jun 21, 2018
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There was a slight improvement last week in the projected/actual score differential over the previous week - which is great because I was half expecting the model to just blow up. Tracking injury and rest management is slowly becoming a nightmare job, however. You blink and suddenly two starters are in street clothes, so following insider feeds for the teams you follow is crucial.

Totals last week went a lousy 25-25-1; and although, for now, I’ll still post O/U projections and provisional picks, if the season win % drops any further I’ll call it a failed experiment and knock it off.

PS. Have to carefully watch tonight’s Denver/New Orleans matchup. I like Denver if Murray plays. If not, the line will decide my bet.

GLTA

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WillyBoy

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Jun 21, 2018
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I’ve been tweaking and fussing with totals’ projections for, like, forever; and, while the above score projections also have some tweaking for totals embedded with the algorithm, I’ve been running with a slightly different calculation which is, so far, a tad better.
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